Polish Ekstraklasa Gameweek 30
Lech Poznan
Apr 26, 2026 4.30pm
4
0
HT : 4 0
FT Enea stadion
Legia
  • Ali Gholizadeh 3' goal
  • Mikael Ishak 31' goal
  • Michal Gurgul 38' goal
  • Mikael Ishak 42' goal
  • Luis Palma 65' yellowcard
  • Filip Jagiello 65' yellowcard
  • Daniel Håkans 65' yellowcard
  • 65' yellowcard
  • Radoslaw Murawski 78' yellowcard
  • Hubert Janyszka 86' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Artur Jedrzejczyk 22'
  • yellowcard Bartosz Kapustka 46'
  • yellowcard Wojciech Urbanski 64'
  • yellowcard Wojciech Urbanski 65'
  • yellowcard 65'
  • yellowcard Samuel Kovacik 65'
  • yellowcard Samuel Kovacik 66'
  • yellowcard Arkadiusz Reca 72'

Lech Poznan vs Legia Warsaw - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Lech Poznan

All competitions
Polish Ekstraklasa
Last game
Apr 18, 2026 7.15pm
Szczecin 1 - 2 Lech Poznan
Goals scored
55
Top scorer
Ali Gholizadeh

Legia Warsaw

All competitions
Polish Ekstraklasa
Last game
Apr 17, 2026 7.30pm
Legia 1 - 0 Zaglebie Lubin
Goals scored
34
Top scorer
Mileta Rajović

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lech Poznan win with a probability of 44.19%. A win for Legia Warsaw had a probability of 30.77% and a draw had a probability of 25.04%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lech Poznan win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.17%) and 2-0 (6.23%). The likeliest Legia Warsaw win was 1-2 (7.79%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.96%).

Result

Lech Poznan 44.19% ▲ (+0.80)
Draw 25.04% ▲ (+0.06)
Legia Warsaw 30.77% ▼ (-0.86)

Both Teams to Score: 

60.36% ▼ (-0.65)

Goals

Over 1.5 80.82% ▼ (-0.52)
Under 1.5 19.18% ▲ (+0.51)
Over 2.5 59.29% ▼ (-0.74)
Under 2.5 40.71% ▲ (+0.74)
Over 3.5 36.15% ▼ (-1.18)
Under 3.5 63.85% ▲ (+1.18)
Over 4.5 21.3% ▼ (-0.92)
Under 4.5 78.7% ▲ (+0.91)

First Half Winner

Lech Poznan 35.09% ▲ (+0.64)
Draw 39.91% ▼ (-0.33)
Legia Warsaw 25% ▼ (-0.31)

Team To Score First

Lech Poznan 52.76% ▼ (-0.03)
No Goal 5.11% ▲ (+0.19)
Legia Warsaw 42.13% ▼ (-0.16)

Corners

Over 8 56.2% ▲ (+0.24)
Equal 8 11.93% ▲ (+0.07)
Under 8 31.87% ▼ (-0.28)
Over 9 44.19% ▲ (+0.15)
Equal 9 12.01% ▲ (+0.09)
Under 9 43.8% ▼ (-0.24)
Over 10.5 33.12% ▲ (+0.06)
Under 10.5 66.88% ▼ (-0.07)

Lech Poznan Goals

Over 1.5 47.97% ▲ (+0.12)
Under 1.5 52.03% ▼ (-0.12)
Over 2.5 22.73% ▼ (-0.01)
Under 2.5 77.27% ▲ (+0.01)
Over 3.5 8.6% ▼ (-0.12)
Under 3.5 91.4% ▲ (+0.11)

Legia Warsaw Goals

Over 0.5 68.26% ▼ (-0.79)
Under 0.5 31.74% ▲ (+0.79)
Over 1.5 37.18% ▼ (-1.29)
Under 1.5 62.82% ▲ (+1.29)
Over 2.5 15.04% ▼ (-1.00)
Under 2.5 84.96% ▲ (+1.00)
Over 3.5 4.67% ▼ (-0.50)
Under 3.5 95.33% ▲ (+0.49)

