Polish Ekstraklasa Gameweek 16
Feb 4, 2026 7.30pm
Stadion Miejski

Jagiellonia Bialystok vs Katowice - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Jagiellonia Bialystok

All competitions
Polish Ekstraklasa
Last game
Jan 31, 2026 4.30pm
Widzew Lodz 0 - 0 Jagiellonia
Goals scored
29
Top scorer
Afimico Pululu

Katowice

All competitions
Polish Ekstraklasa
Last game
Jan 30, 2026 5.00pm
Zaglebie Lubin 0 - 2 Katowice
Goals scored
25
Top scorer
Bartosz Nowak

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Jagiellonia Bialystok win with a probability of 53.02%. A win for Katowice has a probability of 24.26% and a draw has a probability of 22.73%.

The most likely scoreline for a Jagiellonia Bialystok win is 2-1 with a probability of 10.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-0 (9.73%) and 2-0 (8.5%). The likeliest Katowice win is 1-2 (6.27%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (10.64%).

Result

Jagiellonia Bialystok 53.02% (+1.12)
Draw 22.73% (-0.22)
Katowice 24.26% (-0.88)

Both Teams to Score: 

56.88% (+0.16)

Goals

Over 1.5 78.89% (+0.24)
Under 1.5 21.11% (-0.25)
Over 2.5 56.41% (+0.39)
Under 2.5 43.63% (-0.35)
Over 3.5 33.69% (+0.23)
Under 3.5 66.31% (-0.24)
Over 4.5 20.07% (+0.29)
Under 4.5 79.93% (-0.29)

First Half Winner

Jagiellonia Bialystok 44.97% (+4.57)
Draw 33.64% (-3.71)
Katowice 21.39% (-0.88)

Team To Score First

Jagiellonia Bialystok 58.68% (+1.72)
No Goal 5.35% (-0.19)
Katowice 35.97% (-1.54)

Corners

Over 8 57.54% (-0.07)
Equal 8 11.64% (+0.07)
Under 8 30.82%
Over 9 45.7% (-0.12)
Equal 9 11.83% (+0.06)
Under 9 42.46% (+0.07)
Over 10.5 34.68% (-0.15)
Under 10.5 65.32% (+0.15)

Jagiellonia Bialystok Goals

Over 1.5 52.19% (+0.97)
Under 1.5 47.81% (-0.97)
Over 2.5 25.79% (+0.72)
Under 2.5 74.21% (-0.73)
Over 3.5 10.38% (+0.28)
Under 3.5 89.62% (-0.27)

Katowice Goals

Over 0.5 61.14% (-0.55)
Under 0.5 38.86% (+0.55)
Over 1.5 28.52% (-0.45)
Under 1.5 71.48% (+0.46)
Over 2.5 9.85% (-0.33)
Under 2.5 90.15% (+0.33)
Over 3.5 2.79% (-0.07)
Under 3.5 97.21% (+0.07)

Score analysis

Jagiellonia Bialystok 53.01%
Draw 22.73%
Katowice 24.25%
Jagiellonia Bialystok
2-1 @ 10.23% (+0.20)
1-0 @ 9.73% (+0.15)
2-0 @ 8.5% (+0.11)
3-1 @ 5.73% (+0.04)
3-0 @ 4.92% (+0.23)
3-2 @ 3.55% (+0.16)
Other @ 10.35% (+0.25)
Total : 53.01%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.64% (-0.12)
2-2 @ 5.5% (+0.02)
0-0 @ 5.35% (-0.19)
3-3 @ 1.21% (+0.04)
Other @ 0.03% (+0.02)
Total : 22.73%
Katowice
1-2 @ 6.27% (-0.19)
0-1 @ 6.02% (-0.21)
0-2 @ 3.35% (-0.13)
1-3 @ 2.38% (-0.13)
2-3 @ 2.17% (-0.09)
0-3 @ 1.3% (-0.08)
Other @ 2.76% (-0.10)
Total : 24.25%

Head to Head

Polish Ekstraklasa Gameweek 23
Mar 2, 2025 4.30pm
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT Stadion Miejski
  • Taras Romanczuk 36' goal
  • yellowcard Oskar Repka 47'
Polish Ekstraklasa Gameweek 6
Aug 25, 2024 1.45pm
3
1
HT : 1 1
FT Stadion ul. Bukowa
  • Adrian Blad 2' goal
  • Mateusz Kowalczyk 65' yellowcard
  • Mateusz Kowalczyk 73' goal
  • Adam Zreľak 76' yellowcard
  • Oskar Repka 90'+7' goal
  • goal Afimico Pululu 18'
  • yellowcard Lamine Diaby-Fadiga 58'