Polish Ekstraklasa Gameweek 26
Mar 22, 2026 11.15am
Exbud Arena

Korona Kielce vs Arka Gdynia - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Korona Kielce

All competitions
Polish Ekstraklasa
Last game
Mar 16, 2026 6.00pm
Szczecin 2 - 1 Korona Kielce
Goals scored
30
Top scorer
Mariusz Stepinski

Arka Gdynia

All competitions
Polish Ekstraklasa
Last game
Mar 15, 2026 11.15am
Arka Gdynia 0 - 0 Widzew Lodz
Goals scored
25
Top scorer
Nazariy Rusyn

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Korona Kielce win with a probability of 46.54%. A win for Arka Gdynia has a probability of 27.03% and a draw has a probability of 26.43%.

The most likely scoreline for a Korona Kielce win is 1-0 with a probability of 11.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (9.56%) and 2-0 (7.96%). The likeliest Arka Gdynia win is 0-1 (7.83%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (12.43%).

Result

Korona Kielce 46.54%
Draw 26.43%
Arka Gdynia 27.03%

Both Teams to Score: 

51.15%

Goals

Over 1.5 72.82%
Under 1.5 27.18%
Over 2.5 48.26%
Under 2.5 51.74%
Over 3.5 26.18%
Under 3.5 73.82%
Over 4.5 14.28%
Under 4.5 85.72%

First Half Winner

Korona Kielce 33.71%
Draw 43.57%
Arka Gdynia 22.72%

Team To Score First

Korona Kielce 54.22%
No Goal 7.83%
Arka Gdynia 37.95%

Corners

Over 8 59.46%
Equal 8 11.45%
Under 8 29.09%
Over 9 47.63%
Equal 9 11.83%
Under 9 40.54%
Over 10.5 36.44%
Under 10.5 63.56%

Korona Kielce Goals

Over 1.5 42.98%
Under 1.5 57.02%
Over 2.5 18.52%
Under 2.5 81.48%
Over 3.5 6.28%
Under 3.5 93.72%

Arka Gdynia Goals

Over 0.5 62.38%
Under 0.5 37.62%
Over 1.5 28.12%
Under 1.5 71.88%
Over 2.5 9.37%
Under 2.5 90.63%
Over 3.5 2.59%
Under 3.5 97.41%

Score analysis

Korona Kielce 46.52%
Draw 26.44%
Arka Gdynia 27.04%
Korona Kielce
1-0 @ 11.52%
2-1 @ 9.56%
2-0 @ 7.96%
3-1 @ 4.44%
3-0 @ 4.11%
3-2 @ 2.73%
Other @ 6.2%
Total : 46.52%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.43%
0-0 @ 7.83%
2-2 @ 5.14%
Other @ 0.08%
Total : 26.44%
Arka Gdynia
0-1 @ 7.83%
1-2 @ 6.71%
0-2 @ 4.17%
1-3 @ 2.33%
2-3 @ 1.8%
0-3 @ 1.69%
Other @ 2.51%
Total : 27.04%

Head to Head

Polish Ekstraklasa
Sep 20, 2025 1.45pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT