Polish Ekstraklasa Gameweek 26
Mar 22, 2026 11.15am
3
0
HT : 2 0
FT Exbud Arena
  • Marcel Pieczek 22' goal
  • Stjepan Davidovic 24' goal
  • Mariusz Stepinski 44' yellowcard
  • Marcin Cebula 71' yellowcard
  • Antoñín 76' yellowcard
  • Simon Gustafson 76' yellowcard
  • Hubert Zwozny 84' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Tornike Gaprindashvili 46'
  • yellowcard Aurélien Nguiamba 46'
  • yellowcard Nazariy Rusyn 46'
  • yellowcard Dominick Zator 60'
  • yellowcard Michal Rzuchowski 80'

Korona Kielce vs Arka Gdynia - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Korona Kielce

All competitions
Polish Ekstraklasa
Last game
Mar 16, 2026 6.00pm
Szczecin 2 - 1 Korona Kielce
Goals scored
33
Top scorer
Mariusz Stepinski

Arka Gdynia

All competitions
Polish Ekstraklasa
Last game
Mar 15, 2026 11.15am
Arka Gdynia 0 - 0 Widzew Lodz
Goals scored
25
Top scorer
Nazariy Rusyn

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Korona Kielce win with a probability of 46.59%. A win for Arka Gdynia had a probability of 27.03% and a draw had a probability of 26.38%.

The most likely scoreline for a Korona Kielce win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.56%) and 2-0 (7.97%). The likeliest Arka Gdynia win was 0-1 (7.83%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.42%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 4.1% likelihood.

Result

Korona Kielce 46.59%
Draw 26.38%
Arka Gdynia 27.03%

Both Teams to Score: 

51.15%

Goals

Over 1.5 72.84% (-0.01)
Under 1.5 27.16% (+0.02)
Over 2.5 48.29% (+0.01)
Under 2.5 51.71% (-0.01)
Over 3.5 26.23% (-0.01)
Under 3.5 73.77% (+0.01)
Over 4.5 14.32%
Under 4.5 85.68%

First Half Winner

Korona Kielce 33.71%
Draw 43.57%
Arka Gdynia 22.72%

Team To Score First

Korona Kielce 54.23%
No Goal 7.8%
Arka Gdynia 37.97%

Corners

Over 8 59.92% (+0.32)
Equal 8 11.53% (-0.01)
Under 8 28.55% (-0.31)
Over 9 47.95% (+0.30)
Equal 9 11.97% (+0.04)
Under 9 40.08% (-0.32)
Over 10.5 36.6% (+0.25)
Under 10.5 63.4% (-0.25)

Korona Kielce Goals

Over 1.5 43.03%
Under 1.5 56.97%
Over 2.5 18.55%
Under 2.5 81.45%
Over 3.5 6.3% (+0.01)
Under 3.5 93.7% (-0.01)

Arka Gdynia Goals

Over 0.5 62.36% (-0.03)
Under 0.5 37.64% (+0.03)
Over 1.5 28.1% (-0.02)
Under 1.5 71.9% (+0.03)
Over 2.5 9.36%
Under 2.5 90.64%
Over 3.5 2.59%
Under 3.5 97.41%

Score analysis

Korona Kielce 46.59%
Draw 26.38%
Arka Gdynia 27.03%
Korona Kielce
1-0 @ 11.53%
2-1 @ 9.56%
2-0 @ 7.97%
3-1 @ 4.45%
3-0 @ 4.11%
3-2 @ 2.74% (-0.01)
Other @ 6.23% (+0.02)
Total : 46.59%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.42%
0-0 @ 7.8%
2-2 @ 5.14%
Other @ 0.07%
Total : 26.38%
Arka Gdynia
0-1 @ 7.83%
1-2 @ 6.7%
0-2 @ 4.16% (-0.01)
1-3 @ 2.33%
2-3 @ 1.81%
0-3 @ 1.68%
Other @ 2.52%
Total : 27.03%

Head to Head

Polish Ekstraklasa
Sep 20, 2025 1.45pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT