Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Radomiak Radom win with a probability of 57.3%. A draw had a probability of 22.76% and a win for Arka Gdynia had a probability of 19.94%.
The most likely scoreline for a Radomiak Radom win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (10.61%) and 2-0 (9.49%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.69%) , while for a Arka Gdynia win it was 0-1 (5.8%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6.2% likelihood.