Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Villarreal win with a probability of 40.18%. A win for Atletico Madrid has a probability of 35.45% and a draw has a probability of 24.37%.
The most likely scoreline for a Villarreal win is 2-1 with a probability of 8.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-0 (7.34%) and 2-0 (5.45%). The likeliest Atletico Madrid win is 1-2 (7.92%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (10.53%).