Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Korona Kielce win with a probability of 46.59%. A win for Arka Gdynia had a probability of 27.03% and a draw had a probability of 26.38%.
The most likely scoreline for a Korona Kielce win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.56%) and 2-0 (7.97%). The likeliest Arka Gdynia win was 0-1 (7.83%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.42%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 4.1% likelihood.