Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Arka Gdynia win with a probability of 39.96%. A win for Zaglebie Lubin had a probability of 32.05% and a draw had a probability of 27.95%.
The most likely scoreline for a Arka Gdynia win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.82%) and 2-0 (6.71%). The likeliest Zaglebie Lubin win was 0-1 (9.1%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.01%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 3.8% likelihood.