Polish Ekstraklasa
Jagiellonia
Apr 4, 2026 7.15pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT Stadion Miejski
Lech Poznan
  • Taras Romanczuk 72' yellowcard
  • Matías Nahuel 72' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Daniel Håkans 64'
  • yellowcard Gísli Thórdarson 64'
  • yellowcard Yannick Agnero 84'
  • yellowcard Taofeek Ismaheel 84'
  • yellowcard Luis Palma 90'+1'

Jagiellonia Bialystok vs Lech Poznan - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Jagiellonia Bialystok

All competitions
Polish Ekstraklasa
Last game
Mar 21, 2026 7.15pm
Jagiellonia 1 - 2 Wisla Plock
Goals scored
43
Top scorer
Afimico Pululu

Lech Poznan

All competitions
Polish Ekstraklasa
Last game
Mar 22, 2026 1.45pm
Lech Poznan 4 - 1 Nieciecza
Goals scored
46
Top scorer
Ali Gholizadeh

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lech Poznan win with a probability of 38.76%. A win for Jagiellonia Bialystok had a probability of 35.96% and a draw had a probability of 25.33%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lech Poznan win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.9%) and 0-2 (5.79%). The likeliest Jagiellonia Bialystok win was 2-1 (8.57%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.57%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 5.9% likelihood.

Result

Jagiellonia Bialystok 35.96% ▲ (+0.04)
Draw 25.33% ▼ (-0.19)
Lech Poznan 38.76% ▲ (+0.15)

Both Teams to Score: 

57.31% ▲ (+0.77)

Goals

Over 1.5 78.32% ▲ (+0.89)
Under 1.5 21.68% ▼ (-0.90)
Over 2.5 55.56% ▲ (+1.29)
Under 2.5 44.44% ▼ (-1.29)
Over 3.5 32.03% ▲ (+1.14)
Under 3.5 67.97% ▼ (-1.13)
Over 4.5 17.74% ▲ (+0.33)
Under 4.5 82.26% ▼ (-0.33)

First Half Winner

Jagiellonia Bialystok 29.42% ▼ (-0.38)
Draw 39.89% ▲ (+0.08)
Lech Poznan 30.69% ▲ (+0.32)

Team To Score First

Jagiellonia Bialystok 44.7% ▼ (-0.36)
No Goal 5.85% ▼ (-0.38)
Lech Poznan 49.45% ▲ (+0.74)

Corners

Over 8 58.75% ▲ (+0.58)
Equal 8 11.36% ▲ (+0.17)
Under 8 29.9% ▼ (-0.75)
Over 9 47.09% ▲ (+0.35)
Equal 9 11.66% ▲ (+0.24)
Under 9 41.25% ▼ (-0.58)
Over 10.5 36.1% ▲ (+0.11)
Under 10.5 63.9% ▼ (-0.11)

Jagiellonia Bialystok Goals

Over 1.5 38.91% ▲ (+0.81)
Under 1.5 61.09% ▼ (-0.81)
Over 2.5 15.65% ▲ (+0.09)
Under 2.5 84.35% ▼ (-0.09)
Over 3.5 4.93% ▼ (-0.13)
Under 3.5 95.07% ▲ (+0.12)

Lech Poznan Goals

Over 0.5 73.38% ▲ (+0.66)
Under 0.5 26.62% ▼ (-0.67)
Over 1.5 41.49% ▲ (+1.09)
Under 1.5 58.51% ▼ (-1.09)
Over 2.5 17.5% ▲ (+0.65)
Under 2.5 82.5% ▼ (-0.66)
Over 3.5 5.74% ▼ (-0.07)
Under 3.5 94.26% ▲ (+0.08)

