Polish Ekstraklasa Gameweek 27
Apr 4, 2026 7.15pm
Stadion Miejski

Jagiellonia Bialystok vs Lech Poznan - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Jagiellonia Bialystok

All competitions
Polish Ekstraklasa
Last game
Mar 21, 2026 7.15pm
Jagiellonia 1 - 2 Wisla Plock
Goals scored
43
Top scorer
Afimico Pululu

Lech Poznan

All competitions
Polish Ekstraklasa
Last game
Mar 22, 2026 1.45pm
Lech Poznan 4 - 1 Nieciecza
Goals scored
46
Top scorer
Ali Gholizadeh

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Lech Poznan win with a probability of 38.61%. A win for Jagiellonia Bialystok has a probability of 35.93% and a draw has a probability of 25.51%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lech Poznan win is 1-2 with a probability of 8.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 0-1 (8.38%) and 0-2 (5.97%). The likeliest Jagiellonia Bialystok win is 2-1 (8.47%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (11.81%).

Result

Jagiellonia Bialystok 35.93% (+0.04)
Draw 25.51% (+0.02)
Lech Poznan 38.61% (+0.01)

Both Teams to Score: 

56.55% (+0.02)

Goals

Over 1.5 77.43% (+0.07)
Under 1.5 22.57% (-0.06)
Over 2.5 54.28% (+0.06)
Under 2.5 45.72% (-0.06)
Over 3.5 30.9% (-0.05)
Under 3.5 69.1% (+0.04)
Over 4.5 17.41% (-0.02)
Under 4.5 82.59% (+0.03)

First Half Winner

Jagiellonia Bialystok 29.8% (-0.03)
Draw 39.82% (+0.01)
Lech Poznan 30.38% (+0.01)

Team To Score First

Jagiellonia Bialystok 45.06%
No Goal 6.22%
Lech Poznan 48.72%

Corners

Over 8 58.18% (-0.03)
Equal 8 11.19%
Under 8 30.64% (+0.04)
Over 9 46.75% (-0.03)
Equal 9 11.43% (-0.01)
Under 9 41.82% (+0.03)
Over 10.5 36% (-0.03)
Under 10.5 64% (+0.03)

Jagiellonia Bialystok Goals

Over 1.5 38.1% (+0.03)
Under 1.5 61.9% (-0.03)
Over 2.5 15.57% (+0.02)
Under 2.5 84.43% (-0.02)
Over 3.5 5.05%
Under 3.5 94.95%

Lech Poznan Goals

Over 0.5 72.72% (+0.04)
Under 0.5 27.28% (-0.04)
Over 1.5 40.41% (+0.02)
Under 1.5 59.59% (-0.02)
Over 2.5 16.85% (-0.01)
Under 2.5 83.15% (+0.02)
Over 3.5 5.81% (-0.02)
Under 3.5 94.19% (+0.01)

Score analysis

Jagiellonia Bialystok 35.93%
Draw 25.51%
Lech Poznan 38.61%
Jagiellonia Bialystok
2-1 @ 8.47% (+0.03)
1-0 @ 8.02% (-0.01)
2-0 @ 5.37% (-0.01)
3-1 @ 3.65% (-0.02)
3-0 @ 2.85% (+0.04)
3-2 @ 2.7%
Other @ 4.87%
Total : 35.93%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.81% (+0.01)
0-0 @ 6.22%
2-2 @ 5.98%
3-3 @ 1.32%
Other @ 0.18%
Total : 25.51%
Lech Poznan
1-2 @ 8.91% (+0.03)
0-1 @ 8.38%
0-2 @ 5.97%
1-3 @ 3.86% (-0.02)
0-3 @ 3.15% (+0.03)
2-3 @ 2.71% (-0.02)
Other @ 5.63% (-0.01)
Total : 38.61%

Head to Head

Polish Ekstraklasa
Sep 28, 2025 1.45pm
2
2
HT : 0 0
FT
Polish Ekstraklasa Gameweek 25
Mar 16, 2025 7.15pm
2
1
HT : 1 1
FT Stadion Miejski
  • Jesus Imaz 31' goal
  • Taras Romanczuk 44' yellowcard
  • Radoslaw Murawski 59' goal
  • Cezary Polak 65' yellowcard
  • Cezary Polak 65' yellowcard
  • Slawomir Abramowicz 89' yellowcard
  • goal Ali Gholizadeh 9'
  • yellowcard Bartosz Salamon 52'
  • yellowcard Radoslaw Murawski 90'+1'
  • yellowcard Alex Douglas 90'+4'
Polish Ekstraklasa Gameweek 8
Sep 14, 2024 7.15pm
5
0
HT : 2 1
FT Stadion MOS Poznan
  • Afonso Sousa 25' goal
  • Antonio Milic 36' yellowcard
  • Dino Hotic 41' goal
  • Filip Szymczak 81' goal
  • Jetmir Haliti 87' goal
  • Filip Jagiello 90'+3' goal
  • goal 15'
  • redcard Adrian Dieguez 38'
  • yellowcard Nene 42'
  • yellowcard Jetmir Haliti 79'
Polish Ekstraklasa Gameweek 21
Feb 17, 2024 4.30pm
1
2
HT : 0 2
FT Stadion Miejski
  • Adrian Dieguez 67' yellowcard
  • Kristoffer Normann Hansen 82' goal
  • yellowcard Kristoffer Velde 14'
  • goal Filip Marchwinski 18'
  • goal Filip Szymczak 30'
  • yellowcard Joel Pereira 90'+7'
Polish Ekstraklasa Gameweek 4
Oct 24, 2023 5.00pm
3
3
HT : 3 0
FT INEA stadion
  • Adriel Ba Loua 2' goal
  • 3' goal
  • Mikael Ishak 43' goal
  • Adriel Ba Loua 48' yellowcard
  • Adriel Ba Loua 51' goal
  • Filip Marchwinski 55' yellowcard
  • Elias Andersson 64' yellowcard
  • Alan Czerwinski 90'+5' yellowcard
  • Kristoffer Velde 90'+7' yellowcard
  • goal Kristoffer Normann Hansen 54'
  • yellowcard Taras Romanczuk 63'
  • goal Mateusz Skrzypczak 66'
  • goal Bartlomiej Wdowik 90'+6'