Polish Ekstraklasa Gameweek 16
Mar 17, 2026 6.00pm
2
1
HT : 2 0
FT Stadion Miejski
  • Álex Pozo 11' goal
  • Taras Romanczuk 45' goal
  • Kajetan Szmyt 64' yellowcard
  • Samed Bazdar 79' yellowcard
  • Dawid Drachal 80' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Eman Markovic 46'
  • yellowcard Erik Jirka 46'
  • yellowcard Damian Rasak 46'
  • goal Erik Jirka 82'
  • yellowcard Jakub Kokosiński 82'

Jagiellonia Bialystok vs Katowice - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Jagiellonia Bialystok

All competitions
Polish Ekstraklasa
Last game
Mar 14, 2026 1.45pm
Jagiellonia 1 - 2 Piast Gliwice
Goals scored
42
Top scorer
Afimico Pululu

Katowice

All competitions
Polish Ekstraklasa
Last game
Mar 14, 2026 4.30pm
Katowice 2 - 0 Gdansk
Goals scored
35
Top scorer
Bartosz Nowak

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Jagiellonia Bialystok win with a probability of 41.4%. A win for Katowice had a probability of 33.49% and a draw had a probability of 25.11%.

The most likely scoreline for a Jagiellonia Bialystok win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.99%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.97%) and 2-0 (6.5%). The likeliest Katowice win was 0-1 (7.82%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.71%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 9% likelihood.

Result

Jagiellonia Bialystok 41.4% (-1.11)
Draw 25.11% (+0.29)
Katowice 33.49% (+0.83)

Both Teams to Score: 

55.93% (-0.32)

Goals

Over 1.5 77.01% (-0.45)
Under 1.5 22.99% (+0.45)
Over 2.5 53.61% (-0.57)
Under 2.5 46.39% (+0.57)
Over 3.5 30.9% (-0.37)
Under 3.5 69.1% (+0.36)
Over 4.5 17.48% (-0.20)
Under 4.5 82.52% (+0.19)

First Half Winner

Jagiellonia Bialystok 35.68% (-0.68)
Draw 40.38% (+0.18)
Katowice 23.94% (+0.50)

Team To Score First

Jagiellonia Bialystok 53.63% (-0.69)
No Goal 6.21% (+0.21)
Katowice 40.16% (+0.49)

Corners

Over 8 60.44% (-0.71)
Equal 8 11.19% (+0.12)
Under 8 28.38% (+0.59)
Over 9 48.8% (-0.77)
Equal 9 11.64% (+0.07)
Under 9 39.56% (+0.71)
Over 10.5 37.69% (-0.77)
Under 10.5 62.31% (+0.77)

Jagiellonia Bialystok Goals

Over 1.5 42% (-1.10)
Under 1.5 58% (+1.10)
Over 2.5 18.39% (-0.67)
Under 2.5 81.61% (+0.68)
Over 3.5 6.43% (-0.32)
Under 3.5 93.57% (+0.31)

Katowice Goals

Over 0.5 68.63% (+0.47)
Under 0.5 31.37% (-0.47)
Over 1.5 35.77% (+0.43)
Under 1.5 64.23% (-0.43)
Over 2.5 14.12% (+0.35)
Under 2.5 85.88% (-0.36)
Over 3.5 4.69% (+0.27)
Under 3.5 95.31% (-0.26)

Score analysis

Jagiellonia Bialystok 41.41%
Draw 25.11%
Katowice 33.49%
Jagiellonia Bialystok
2-1 @ 8.99% (-0.20)
1-0 @ 8.97% (-0.03)
2-0 @ 6.5% (-0.14)
3-1 @ 4.34% (-0.16)
3-0 @ 3.45% (-0.13)
3-2 @ 2.91% (-0.07)
Other @ 6.25% (-0.37)
Total : 41.41%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.71% (+0.12)
0-0 @ 6.21% (+0.21)
2-2 @ 5.75% (-0.08)
3-3 @ 1.26% (-0.03)
Other @ 0.18% (+0.05)
Total : 25.11%
Katowice
0-1 @ 7.82% (+0.30)
1-2 @ 7.8% (+0.06)
0-2 @ 5.19% (+0.15)
1-3 @ 3.33% (+0.07)
0-3 @ 2.47% (+0.07)
2-3 @ 2.37% (-0.01)
Other @ 4.51% (+0.21)
Total : 33.49%

Head to Head

Polish Ekstraklasa Gameweek 23
Mar 2, 2025 4.30pm
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT Stadion Miejski
  • Taras Romanczuk 36' goal
  • yellowcard Oskar Repka 47'
Polish Ekstraklasa Gameweek 6
Aug 25, 2024 1.45pm
3
1
HT : 1 1
FT Stadion ul. Bukowa
  • Adrian Blad 2' goal
  • Mateusz Kowalczyk 65' yellowcard
  • Mateusz Kowalczyk 73' goal
  • Adam Zreľak 76' yellowcard
  • Oskar Repka 90'+7' goal
  • goal Afimico Pululu 18'
  • yellowcard Lamine Diaby-Fadiga 58'