Polish Ekstraklasa Gameweek 28
Apr 11, 2026 7.15pm
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT Stadion Miejski Legii Warszawa im. Marszałka Józefa Piłsudskiego
  • Kacper Urbanski 67' yellowcard
  • Rafal Augustyniak 82' yellowcard
  • Ermal Krasniqi 85' yellowcard
  • Arkadiusz Reca 85' yellowcard
  • Artur Jedrzejczyk 85' yellowcard
  • Arkadiusz Reca 86' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Yvan Ikia Dimi 46'
  • yellowcard Jaroslaw Kubicki 63'
  • yellowcard Roberto Massimo 75'
  • yellowcard Kamil Lukoszek 85'
  • yellowcard Michal Rakoczy 85'
  • yellowcard Michal Rakoczy 86'
  • goal Pawel Bochniewicz 90'+6'

Legia Warsaw vs Gornik Zabrze - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Legia Warsaw

All competitions
Polish Ekstraklasa
Last game
Apr 6, 2026 4.30pm
Szczecin 0 - 2 Legia
Goals scored
33
Top scorer
Mileta Rajović

Gornik Zabrze

All competitions
Polish Ekstraklasa
Last game
Apr 4, 2026 4.30pm
Gornik 3 - 0 Cracovia
Goals scored
40
Top scorer
Lukas Sadilek

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Legia Warsaw win with a probability of 39.46%. A win for Gornik Zabrze had a probability of 33.16% and a draw had a probability of 27.38%.

The most likely scoreline for a Legia Warsaw win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.97%) and 2-0 (6.6%). The likeliest Gornik Zabrze win was 0-1 (8.97%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.93%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.9% likelihood.

Result

Legia Warsaw 39.46%
Draw 27.38%
Gornik Zabrze 33.16% (+0.05)

Both Teams to Score: 

51.54%

Goals

Over 1.5 72.6% (+0.04)
Under 1.5 27.4% (-0.04)
Over 2.5 47.71%
Under 2.5 52.29%
Over 3.5 25.65%
Under 3.5 74.35%
Over 4.5 13.54%
Under 4.5 86.46%

First Half Winner

Legia Warsaw 30.71%
Draw 42.11%
Gornik Zabrze 27.18%

Team To Score First

Legia Warsaw 47.38% (-0.01)
No Goal 8.05% (+0.02)
Gornik Zabrze 44.57%

Corners

Over 8 52.6% (+0.07)
Equal 8 12.31%
Under 8 35.1% (-0.06)
Over 9 40.54% (+0.05)
Equal 9 12.05% (+0.02)
Under 9 47.4% (-0.07)
Over 10.5 29.75% (+0.04)
Under 10.5 70.25% (-0.05)

Legia Warsaw Goals

Over 1.5 37.64% (-0.04)
Under 1.5 62.36% (+0.04)
Over 2.5 14.58% (-0.03)
Under 2.5 85.42% (+0.04)
Over 3.5 4.57% (-0.01)
Under 3.5 95.43% (+0.02)

Gornik Zabrze Goals

Over 0.5 67.53% (+0.05)
Under 0.5 32.47% (-0.06)
Over 1.5 33.03% (+0.04)
Under 1.5 66.97% (-0.04)
Over 2.5 12.1% (+0.02)
Under 2.5 87.9% (-0.02)
Over 3.5 3.45%
Under 3.5 96.55%

Score analysis

Legia Warsaw 39.45%
Draw 27.38%
Gornik Zabrze 33.17%
Legia Warsaw
1-0 @ 10.38%
2-1 @ 8.97% (+0.01)
2-0 @ 6.6%
3-1 @ 3.63% (-0.02)
3-0 @ 2.95% (-0.01)
3-2 @ 2.43%
Other @ 4.49%
Total : 39.45%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.93% (+0.01)
0-0 @ 8.05% (+0.02)
2-2 @ 5.32% (-0.01)
3-3 @ 1%
Other @ 0.08% (-0.01)
Total : 27.38%
Gornik Zabrze
0-1 @ 8.97% (+0.01)
1-2 @ 7.82%
0-2 @ 5.36% (+0.03)
1-3 @ 3.16% (+0.02)
0-3 @ 2.32% (+0.01)
2-3 @ 2.17%
Other @ 3.37% (+0.02)
Total : 33.17%

Head to Head

Polish Ekstraklasa
Oct 5, 2025 7.15pm
3
1
HT : 0 0
FT
Polish Ekstraklasa Gameweek 27
Apr 6, 2025 1.45pm
1
2
HT : 1 0
FT Arena Zabrze
  • Taofeek Ismaheel 8' goal
  • Patrik Hellebrand 28' yellowcard
  • Taofeek Ismaheel 54' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Kacper Chodyna 12'
  • yellowcard Artur Jedrzejczyk 45'
  • goal Luquinhas 58'
  • yellowcard Jan Ziolkowski 59'
  • goal Luquinhas 67'
Polish Ekstraklasa Gameweek 10
Sep 28, 2024 7.15pm
1
1
HT : 1 1
FT Stadion Miejski Legii Warszawa im. Marszalka Jozefa Pilsudskiego
  • Radovan Pankov 35' goal
  • Luquinhas 60' yellowcard
  • goal Kamil Lukoszek 10'
  • yellowcard Damian Rasak 39'
Polish Ekstraklasa Gameweek 26
Apr 1, 2024 7.00pm
1
3
HT : 0 1
FT Arena Zabrze
  • Lawrence Ennali 61' goal
  • Lawrence Ennali 77' yellowcard
  • goal Tomas Pekhart 42'
  • yellowcard Rafal Augustyniak 53'
  • yellowcard Radovan Pankov 60'
  • goal Bartosz Kapustka 68'
  • goal Josue Pesqueira 75'
  • yellowcard Steve Kapuadi 90'+3'
Polish Ekstraklasa Gameweek 9
Sep 24, 2023 4.30pm
2
1
HT : 1 1
FT Stadion Miejski Legii Warszawa im. Marszalka Jozefa Pilsudskiego
  • Tomas Pekhart 8' goal
  • Jurgen Celhaka 45'+1' yellowcard
  • Igor Strzalek 90'+2' goal
  • goal Sebastian Musiolik 12'
  • yellowcard Robert Dadok 45'