Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Pogon Szczecin win with a probability of 43.66%. A win for Legia Warsaw had a probability of 30.68% and a draw had a probability of 25.66%.
The most likely scoreline for a Pogon Szczecin win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.45%) and 2-0 (6.95%). The likeliest Legia Warsaw win was 0-1 (7.44%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.43%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 4.6% likelihood.