Polish Ekstraklasa Gameweek 29
Apr 19, 2026 4.30pm
Stadion Miejski

Arka Gdynia vs Jagiellonia Bialystok - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Arka Gdynia

All competitions
Polish Ekstraklasa
Last game
Apr 12, 2026 11.15am
Cracovia 2 - 2 Arka Gdynia
Goals scored
30
Top scorer
Nazariy Rusyn

Jagiellonia Bialystok

All competitions
Polish Ekstraklasa
Last game
Apr 10, 2026 7.30pm
Korona Kielce 1 - 1 Jagiellonia
Goals scored
44
Top scorer
Afimico Pululu

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Jagiellonia Bialystok win with a probability of 38.82%. A win for Arka Gdynia has a probability of 33.7% and a draw has a probability of 27.49%.

The most likely scoreline for a Jagiellonia Bialystok win is 0-1 with a probability of 9.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-2 (8.55%) and 0-2 (6.52%). The likeliest Arka Gdynia win is 1-0 (8.97%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (13.03%).

Result

Arka Gdynia 33.7% (-1.80)
Draw 27.49% (+0.31)
Jagiellonia Bialystok 38.82% (+1.50)

Both Teams to Score: 

55.88% (+1.79)

Goals

Over 1.5 74.41% (+0.38)
Under 1.5 25.59% (-0.38)
Over 2.5 49.51% (+0.23)
Under 2.5 50.44% (-0.29)
Over 3.5 28.51% (+0.50)
Under 3.5 71.49% (-0.50)
Over 4.5 15.55% (+0.47)
Under 4.5 84.45% (-0.46)

First Half Winner

Arka Gdynia 26.76% (-2.81)
Draw 43.06% (-0.23)
Jagiellonia Bialystok 30.17% (+3.04)

Team To Score First

Arka Gdynia 42.19% (-2.93)
No Goal 7.43% (+0.09)
Jagiellonia Bialystok 50.38% (+2.86)

Corners

Over 8 57.75% (+1.04)
Equal 8 12.36% (+0.09)
Under 8 29.89% (-1.13)
Over 9 45.11% (+0.83)
Equal 9 12.64% (+0.21)
Under 9 42.25% (-1.04)
Over 10.5 33.37% (+0.56)
Under 10.5 66.63% (-0.57)

Arka Gdynia Goals

Over 1.5 34.52% (-1.23)
Under 1.5 65.48% (+1.24)
Over 2.5 13.05% (-0.57)
Under 2.5 86.95% (+0.58)
Over 3.5 4.16% (-0.13)
Under 3.5 95.84% (+0.13)

Jagiellonia Bialystok Goals

Over 0.5 72.2% (+1.02)
Under 0.5 27.8% (-1.01)
Over 1.5 38.89% (+1.61)
Under 1.5 61.11% (-1.61)
Over 2.5 15.99% (+1.21)
Under 2.5 84.01% (-1.20)
Over 3.5 5.43% (+0.63)
Under 3.5 94.57% (-0.63)

Score analysis

Arka Gdynia 33.7%
Draw 27.48%
Jagiellonia Bialystok 38.81%
Arka Gdynia
1-0 @ 8.97% (-0.32)
2-1 @ 7.75% (-0.39)
2-0 @ 5.36% (-0.34)
3-1 @ 3.35% (-0.16)
3-2 @ 2.24% (-0.17)
3-0 @ 2.11% (-0.23)
Other @ 3.92% (-0.22)
Total : 33.7%
Draw
1-1 @ 13.03% (+0.10)
0-0 @ 7.43% (+0.09)
2-2 @ 5.59% (-0.08)
3-3 @ 1.19% (+0.10)
Other @ 0.24% (+0.10)
Total : 27.48%
Jagiellonia Bialystok
0-1 @ 9.18% (-0.16)
1-2 @ 8.55% (+0.25)
0-2 @ 6.52% (+0.39)
1-3 @ 4% (+0.26)
2-3 @ 2.77% (+0.13)
0-3 @ 2.6% (+0.10)
Other @ 5.19% (+0.53)
Total : 38.81%

Head to Head

Polish Ekstraklasa
Oct 18, 2025 4.30pm
4
0
HT : 0 0
FT