Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lech Poznan win with a probability of 66.41%. A draw had a probability of 18.64% and a win for Arka Gdynia had a probability of 14.95%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lech Poznan win was 2-1 with a probability of 10.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.78%) and 1-0 (7.91%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.4%) , while for a Arka Gdynia win it was 1-2 (4.3%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood.