Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lech Poznan win with a probability of 63.29%. A draw had a probability of 20.45% and a win for Wisla Plock had a probability of 16.26%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lech Poznan win was 2-1 with a probability of 11.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.41%) and 2-0 (9.12%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.3%) , while for a Wisla Plock win it was 1-2 (4.76%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.2% likelihood.