Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Radomiak Radom win with a probability of 45.58%. A win for Lechia Gdansk had a probability of 30.4% and a draw had a probability of 24.02%.
The most likely scoreline for a Radomiak Radom win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.87%) and 2-0 (7.14%). The likeliest Lechia Gdansk win was 1-2 (7.56%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.52%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.1% likelihood.