Polish Ekstraklasa
Apr 18, 2026 7.15pm
1
2
HT : 0 1
FT Stadion Miejski im. Floriana Krygiera
  • Karol Angielski 53' yellowcard
  • M. Agger 54' yellowcard
  • Jacek Samuel Czapliński 69' yellowcard
  • Paul Mukairu 80' goal
  • Leonardo Koutris 85' yellowcard
  • Mor Ndiaye 85' yellowcard
  • goal Antoni Kozubal 35'
  • yellowcard Filip Jagiello 46'
  • goal Luis Palma 62'
  • yellowcard Timothy Ouma 63'
  • yellowcard Daniel Håkans 63'
  • yellowcard Yannick Agnero 71'
  • yellowcard Taofeek Ismaheel 79'

Pogon Szczecin vs Lech Poznan - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Pogon Szczecin

All competitions
Polish Ekstraklasa
Last game
Apr 13, 2026 6.00pm
Piast Gliwice 0 - 2 Szczecin
Goals scored
39
Top scorer
Paul Mukairu

Lech Poznan

All competitions
Polish Ekstraklasa
Last game
Apr 12, 2026 4.30pm
Lech Poznan 3 - 3 Katowice
Goals scored
51
Top scorer
Ali Gholizadeh

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lech Poznan win with a probability of 44.45%. A win for Pogon Szczecin had a probability of 30.67% and a draw had a probability of 24.88%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lech Poznan win was 1-2 with a probability of 10.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.86%) and 0-2 (7.04%). The likeliest Pogon Szczecin win was 2-1 (7.7%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.57%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 10.1% likelihood.

Result

Pogon Szczecin 30.67% (-2.34)
Draw 24.88% (-0.86)
Lech Poznan 44.45% (+3.21)

Both Teams to Score: 

57.43% (+2.09)

Goals

Over 1.5 77.67% (+1.36)
Under 1.5 22.33% (-1.36)
Over 2.5 54.6% (+1.90)
Under 2.5 45.4% (-1.90)
Over 3.5 30.65% (+0.31)
Under 3.5 69.3% (-0.36)
Over 4.5 17.04% (+0.33)
Under 4.5 82.96% (-0.33)

First Half Winner

Pogon Szczecin 26.39% (-2.61)
Draw 39.7% (-1.84)
Lech Poznan 33.92% (+4.48)

Team To Score First

Pogon Szczecin 40.07% (-3.00)
No Goal 6.13% (-0.39)
Lech Poznan 53.8% (+3.38)

Corners

Over 8 56.37% (-6.93)
Equal 8 11.29% (+0.02)
Under 8 32.34% (+6.91)
Over 9 45% (-6.28)
Equal 9 11.38% (-0.64)
Under 9 43.63% (+6.93)
Over 10.5 34.44% (-5.17)
Under 10.5 65.56% (+5.17)

Pogon Szczecin Goals

Over 1.5 33.78% (-1.32)
Under 1.5 66.22% (+1.32)
Over 2.5 12.6% (-0.75)
Under 2.5 87.4% (+0.75)
Over 3.5 3.67% (-0.55)
Under 3.5 96.33% (+0.55)

Lech Poznan Goals

Over 0.5 76.31% (+2.11)
Under 0.5 23.69% (-2.11)
Over 1.5 45.04% (+3.25)
Under 1.5 54.96% (-3.25)
Over 2.5 19.94% (+2.18)
Under 2.5 80.06% (-2.18)
Over 3.5 6.68% (+0.74)
Under 3.5 93.32% (-0.75)

Score analysis

Pogon Szczecin 30.67%
Draw 24.88%
Lech Poznan 44.46%
Pogon Szczecin
2-1 @ 7.7% (-0.19)
1-0 @ 7.35% (-0.80)
2-0 @ 4.45% (-0.50)
3-1 @ 3.14% (-0.28)
3-2 @ 2.26% (-0.18)
3-0 @ 2.24% (+0.15)
Other @ 3.53% (-0.57)
Total : 30.67%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.57% (-0.51)
0-0 @ 6.13% (-0.39)
2-2 @ 5.75% (-0.08)
3-3 @ 1.29% (+0.12)
Other @ 0.14% (+0.02)
Total : 24.88%
Lech Poznan
1-2 @ 10.05% (+0.87)
0-1 @ 8.86% (-0.17)
0-2 @ 7.04% (+0.46)
1-3 @ 4.73% (+0.36)
0-3 @ 3.96% (+0.77)
2-3 @ 3.28% (+0.20)
Other @ 6.54% (+0.74)
Total : 44.46%

Head to Head

Polish Ekstraklasa
Oct 19, 2025 1.45pm
2
2
HT : 0 0
FT
Polish Ekstraklasa Gameweek 23
Mar 1, 2025 4.30pm
0
3
HT : 0 1
FT Stadion Miejski im. Floriana Krygiera
  • Danijel Loncar 78' yellowcard
  • Marcel Wedrychowski 90'+2' redcard
  • goal Mikael Ishak 32'
  • goal Mikael Ishak 68'
  • yellowcard Radoslaw Murawski 72'
  • goal Joel Pereira 85'
Polish Ekstraklasa Gameweek 6
Aug 25, 2024 4.30pm
2
0
HT : 0 0
FT Stadion MOS Poznan
  • Kamil Grosicki 9' yellowcard
  • Afonso Sousa 55' goal
  • Radoslaw Murawski 70' yellowcard
  • Ali Gholizadeh 77' goal
  • Ali Gholizadeh 90' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Mikael Ishak 8'
  • yellowcard Alexander Gorgon 19'
  • yellowcard Efthymios Koulouris 39'
  • redcard Benedikt Zech 45'+1'
  • yellowcard Patryk Paryzek 87'
Polish Ekstraklasa Gameweek 27
Apr 7, 2024 2.00pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT INEA stadion
  • Mikael Ishak 77' goal
  • yellowcard Vahan Bichakhchyan 3'
  • yellowcard Adrian Przyborek 89'
Polish Ekstraklasa Gameweek 10
Oct 1, 2023 4.30pm
5
0
HT : 3 0
FT Stadion Miejski im. Floriana Krygiera
  • Fredrik Ulvestad 17' goal
  • Fredrik Ulvestad 29' yellowcard
  • Alexander Gorgon 33' goal
  • Vahan Bichakhchyan 39' goal
  • Kamil Grosicki 47' goal
  • Valentin Cojocaru 48' yellowcard
  • Kamil Grosicki 66' yellowcard
  • Mariusz Fornalczyk 90'+3' goal