Score analysis

Lech Poznan 44.2%
Draw 25.03%
Legia Warsaw 30.76%
Lech Poznan
2-1 @ 9.39% ▲ (+0.26)
1-0 @ 8.17% ▲ (+0.25)
2-0 @ 6.23% ▲ (+0.19)
3-1 @ 4.84% ▲ (+0.05)
3-0 @ 3.93% ▲ (+0.23)
3-2 @ 3.35% ▼ (-0.11)
Other @ 8.29% ▼ (-0.06)
Total : 44.2%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.96% ▲ (+0.12)
2-2 @ 6.64% ▼ (-0.12)
0-0 @ 5.11% ▲ (+0.19)
3-3 @ 2.01% ▼ (-0.08)
Other @ 0.31% ▼ (-0.06)
Total : 25.03%
Legia Warsaw
1-2 @ 7.79% ▼ (-0.02)
0-1 @ 5.89% ▲ (+0.07)
0-2 @ 4.36% ▼ (-0.05)
1-3 @ 3.36% ▼ (-0.23)
2-3 @ 2.98% ▼ (-0.21)
0-3 @ 2.02% ▼ (-0.03)
Other @ 4.36% ▼ (-0.43)
Total : 30.76%

Head to Head

Polish Ekstraklasa
Legia
Oct 26, 2025 7.15pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT
Lech Poznan
Polish Ekstraklasa Gameweek 32
Legia
May 11, 2025 4.30pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT Stadion Miejski Legii Warszawa im. Marszalka Jozefa Pilsudskiego
Lech Poznan
  • Ruben Vinagre 45'+8' yellowcard
  • Juergen Elitim 90'+2' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Michal Gurgul 32'
  • yellowcard Dino Hotic 45'+10'
  • goal Ali Gholizadeh 77'
Polish Ekstraklasa Gameweek 15
Lech Poznan
Nov 10, 2024 4.30pm
5
2
HT : 2 2
FT Stadion MOS Poznan
Legia
  • Ali Gholizadeh 4' goal
  • Antoni Kozubal 38' goal
  • Michal Gurgul 45'+3' yellowcard
  • Afonso Sousa 50' goal
  • Mikael Ishak 58' goal
  • Patrik Walemark 65' yellowcard
  • Afonso Sousa 69' goal
  • Radoslaw Murawski 73' yellowcard
  • goal Marc Gual 28'
  • goal Rafal Augustyniak 45'+2'
  • yellowcard Luquinhas 50'
  • yellowcard Wojciech Urbanski 77'
  • yellowcard Jurgen Celhaka 90'+1'
  • yellowcard Jurgen Celhaka 90'+1'
Polish Ekstraklasa Gameweek 32
Lech Poznan
May 12, 2024 4.30pm
1
2
HT : 0 2
FT INEA stadion
Legia
  • Barry Douglas 13' yellowcard
  • Elias Andersson 66' yellowcard
  • Joel Pereira 83' goal
  • Bartosz Salamon 88' yellowcard
  • goal Miha Blazic 15' (OG)
  • goal Bartosz Salamon 45' (OG)
  • yellowcard Yuri Ribeiro 55'
  • yellowcard Artur Jedrzejczyk 64'
Polish Ekstraklasa Gameweek 15
Legia
Nov 12, 2023 4.30pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT Stadion Miejski Legii Warszawa im. Marszalka Jozefa Pilsudskiego
Lech Poznan
  • Tomas Pekhart 14' yellowcard
  • Steve Kapuadi 87' yellowcard
  • Blaz Kramer 90'+1' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Radoslaw Murawski 64'
  • yellowcard Mikael Ishak 73'

Form Data

Szczecin 1 - 2 Lech Poznan
Lech Poznan 3 - 3 Katowice
Jagiellonia 0 - 0 Lech Poznan
Lech Poznan 4 - 1 Nieciecza
Shakhtar 1 - 2 Lech Poznan
Zaglebie Lubin 0 - 1 Lech Poznan
Legia 1 - 0 Zaglebie Lubin
Legia 1 - 1 Gornik
Szczecin 0 - 2 Legia
Legia 1 - 1 Rakow
Radomiak Radom 1 - 1 Legia
Legia 1 - 0 Cracovia