Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Katowice win with a probability of 39.69%. A win for Motor Lublin had a probability of 33.54% and a draw had a probability of 26.82%.
The most likely scoreline for a Katowice win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.99%) and 2-0 (6.23%). The likeliest Motor Lublin win was 1-2 (8.58%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.46%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.7% likelihood.