Polish Ekstraklasa Gameweek 27
Apr 6, 2026 4.30pm
Stadion Miejski im. Floriana Krygiera

Pogon Szczecin vs Legia Warsaw - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Pogon Szczecin

All competitions
Polish Ekstraklasa
Last game
Mar 21, 2026 4.30pm
Gdansk 2 - 1 Szczecin
Goals scored
36
Top scorer
Paul Mukairu

Legia Warsaw

All competitions
Polish Ekstraklasa
Last game
Mar 22, 2026 7.15pm
Legia 1 - 1 Rakow
Goals scored
30
Top scorer
Antonio Colak

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Pogon Szczecin win with a probability of 43.66%. A win for Legia Warsaw has a probability of 30.68% and a draw has a probability of 25.66%.

The most likely scoreline for a Pogon Szczecin win is 2-1 with a probability of 9.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-0 (9.45%) and 2-0 (6.95%). The likeliest Legia Warsaw win is 0-1 (7.44%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (12.43%).

Result

Pogon Szczecin 43.66% (+0.06)
Draw 25.66% (-0.06)
Legia Warsaw 30.68%

Both Teams to Score: 

56.12% (+0.05)

Goals

Over 1.5 76.94% (+0.07)
Under 1.5 23.06% (-0.07)
Over 2.5 52.93% (+0.12)
Under 2.5 47.07% (-0.12)
Over 3.5 30.42% (+0.14)
Under 3.5 69.58% (-0.13)
Over 4.5 16.92% (+0.09)
Under 4.5 83.08% (-0.08)

First Half Winner

Pogon Szczecin 34.84%
Draw 40.72%
Legia Warsaw 24.44%

Team To Score First

Pogon Szczecin 52.41%
No Goal 6.17% (-0.03)
Legia Warsaw 41.42% (+0.03)

Corners

Over 8 59.65% (-0.43)
Equal 8 11.23% (+0.09)
Under 8 29.12% (+0.36)
Over 9 48.04% (-0.49)
Equal 9 11.61% (+0.05)
Under 9 40.35% (+0.43)
Over 10.5 37.03% (-0.50)
Under 10.5 62.97% (+0.50)

Pogon Szczecin Goals

Over 1.5 43.69% (+0.08)
Under 1.5 56.31% (-0.08)
Over 2.5 18.9% (+0.06)
Under 2.5 81.1% (-0.07)
Over 3.5 6.25% (+0.05)
Under 3.5 93.75% (-0.05)

Legia Warsaw Goals

Over 0.5 67.72% (-0.02)
Under 0.5 32.28% (+0.03)
Over 1.5 33.57% (+0.04)
Under 1.5 66.43% (-0.03)
Over 2.5 12.43% (+0.02)
Under 2.5 87.57% (-0.03)
Over 3.5 3.84% (+0.03)
Under 3.5 96.16% (-0.03)

Score analysis

Pogon Szczecin 43.66%
Draw 25.67%
Legia Warsaw 30.67%
Pogon Szczecin
2-1 @ 9.63% (-0.01)
1-0 @ 9.45% (-0.02)
2-0 @ 6.95% (-0.01)
3-1 @ 4.65% (+0.03)
3-0 @ 3.52%
3-2 @ 3.27% (+0.02)
Other @ 6.19% (+0.06)
Total : 43.66%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.43% (-0.02)
0-0 @ 6.17% (-0.03)
2-2 @ 5.8% (+0.01)
3-3 @ 1.21% (-0.03)
Other @ 0.06%
Total : 25.67%
Legia Warsaw
0-1 @ 7.44% (-0.05)
1-2 @ 7.44% (+0.02)
0-2 @ 4.63% (-0.03)
1-3 @ 3.05% (+0.01)
2-3 @ 2.41% (+0.03)
0-3 @ 1.92% (-0.02)
Other @ 3.78% (+0.03)
Total : 30.67%

Head to Head

Polish Ekstraklasa
Sep 28, 2025 4.30pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT
Polish Ekstraklasa Gameweek 26
Mar 28, 2025 7.30pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT Stadion Miejski Legii Warszawa im. Marszalka Jozefa Pilsudskiego
  • Steve Kapuadi 35' yellowcard
  • Juergen Elitim 90' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Adrian Przyborek 21'
  • yellowcard Kamil Grosicki 83'
  • yellowcard Leonardo Koutris 90'+3'
Polish Ekstraklasa Gameweek 9
Sep 20, 2024 7.30pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT Stadion Miejski im. Floriana Krygiera
  • Alexander Gorgon 67' goal
  • Leo Borges 82' yellowcard
  • Linus Wahlqvist 90'+5' yellowcard
  • Valentin Cojocaru 90'+5' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Jurgen Celhaka 57'
  • yellowcard Artur Jedrzejczyk 90'+5'
Polish Ekstraklasa Gameweek 23
Mar 2, 2024 7.00pm
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT Stadion Miejski Legii Warszawa im. Marszalka Jozefa Pilsudskiego
  • Pawel Wszolek 49' goal
  • Josue Pesqueira 74' yellowcard
  • Tomas Pekhart 90'+4' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Linus Wahlqvist 58'
  • goal Efthymios Koulouris 60'
  • yellowcard Leonardo Koutris 90'+2'
Polish Ekstraklasa Gameweek 6
Sep 27, 2023 7.00pm
3
4
HT : 1 1
FT Stadion Miejski im. Floriana Krygiera
  • Kamil Grosicki 29' goal
  • Efthymios Koulouris 51' goal
  • Alexander Gorgon 58' yellowcard
  • Vahan Bichakhchyan 71' goal
  • Pawel Stolarski 90'+2' yellowcard
  • Pawel Stolarski 90'+3' yellowcard
  • goal Tomas Pekhart 33'
  • yellowcard Steve Kapuadi 42'
  • redcard Artur Jedrzejczyk 45'+4'
  • goal Pawel Wszolek 69'
  • goal Juergen Elitim 78'
  • goal Steve Kapuadi 84'