Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lechia Gdansk win with a probability of 48.15%. A win for Pogon Szczecin had a probability of 27.02% and a draw had a probability of 24.79%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lechia Gdansk win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.63%) and 2-0 (7.54%). The likeliest Pogon Szczecin win was 1-2 (6.72%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.21%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood.