La Liga Gameweek 38
Villarreal
May 24, 2026 8.00pm
5
1
HT : 3 1
FT Estadio de la Cerámica
Atletico
  • Dani Parejo 30' yellowcard
  • Ayoze Pérez 34' goal
  • Georges Mikautadze 40' goal
  • Pape Gueye 45' goal
  • Ayoze Pérez 54' goal
  • Alassane Diatta 66' yellowcard
  • Sergi Cardona 67' yellowcard
  • Pau Cabanes 75' yellowcard
  • Logan Costa 75' yellowcard
  • Carlos Macià 88' yellowcard
  • Carlos Macià 89' yellowcard
  • goal Marc Pubill 43'
  • yellowcard Matteo Ruggeri 46'
  • yellowcard Alexander Sørloth 46'
  • yellowcard Aleksa Puric 46'
  • yellowcard Javier Boñar 61'
  • yellowcard Javi Morcillo 61'

Villarreal vs Atletico Madrid - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Villarreal

All competitions
Last game
May 17, 2026 6.00pm
Rayo Vallecano 2 - 0 Villarreal
Goals scored
69
Top scorer
Georges Mikautadze

Atletico Madrid

All competitions
Last game
May 17, 2026 6.00pm
Atletico 1 - 0 Girona
Goals scored
62
Top scorer
Alexander Sørloth

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Villarreal win with a probability of 39.7%. A win for Atletico Madrid had a probability of 36.01% and a draw had a probability of 24.29%.

The most likely scoreline for a Villarreal win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.41%) and 2-0 (5.73%). The likeliest Atletico Madrid win was 1-2 (8.18%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.72%).

Result

Villarreal 39.7% ▼ (-0.48)
Draw 24.29% ▼ (-0.04)
Atletico Madrid 36.01% ▲ (+0.56)

Both Teams to Score: 

60.88% ▼ (-0.43)

Goals

Over 1.5 80.63% ▼ (-0.46)
Under 1.5 19.37% ▲ (+0.45)
Over 2.5 59.04% ▼ (-1.11)
Under 2.5 40.96% ▲ (+1.11)
Over 3.5 37.32% ▼ (-1.15)
Under 3.5 62.68% ▲ (+1.15)
Over 4.5 21.99% ▼ (-1.15)
Under 4.5 78.01% ▲ (+1.15)

First Half Winner

Villarreal 35.68% ▼ (-0.39)
Draw 39.83% ▲ (+0.08)
Atletico Madrid 24.5% ▲ (+0.33)

Team To Score First

Villarreal 55.8% ▼ (-1.45)
No Goal 4.99% ▲ (+0.09)
Atletico Madrid 39.21% ▲ (+1.36)

Corners

Over 8 66.61% ▼ (-2.24)
Equal 8 9.93% ▲ (+0.10)
Under 8 23.46% ▲ (+2.14)
Over 9 55.77% ▼ (-2.12)
Equal 9 10.84% ▼ (-0.11)
Under 9 33.39% ▲ (+2.24)
Over 10.5 44.88% ▼ (-1.83)
Under 10.5 55.12% ▲ (+1.83)

Villarreal Goals

Over 1.5 44.12% ▼ (-1.00)
Under 1.5 55.88% ▲ (+1.00)
Over 2.5 20.29% ▼ (-0.93)
Under 2.5 79.71% ▲ (+0.93)
Over 3.5 7.65% ▼ (-0.74)
Under 3.5 92.35% ▲ (+0.73)

Atletico Madrid Goals

Over 0.5 71.78% ▲ (+0.44)
Under 0.5 28.22% ▼ (-0.43)
Over 1.5 41.05% ▼ (-0.14)
Under 1.5 58.95% ▲ (+0.14)
Over 2.5 17.8% ▼ (-0.38)
Under 2.5 82.2% ▲ (+0.38)
Over 3.5 6.23% ▼ (-0.15)
Under 3.5 93.77% ▲ (+0.15)

Score analysis

Villarreal 39.7%
Draw 24.28%
Atletico Madrid 36.02%
Villarreal
2-1 @ 8.33% ▼ (-0.14)
1-0 @ 7.41% ▲ (+0.09)
2-0 @ 5.73% ▲ (+0.30)
3-1 @ 4.71% ▲ (+0.17)
3-2 @ 3.43% ▼ (-0.05)
3-0 @ 2.76% ▼ (-0.17)
Other @ 7.33% ▼ (-0.68)
Total : 39.7%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.72% ▲ (+0.21)
2-2 @ 6.51% ▼ (-0.13)
0-0 @ 4.99% ▲ (+0.09)
3-3 @ 1.74% ▼ (-0.16)
Other @ 0.32% ▼ (-0.05)
Total : 24.28%
Atletico Madrid
1-2 @ 8.18% ▲ (+0.26)
0-1 @ 6.97% ▲ (+0.34)
0-2 @ 5.13% ▲ (+0.14)
1-3 @ 4.11% ▼ (-0.05)
2-3 @ 3.26% ▼ (-0.12)
0-3 @ 2.46% ▲ (+0.09)
Other @ 5.91% ▼ (-0.10)
Total : 36.02%

Head to Head

La Liga
Atletico
Sep 13, 2025 8.00pm
2
0
HT : 0 0
FT
Villarreal
La Liga Gameweek 21
Atletico
Jan 25, 2025 3.15pm
1
1
HT : 0 1
FT Estadio Civitas Metropolitano
Villarreal
  • Jose Gimenez 33' yellowcard
  • Rodrigo De Paul 52' yellowcard
  • Samuel Lino 58' goal
  • Robin Le Normand 62' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Yeremy Pino 22'
  • goal Gerard Moreno 29'
  • yellowcard Julian Alvarez 63'
  • yellowcard Kiko Femenia 76'
La Liga Gameweek 1
Villarreal
Aug 19, 2024 8.30pm
2
2
HT : 2 2
FT Estadio de la Ceramica
Atletico
  • Yeremy Pino 10' yellowcard
  • Arnaut Danjuma 18' goal
  • Koke 37' goal
  • goal Marcos Llorente 20'
  • yellowcard Robin Le Normand 40'
  • yellowcard Pablo Barrios 43'
  • goal Alexander Sorloth 45'+5'
  • yellowcard Samuel Lino 81'
  • yellowcard Diego Simeone 90'+4'
La Liga Gameweek 30
Villarreal
Apr 1, 2024 8.00pm
1
2
HT : 0 1
FT Estadio de la Ceramica
Atletico
  • Etienne Capoue 27' yellowcard
  • Alexander Sorloth 50' goal
  • Dani Parejo 58' yellowcard
  • Yerson Mosquera 90'+3' yellowcard
  • goal Axel Witsel 9'
  • yellowcard Antoine Griezmann 26'
  • yellowcard Pablo Barrios 62'
  • goal Saul Niguez 87'
  • yellowcard Saul Niguez 90'+2'
La Liga Gameweek 13
Atletico
Nov 12, 2023 8.00pm
3
1
HT : 1 1
FT Estadio Civitas Metropolitano
Villarreal
  • Axel Witsel 45'+1' goal
  • Antoine Griezmann 80' goal
  • Samuel Lino 85' goal
  • goal Gerard Moreno 20'
  • yellowcard Etienne Capoue 45'+2'
  • yellowcard Ilias Akhomach 77'
La Liga Gameweek 38
Villarreal
Jun 4, 2023 5.30pm
2
2
HT : 1 1
FT Estadio de la Ceramica
Atletico
  • Nicolas Jackson 9' goal
  • Jorge Pascual 90'+2' goal
  • goal Angel Correa 18'
  • goal Angel Correa 56'

Form Data

Rayo Vallecano 2 - 0 Villarreal
Villarreal 2 - 3 Sevilla
Mallorca 1 - 1 Villarreal
Villarreal 5 - 1 Levante
Villarreal 2 - 1 Celta Vigo
Real Oviedo 1 - 1 Villarreal
Atletico 1 - 0 Girona
Osasuna 1 - 2 Atletico
Atletico 0 - 1 Celta Vigo
Arsenal 1 - 0 Atletico
Valencia 0 - 2 Atletico
Atletico 1 - 1 Arsenal