Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Atletico Madrid win with a probability of 56.28%. A draw has a probability of 24.08% and a win for Girona has a probability of 19.63%.
The most likely scoreline for a Atletico Madrid win is 1-0 with a probability of 12.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-0 (10.54%) and 2-1 (9.47%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (10.36%) , while for a Girona win it is 0-1 (5.9%).