Polish Ekstraklasa Gameweek 26
Mar 21, 2026 4.30pm
Stadion Energa Gdańsk

Lechia Gdansk vs Pogon Szczecin - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Lechia Gdansk

All competitions
Polish Ekstraklasa
Last game
Mar 14, 2026 4.30pm
Katowice 2 - 0 Gdansk
Goals scored
49
Top scorer
Tomas Bobcek

Pogon Szczecin

All competitions
Polish Ekstraklasa
Last game
Mar 16, 2026 6.00pm
Szczecin 2 - 1 Korona Kielce
Goals scored
35
Top scorer
Sam Greenwood

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Lechia Gdansk win with a probability of 48.2%. A win for Pogon Szczecin has a probability of 27.04% and a draw has a probability of 24.76%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lechia Gdansk win is 2-1 with a probability of 9.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-0 (9.64%) and 2-0 (7.55%). The likeliest Pogon Szczecin win is 1-2 (6.73%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (11.2%).

Result

Lechia Gdansk 48.2% (-0.25)
Draw 24.76% (+0.20)
Pogon Szczecin 27.04% (+0.11)

Both Teams to Score: 

55.43% (-0.65)

Goals

Over 1.5 77.8% (-0.41)
Under 1.5 22.2% (+0.40)
Over 2.5 55.29% (-0.65)
Under 2.5 44.71% (+0.65)
Over 3.5 32.81% (-0.86)
Under 3.5 67.19% (+0.86)
Over 4.5 19.13% (-0.59)
Under 4.5 80.87% (+0.58)

First Half Winner

Lechia Gdansk 37.16% (-0.29)
Draw 40.24% (+0.14)
Pogon Szczecin 22.59% (+0.15)

Team To Score First

Lechia Gdansk 56.11% (+0.40)
No Goal 5.99% (+0.25)
Pogon Szczecin 37.9% (-0.65)

Corners

Over 8 65.7% (-0.12)
Equal 8 10.65% (+0.26)
Under 8 23.64% (-0.17)
Over 9 54.11% (-0.43)
Equal 9 11.59% (+0.31)
Under 9 34.3% (+0.12)
Over 10.5 42.6% (-0.68)
Under 10.5 57.4% (+0.68)

Lechia Gdansk Goals

Over 1.5 48.42% (-0.65)
Under 1.5 51.58% (+0.65)
Over 2.5 22.86% (-0.47)
Under 2.5 77.14% (+0.47)
Over 3.5 8.89% (-0.22)
Under 3.5 91.11% (+0.22)

Pogon Szczecin Goals

Over 0.5 63.98% (-0.18)
Under 0.5 36.02% (+0.18)
Over 1.5 31.27% (-0.34)
Under 1.5 68.73% (+0.35)
Over 2.5 11.69% (-0.14)
Under 2.5 88.31% (+0.13)
Over 3.5 3.58% (-0.07)
Under 3.5 96.42% (+0.08)

Score analysis

Lechia Gdansk 48.19%
Draw 24.75%
Pogon Szczecin 27.05%
Lechia Gdansk
2-1 @ 9.83% (+0.02)
1-0 @ 9.64% (+0.09)
2-0 @ 7.55% (+0.05)
3-1 @ 5.12% (-0.12)
3-0 @ 4.22% (+0.07)
3-2 @ 3.22% (-0.14)
Other @ 8.61% (-0.24)
Total : 48.19%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.2% (+0.15)
0-0 @ 5.99% (+0.25)
2-2 @ 5.87% (-0.17)
3-3 @ 1.41% (-0.08)
Other @ 0.28% (+0.02)
Total : 24.75%
Pogon Szczecin
1-2 @ 6.73% (+0.04)
0-1 @ 6.56% (+0.11)
0-2 @ 3.76% (+0.06)
1-3 @ 2.69% (-0.03)
2-3 @ 2.31% (-0.07)
0-3 @ 1.7% (+0.10)
Other @ 3.3% (-0.09)
Total : 27.05%

Head to Head

Polish Ekstraklasa
Sep 21, 2025 1.45pm
3
4
HT : 0 0
FT
Polish Ekstraklasa Gameweek 33
May 17, 2025 1.45pm
3
3
HT : 2 2
FT Stadion Miejski im. Floriana Krygiera
  • Linus Wahlqvist 31' yellowcard
  • Elias Olsson 32' goal
  • Fredrik Ulvestad 45' goal
  • Adrian Przyborek 54' yellowcard
  • Fredrik Ulvestad 68' yellowcard
  • Luizao 68' yellowcard
  • Efthymios Koulouris 72' goal
  • goal Kacper Sezonienko 6'
  • goal Ivan Zhelizko 39'
  • yellowcard Bujar Pllana 65'
  • yellowcard Rifet Kapic 69'
  • goal Michal Glogowski 86'
Polish Ekstraklasa Gameweek 16
Nov 23, 2024 1.45pm
0
3
HT : 0 2
FT Stadion Energa Gdansk
  • goal Efthymios Koulouris 19'
  • goal Efthymios Koulouris 40'
  • goal Efthymios Koulouris 83'