Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lech Poznan win with a probability of 52.14%. A win for Nieciecza had a probability of 24.91% and a draw had a probability of 22.95%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lech Poznan win was 2-1 with a probability of 10.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.21%) and 2-0 (7.23%). The likeliest Nieciecza win was 1-2 (6.68%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.18%).