Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Pogon Szczecin win with a probability of 46.8%. A win for Korona Kielce had a probability of 27.47% and a draw had a probability of 25.68%.
The most likely scoreline for a Pogon Szczecin win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (10%) and 2-0 (7.46%). The likeliest Korona Kielce win was 0-1 (7.24%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.11%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 10% likelihood.