Polish Ekstraklasa Gameweek 32
May 8, 2026 7.30pm
Enea stadion

Lech Poznan vs Arka Gdynia - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Lech Poznan

All competitions
Polish Ekstraklasa
Last game
May 2, 2026 7.15pm
Motor Lublin 0 - 1 Lech Poznan
Goals scored
56
Top scorer
Ali Gholizadeh

Arka Gdynia

All competitions
Polish Ekstraklasa
Last game
Apr 27, 2026 6.00pm
Piast Gliwice 4 - 1 Arka Gdynia
Goals scored
31
Top scorer
Nazariy Rusyn

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Lech Poznan win with a probability of 66.41%. A draw has a probability of 18.64% and a win for Arka Gdynia has a probability of 14.95%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lech Poznan win is 2-1 with a probability of 10.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-0 (8.78%) and 1-0 (7.91%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (8.4%) , while for a Arka Gdynia win it is 1-2 (4.3%).

Result

Lech Poznan 66.41% (-0.05)
Draw 18.64% (+0.02)
Arka Gdynia 14.95% (+0.04)

Both Teams to Score: 

59.17% (-0.01)

Goals

Over 1.5 85.01% (-0.02)
Under 1.5 14.99% (+0.02)
Over 2.5 66.06%
Under 2.5 33.95%
Over 3.5 44.23% (-0.06)
Under 3.5 55.77% (+0.06)
Over 4.5 30.82% (-0.06)
Under 4.5 69.18% (+0.07)

First Half Winner

Lech Poznan 47.24% (+0.03)
Draw 37.33% (-0.04)
Arka Gdynia 15.43% (+0.01)

Team To Score First

Lech Poznan 70.06% (-0.04)
No Goal 3.59% (+0.01)
Arka Gdynia 26.35% (+0.04)

Corners

Over 8 63.38% (-0.17)
Equal 8 10.76%
Under 8 25.86% (+0.17)
Over 9 51.92% (-0.16)
Equal 9 11.46% (-0.01)
Under 9 36.62% (+0.17)
Over 10.5 40.73% (-0.14)
Under 10.5 59.27% (+0.14)

Lech Poznan Goals

Over 1.5 66.97% (-0.08)
Under 1.5 33.03% (+0.08)
Over 2.5 41.07% (-0.07)
Under 2.5 58.93% (+0.07)
Over 3.5 21.97% (-0.05)
Under 3.5 78.03% (+0.05)

Arka Gdynia Goals

Over 0.5 51.21% (+0.01)
Under 0.5 48.79% (-0.01)
Over 1.5 22.22% (+0.03)
Under 1.5 77.78% (-0.04)
Over 2.5 6.97%
Under 2.5 93.03%
Over 3.5 1.91% (-0.02)
Under 3.5 98.09% (+0.02)

Score analysis

Lech Poznan 66.41%
Draw 18.64%
Arka Gdynia 14.95%
Lech Poznan
2-1 @ 10.24%
2-0 @ 8.78% (-0.01)
1-0 @ 7.91%
3-1 @ 6.86% (-0.01)
3-0 @ 6.83%
3-2 @ 4.11% (-0.01)
Other @ 21.68% (-0.04)
Total : 66.41%
Draw
1-1 @ 8.4%
2-2 @ 5.06% (+0.01)
0-0 @ 3.59% (+0.01)
3-3 @ 1.3%
Other @ 0.29% (-0.02)
Total : 18.64%
Arka Gdynia
1-2 @ 4.3% (+0.02)
0-1 @ 3.49% (-0.01)
2-3 @ 1.82% (-0.02)
0-2 @ 1.78% (+0.02)
1-3 @ 1.49%
Other @ 1.62%
Total : 14.95%

Head to Head

Polish Ekstraklasa
Nov 9, 2025 7.15pm
3
1
HT : 0 0
FT