Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Jagiellonia Bialystok win with a probability of 50.18%. A draw had a probability of 25.3% and a win for Piast Gliwice had a probability of 24.52%.
The most likely scoreline for a Jagiellonia Bialystok win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (10.32%) and 2-0 (8.15%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.78%) , while for a Piast Gliwice win it was 1-2 (6.47%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.5% likelihood.