Polish Ekstraklasa
Apr 17, 2026 5.00pm
3
2
HT : 3 1
FT Stadion ul. Bukowa
  • Eman Markovic 23' goal
  • Bartosz Nowak 39' goal
  • Eman Markovic 45'+3' goal
  • Borja Galán 59' yellowcard
  • Adam Zrelak 67' yellowcard
  • Mateusz Wdowiak 86' yellowcard
  • Marcel Wedrychowski 86' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Gasper Tratnik 23'
  • goal Karol Czubak 29'
  • yellowcard Sergi Samper 46'
  • yellowcard Arkadiusz Najemski 46'
  • goal Bartosz Wolski 49'
  • yellowcard Florian Haxha 73'
  • yellowcard Mathieu Scalet 81'

Katowice vs Motor Lublin - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Katowice

All competitions
Polish Ekstraklasa
Last game
Apr 12, 2026 4.30pm
Lech Poznan 3 - 3 Katowice
Goals scored
42
Top scorer
Eman Markovic

Motor Lublin

All competitions
Polish Ekstraklasa
Last game
Apr 12, 2026 1.45pm
Motor Lublin 1 - 1 Rakow
Goals scored
39
Top scorer
Karol Czubak

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Katowice win with a probability of 39.69%. A win for Motor Lublin had a probability of 33.54% and a draw had a probability of 26.82%.

The most likely scoreline for a Katowice win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.99%) and 2-0 (6.23%). The likeliest Motor Lublin win was 1-2 (8.58%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.46%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.7% likelihood.

Result

Katowice 39.69% (-2.38)
Draw 26.82% (+0.36)
Motor Lublin 33.54% (+2.06)

Both Teams to Score: 

59.21% (+3.40)

Goals

Over 1.5 77.39% (+0.80)
Under 1.5 22.61% (-0.81)
Over 2.5 53.81% (+1.14)
Under 2.5 46.19% (-1.14)
Over 3.5 30.54% (+0.75)
Under 3.5 69.46% (-0.75)
Over 4.5 16.78% (+0.43)
Under 4.5 83.22% (-0.44)

First Half Winner

Katowice 33.34% (-1.30)
Draw 40.98% (-0.39)
Motor Lublin 25.68% (+1.68)

Team To Score First

Katowice 50.67% (-3.11)
No Goal 6.27% (-0.14)
Motor Lublin 43.06% (+3.25)

Corners

Over 8 67.57% (-1.40)
Equal 8 10.76% (+0.27)
Under 8 21.67% (+1.13)
Over 9 55.61% (-1.54)
Equal 9 11.96% (+0.16)
Under 9 32.43% (+1.40)
Over 10.5 43.56% (-1.55)
Under 10.5 56.44% (+1.55)

Katowice Goals

Over 1.5 41.48% (-1.07)
Under 1.5 58.52% (+1.07)
Over 2.5 17.35% (-0.49)
Under 2.5 82.65% (+0.50)
Over 3.5 5.76% (-0.25)
Under 3.5 94.24% (+0.24)

Motor Lublin Goals

Over 0.5 69.88% (+1.72)
Under 0.5 30.12% (-1.72)
Over 1.5 36.91% (+2.49)
Under 1.5 63.09% (-2.49)
Over 2.5 14.59% (+1.51)
Under 2.5 85.41% (-1.52)
Over 3.5 4.38% (+0.40)
Under 3.5 95.62% (-0.40)

Score analysis

Katowice 39.71%
Draw 26.81%
Motor Lublin 33.54%
Katowice
2-1 @ 9.06% (-0.47)
1-0 @ 8.99% (-0.59)
2-0 @ 6.23% (-0.49)
3-1 @ 4.04% (-0.26)
3-0 @ 3.26% (-0.15)
3-2 @ 2.7% (-0.09)
Other @ 5.43% (-0.32)
Total : 39.71%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.46% (-0.02)
0-0 @ 6.27% (-0.14)
2-2 @ 6.16% (+0.21)
3-3 @ 1.59% (+0.24)
Other @ 0.33% (+0.08)
Total : 26.81%
Motor Lublin
1-2 @ 8.58% (+0.71)
0-1 @ 7.41% (-0.02)
0-2 @ 4.88% (+0.17)
1-3 @ 3.56% (+0.40)
2-3 @ 2.68% (+0.19)
0-3 @ 2.38% (+0.30)
Other @ 4.05% (+0.33)
Total : 33.54%

Head to Head

Polish Ekstraklasa
Oct 17, 2025 5.00pm
2
5
HT : 0 0
FT
Polish Ekstraklasa Gameweek 22
Feb 24, 2025 6.00pm
3
2
HT : 2 1
FT Arena Lublin
  • Piotr Ceglarz 15' goal
  • Bradly van Hoeven 21' goal
  • Bradly van Hoeven 28' yellowcard
  • Samuel Mraz 57' goal
  • Filip Wojcik 73' yellowcard
  • Pawel Stolarski 80' yellowcard
  • goal Sebastian Bergier 8'
  • yellowcard Marten Kuusk 18'
  • goal Borja Galan 51'
  • yellowcard Borja Galan 88'
  • yellowcard Filip Szymczak 90'
Polish Ekstraklasa Gameweek 5
Aug 16, 2024 7.30pm
0
0
HT : 0 1
FT Stadion ul. Bukowa
  • Grzegorz Rogala 12' yellowcard
  • Borja Galan 65' yellowcard
  • Marten Kuusk 84' yellowcard
  • goal Mbaye Jacques Ndiaye 42'
  • yellowcard Krzysztof Kubica 45'+5'
  • yellowcard Marek Bartos 89'