Club Friendlies 1
Aug 1, 2026 2.00pm
Old Trafford

Manchester United vs Atletico Madrid - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Manchester United

All competitions
Club Friendlies 1
Last game
Jul 24, 2026 5.00pm
Rosenborg 0 - 5 Man Utd

Atletico Madrid

All competitions
Club Friendlies 1
Last game
Jul 29, 2026 7.30pm
Atletico 4 - 1 Getafe

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Manchester United win with a probability of 49.35%. A win for Atletico Madrid has a probability of 26.96% and a draw has a probability of 23.69%.

The most likely scoreline for a Manchester United win is 2-1 with a probability of 10.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-0 (7.85%) and 2-0 (7.01%). The likeliest Atletico Madrid win is 1-2 (7%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (10.41%).

Result

Manchester United 49.35% (-0.04)
Draw 23.69% (+0.02)
Atletico Madrid 26.96% (+0.02)

Both Teams to Score: 

60.62% (+0.02)

Goals

Over 1.5 81.53%
Under 1.5 18.47%
Over 2.5 60.73%
Under 2.5 39.27%
Over 3.5 37.22% (-0.03)
Under 3.5 62.78% (+0.03)
Over 4.5 22.6% (-0.02)
Under 4.5 77.4% (+0.03)

First Half Winner

Manchester United 38.98% (-0.02)
Draw 39.71% (+0.03)
Atletico Madrid 21.31% (-0.02)

Team To Score First

Manchester United 55.52% (-0.01)
No Goal 4.99%
Atletico Madrid 39.49% (+0.02)

Corners

Over 8 61.47% (-0.03)
Equal 8 10.9%
Under 8 27.62% (+0.02)
Over 9 50.05% (-0.02)
Equal 9 11.42% (-0.01)
Under 9 38.53% (+0.03)
Over 10.5 39.05% (-0.03)
Under 10.5 60.95% (+0.03)

Manchester United Goals

Over 1.5 52.28% (-0.04)
Under 1.5 47.72% (+0.04)
Over 2.5 26.33% (-0.04)
Under 2.5 73.67% (+0.04)
Over 3.5 10.56% (-0.01)
Under 3.5 89.44% (+0.01)

Atletico Madrid Goals

Over 0.5 65.43% (+0.02)
Under 0.5 34.57% (-0.01)
Over 1.5 33.53% (+0.01)
Under 1.5 66.47% (-0.02)
Over 2.5 12.93% (+0.01)
Under 2.5 87.07% (-0.02)
Over 3.5 4.21%
Under 3.5 95.79%

Score analysis

Manchester United 49.35%
Draw 23.69%
Atletico Madrid 26.96%
Manchester United
2-1 @ 10.15%
1-0 @ 7.85% (-0.02)
2-0 @ 7.01%
3-1 @ 5.71% (-0.01)
3-0 @ 4.44%
3-2 @ 3.91% (-0.01)
Other @ 10.28% (-0.01)
Total : 49.35%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.41% (+0.01)
2-2 @ 6.3%
0-0 @ 4.99%
3-3 @ 1.71%
Other @ 0.28%
Total : 23.69%
Atletico Madrid
1-2 @ 7% (+0.01)
0-1 @ 5.63%
0-2 @ 3.39%
1-3 @ 2.6%
2-3 @ 2.49%
0-3 @ 1.92% (+0.02)
Other @ 3.93%
Total : 26.96%

Head to Head

Club Friendlies 1
Jul 30, 2022 12.45pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT Old Trafford
  • Thomas Lemar 23' yellowcard
  • Reinildo Mandava 35' yellowcard
  • Jan Oblak 41' yellowcard
  • Saul Niguez 84' yellowcard
  • Joao Felix 86' goal
  • yellowcard Fred 28'
  • yellowcard Scott McTominay 41'
  • yellowcard Harry Maguire 54'
  • redcard Fred 90'+1'
Champions League
Mar 15, 2022 8.00pm
0
1
HT : 0 1
FT
  • Nemanja Matic 81' yellowcard
  • Diogo Dalot 87' yellowcard
  • goal Renan Lodi 41'
  • yellowcard Rodrigo De Paul 43'
  • yellowcard Hector Herrera 81'
Champions League
Feb 23, 2022 8.00pm
1
1
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Joao Felix 7' goal
  • Hector Herrera 45'+1' yellowcard
  • Reinildo Mandava 63' yellowcard
  • Marcos Llorente 77' yellowcard
  • Jose Gimenez 78' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Luke Shaw 50'
  • yellowcard Victor Lindelof 60'
  • yellowcard Marcus Rashford 65'
  • yellowcard Fred 74'
  • goal Anthony Elanga 80'
  • yellowcard Alex Telles 83'