Club Friendlies 1
Aug 15, 2026 3.45pm
Tarczyński Arena

Manchester United vs AC Milan - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Manchester United

All competitions
Club Friendlies 1
Last game
Aug 12, 2026 7.30pm
Man Utd 1 - 1 Leeds

AC Milan

All competitions
Club Friendlies 1
Last game
Aug 8, 2026 1.00pm
Chelsea 3 - 0 AC Milan

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Manchester United win with a probability of 43.28%. A win for AC Milan has a probability of 30.39% and a draw has a probability of 26.33%.

The most likely scoreline for a Manchester United win is 2-1 with a probability of 9.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-0 (8.71%) and 2-0 (6.64%). The likeliest AC Milan win is 1-2 (7.38%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (12.16%).

Result

Manchester United 43.28% (+1.68)
Draw 26.33% (+1.77)
AC Milan 30.39% (-3.46)

Both Teams to Score: 

57.6% (+1.82)

Goals

Over 1.5 77.84% (+0.58)
Under 1.5 22.16% (-0.58)
Over 2.5 54.58% (+0.05)
Under 2.5 45.42% (-0.05)
Over 3.5 32.41% (+0.27)
Under 3.5 67.59% (-0.27)
Over 4.5 18.57% (-0.11)
Under 4.5 81.43% (+0.11)

First Half Winner

Manchester United 33.16% (+2.02)
Draw 42.47% (+1.19)
AC Milan 24.37% (-3.20)

Team To Score First

Manchester United 50.07% (-1.36)
No Goal 6.23% (-0.04)
AC Milan 43.7% (+1.41)

Corners

Over 8 58.24% (+3.43)
Equal 8 11.87% (+0.12)
Under 8 29.89% (-3.54)
Over 9 46.09% (+2.98)
Equal 9 12.14% (+0.46)
Under 9 41.76% (-3.43)
Over 10.5 34.76% (+2.33)
Under 10.5 65.24% (-2.33)

Manchester United Goals

Over 1.5 44.91% (+2.48)
Under 1.5 55.09% (-2.48)
Over 2.5 20.56% (+2.33)
Under 2.5 79.44% (-2.33)
Over 3.5 7.55% (+1.35)
Under 3.5 92.45% (-1.35)

AC Milan Goals

Over 0.5 67.73% (-1.34)
Under 0.5 32.27% (+1.35)
Over 1.5 34.28% (-2.41)
Under 1.5 65.72% (+2.41)
Over 2.5 13.18% (-1.85)
Under 2.5 86.82% (+1.85)
Over 3.5 4.32% (-0.80)
Under 3.5 95.68% (+0.81)

Score analysis

Manchester United 43.29%
Draw 26.32%
AC Milan 30.38%
Manchester United
2-1 @ 9.22% (+0.01)
1-0 @ 8.71% (-0.42)
2-0 @ 6.64% (+0.36)
3-1 @ 4.86% (+0.41)
3-0 @ 3.49% (+0.34)
3-2 @ 3.18% (-0.09)
Other @ 7.19% (+1.11)
Total : 43.29%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.16% (+0.80)
0-0 @ 6.23% (-0.04)
2-2 @ 6.09% (+0.43)
3-3 @ 1.48% (+0.34)
Other @ 0.36% (+0.25)
Total : 26.32%
AC Milan
1-2 @ 7.38% (-0.28)
0-1 @ 7.21% (-0.13)
0-2 @ 4.45% (-0.63)
1-3 @ 2.9% (-0.46)
2-3 @ 2.4% (-0.65)
0-3 @ 2.08% (-0.30)
Other @ 3.96% (-1.05)
Total : 30.38%

Head to Head

Europa League
Mar 18, 2021 8.00pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT Stadio Giuseppe Meazza
  • Pierre Kalulu 65' yellowcard
  • Diogo Dalot 77' yellowcard
  • Simon Kjaer 85' yellowcard
  • Theo Hernandez 90'+5' yellowcard
  • goal Paul Pogba 49'
  • yellowcard Luke Shaw 90'+3'
Europa League
Mar 11, 2021 5.55pm
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT Old Trafford
  • Amad Diallo 50' goal
  • Scott McTominay 55' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Alexis Saelemaekers 19'
  • goal Simon Kjaer 90'+2'
Pre-Season Friendlies
Aug 3, 2019 5.36pm
2
2
HT : 1 1
FT
  • Marcus Rashford 14' goal
  • Jesse Lingard 72' goal
  • Fred 73' yellowcard
  • goal Suso 26'
  • goal Victor Lindelof 60' (OG)
  • yellowcard Hakan Calhanoglu 90'
Pre-Season Friendlies
Jul 26, 2018 4.05am
1
1
HT : 1 1
FT
  • Alexis Sanchez 12' goal
  • Ander Herrera 91' yellowcard
  • goal Suso 15'