Score analysis

Jagiellonia Bialystok 35.96%
Draw 25.34%
Lech Poznan 38.76%
Jagiellonia Bialystok
2-1 @ 8.57% ▲ (+0.10)
1-0 @ 7.99% ▼ (-0.03)
2-0 @ 5.39% ▲ (+0.02)
3-1 @ 3.85% ▲ (+0.21)
3-2 @ 2.71% ▲ (+0.01)
3-0 @ 2.67% ▼ (-0.19)
Other @ 4.78% ▼ (-0.09)
Total : 35.96%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.57% ▼ (-0.25)
2-2 @ 6.28% ▲ (+0.30)
0-0 @ 5.85% ▼ (-0.38)
3-3 @ 1.49% ▲ (+0.17)
Other @ 0.15% ▼ (-0.03)
Total : 25.34%
Lech Poznan
1-2 @ 9.21% ▲ (+0.31)
0-1 @ 7.9% ▼ (-0.49)
0-2 @ 5.79% ▼ (-0.18)
1-3 @ 4.17% ▲ (+0.32)
0-3 @ 3.08% ▼ (-0.07)
2-3 @ 3.02% ▲ (+0.32)
Other @ 5.59% ▼ (-0.05)
Total : 38.76%

Head to Head

Polish Ekstraklasa
Lech Poznan
Sep 28, 2025 1.45pm
2
2
HT : 0 0
FT
Jagiellonia
Polish Ekstraklasa Gameweek 25
Jagiellonia
Mar 16, 2025 7.15pm
2
1
HT : 1 1
FT Stadion Miejski
Lech Poznan
  • Jesus Imaz 31' goal
  • Taras Romanczuk 44' yellowcard
  • Radoslaw Murawski 59' goal
  • Cezary Polak 65' yellowcard
  • Cezary Polak 65' yellowcard
  • Slawomir Abramowicz 89' yellowcard
  • goal Ali Gholizadeh 9'
  • yellowcard Bartosz Salamon 52'
  • yellowcard Radoslaw Murawski 90'+1'
  • yellowcard Alex Douglas 90'+4'
Polish Ekstraklasa Gameweek 8
Lech Poznan
Sep 14, 2024 7.15pm
5
0
HT : 2 1
FT Stadion MOS Poznan
Jagiellonia
  • Afonso Sousa 25' goal
  • Antonio Milic 36' yellowcard
  • Dino Hotic 41' goal
  • Filip Szymczak 81' goal
  • Jetmir Haliti 87' goal
  • Filip Jagiello 90'+3' goal
  • goal 15'
  • redcard Adrian Dieguez 38'
  • yellowcard Nene 42'
  • yellowcard Jetmir Haliti 79'
Polish Ekstraklasa Gameweek 21
Jagiellonia
Feb 17, 2024 4.30pm
1
2
HT : 0 2
FT Stadion Miejski
Lech Poznan
  • Adrian Dieguez 67' yellowcard
  • Kristoffer Normann Hansen 82' goal
  • yellowcard Kristoffer Velde 14'
  • goal Filip Marchwinski 18'
  • goal Filip Szymczak 30'
  • yellowcard Joel Pereira 90'+7'
Polish Ekstraklasa Gameweek 4
Lech Poznan
Oct 24, 2023 5.00pm
3
3
HT : 3 0
FT INEA stadion
Jagiellonia
  • Adriel Ba Loua 2' goal
  • 3' goal
  • Mikael Ishak 43' goal
  • Adriel Ba Loua 48' yellowcard
  • Adriel Ba Loua 51' goal
  • Filip Marchwinski 55' yellowcard
  • Elias Andersson 64' yellowcard
  • Alan Czerwinski 90'+5' yellowcard
  • Kristoffer Velde 90'+7' yellowcard
  • goal Kristoffer Normann Hansen 54'
  • yellowcard Taras Romanczuk 63'
  • goal Mateusz Skrzypczak 66'
  • goal Bartlomiej Wdowik 90'+6'

Form Data

Jagiellonia 1 - 2 Wisla Plock
Jagiellonia 2 - 1 Katowice
Jagiellonia 1 - 2 Piast Gliwice
Gdansk 3 - 0 Jagiellonia
Jagiellonia 2 - 2 Legia
Fiorentina 2 - 4 Jagiellonia
Lech Poznan 4 - 1 Nieciecza
Shakhtar 1 - 2 Lech Poznan
Zaglebie Lubin 0 - 1 Lech Poznan
Lech Poznan 1 - 3 Shakhtar
Widzew Lodz 2 - 1 Lech Poznan
Lech Poznan 4 - 3 Rakow