La Liga Gameweek 38
May 24, 2026 8.00pm
Estadio de la Cerámica

Villarreal vs Atletico Madrid - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Villarreal

All competitions
Last game
May 17, 2026 6.00pm
Rayo Vallecano 2 - 0 Villarreal
Goals scored
64
Top scorer
Georges Mikautadze

Atletico Madrid

All competitions
Last game
May 17, 2026 6.00pm
Atletico 1 - 0 Girona
Goals scored
61
Top scorer
Alexander Sørloth

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Villarreal win with a probability of 40.18%. A win for Atletico Madrid has a probability of 35.45% and a draw has a probability of 24.37%.

The most likely scoreline for a Villarreal win is 2-1 with a probability of 8.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-0 (7.34%) and 2-0 (5.45%). The likeliest Atletico Madrid win is 1-2 (7.92%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (10.53%).

Result

Villarreal 40.18%
Draw 24.37%
Atletico Madrid 35.45% (-0.04)

Both Teams to Score: 

61.28%

Goals

Over 1.5 81.08% (-0.02)
Under 1.5 18.92% (+0.03)
Over 2.5 60.11%
Under 2.5 39.89%
Over 3.5 38.44%
Under 3.5 61.56%
Over 4.5 23.1% (-0.01)
Under 4.5 76.9% (+0.02)

First Half Winner

Villarreal 36.06%
Draw 39.76%
Atletico Madrid 24.18%

Team To Score First

Villarreal 57.23%
No Goal 4.93% (-0.02)
Atletico Madrid 37.84% (+0.02)

Corners

Over 8 68.84%
Equal 8 9.83%
Under 8 21.33%
Over 9 57.89%
Equal 9 10.95%
Under 9 31.16%
Over 10.5 46.7%
Under 10.5 53.3%

Villarreal Goals

Over 1.5 45.11% (+0.01)
Under 1.5 54.89% (-0.01)
Over 2.5 21.2%
Under 2.5 78.8%
Over 3.5 8.37%
Under 3.5 91.63%

Atletico Madrid Goals

Over 0.5 71.36% (-0.04)
Under 0.5 28.64% (+0.04)
Over 1.5 41.17% (-0.02)
Under 1.5 58.83% (+0.02)
Over 2.5 18.16% (-0.02)
Under 2.5 81.84% (+0.03)
Over 3.5 6.37% (-0.01)
Under 3.5 93.63% (+0.01)

Score analysis

Villarreal 40.18%
Draw 24.36%
Atletico Madrid 35.46%
Villarreal
2-1 @ 8.46%
1-0 @ 7.34%
2-0 @ 5.45%
3-1 @ 4.55%
3-2 @ 3.46%
3-0 @ 2.92%
Other @ 8%
Total : 40.18%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.53%
2-2 @ 6.63% (+0.01)
0-0 @ 4.93% (-0.02)
3-3 @ 1.9%
Other @ 0.37%
Total : 24.36%
Atletico Madrid
1-2 @ 7.92%
0-1 @ 6.65% (-0.01)
0-2 @ 5% (-0.01)
1-3 @ 4.15%
2-3 @ 3.37%
0-3 @ 2.37% (-0.01)
Other @ 6% (-0.01)
Total : 35.46%

Head to Head

La Liga
Sep 13, 2025 8.00pm
2
0
HT : 0 0
FT
La Liga Gameweek 21
Jan 25, 2025 3.15pm
1
1
HT : 0 1
FT Estadio Civitas Metropolitano
  • Jose Gimenez 33' yellowcard
  • Rodrigo De Paul 52' yellowcard
  • Samuel Lino 58' goal
  • Robin Le Normand 62' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Yeremy Pino 22'
  • goal Gerard Moreno 29'
  • yellowcard Julian Alvarez 63'
  • yellowcard Kiko Femenia 76'
La Liga Gameweek 1
Aug 19, 2024 8.30pm
2
2
HT : 2 2
FT Estadio de la Ceramica
  • Yeremy Pino 10' yellowcard
  • Arnaut Danjuma 18' goal
  • Koke 37' goal
  • goal Marcos Llorente 20'
  • yellowcard Robin Le Normand 40'
  • yellowcard Pablo Barrios 43'
  • goal Alexander Sorloth 45'+5'
  • yellowcard Samuel Lino 81'
  • yellowcard Diego Simeone 90'+4'
La Liga Gameweek 30
Apr 1, 2024 8.00pm
1
2
HT : 0 1
FT Estadio de la Ceramica
  • Etienne Capoue 27' yellowcard
  • Alexander Sorloth 50' goal
  • Dani Parejo 58' yellowcard
  • Yerson Mosquera 90'+3' yellowcard
  • goal Axel Witsel 9'
  • yellowcard Antoine Griezmann 26'
  • yellowcard Pablo Barrios 62'
  • goal Saul Niguez 87'
  • yellowcard Saul Niguez 90'+2'
La Liga Gameweek 13
Nov 12, 2023 8.00pm
3
1
HT : 1 1
FT Estadio Civitas Metropolitano
  • Axel Witsel 45'+1' goal
  • Antoine Griezmann 80' goal
  • Samuel Lino 85' goal
  • goal Gerard Moreno 20'
  • yellowcard Etienne Capoue 45'+2'
  • yellowcard Ilias Akhomach 77'
La Liga Gameweek 38
Jun 4, 2023 5.30pm
2
2
HT : 1 1
FT Estadio de la Ceramica
  • Nicolas Jackson 9' goal
  • Jorge Pascual 90'+2' goal
  • goal Angel Correa 18'
  • goal Angel Correa 56'