La Liga Gameweek 37
May 17, 2026 6.00pm
Riyadh Air Metropolitano

Atletico Madrid vs Girona - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Atletico Madrid

All competitions
Last game
May 12, 2026 8.30pm
Osasuna 1 - 2 Atletico
Goals scored
60
Top scorer
Alexander Sørloth

Girona

All competitions
Last game
May 11, 2026 8.00pm
Rayo Vallecano 1 - 1 Girona
Goals scored
37
Top scorer
Viktor Tsygankov

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Atletico Madrid win with a probability of 56.28%. A draw has a probability of 24.08% and a win for Girona has a probability of 19.63%.

The most likely scoreline for a Atletico Madrid win is 1-0 with a probability of 12.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-0 (10.54%) and 2-1 (9.47%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (10.36%) , while for a Girona win it is 0-1 (5.9%).

Result

Atletico Madrid 56.28% (-1.12)
Draw 24.08% (+0.30)
Girona 19.63% (+0.78)

Both Teams to Score: 

49.79% (+0.65)

Goals

Over 1.5 73.68% (-0.08)
Under 1.5 26.32% (+0.09)
Over 2.5 50.16% (-0.13)
Under 2.5 49.84% (+0.13)
Over 3.5 29.43% (-0.20)
Under 3.5 70.57% (+0.19)
Over 4.5 17.45% (-0.29)
Under 4.5 82.55% (+0.29)

First Half Winner

Atletico Madrid 38.64% (-0.08)
Draw 42.4%
Girona 18.96% (+0.08)

Team To Score First

Atletico Madrid 59.72% (-0.07)
No Goal 7.69% (-0.01)
Girona 32.59% (+0.08)

Corners

Over 8 61.34% (-0.28)
Equal 8 11.72%
Under 8 26.94% (+0.29)
Over 9 49.01% (-0.25)
Equal 9 12.33% (-0.04)
Under 9 38.66% (+0.28)
Over 10.5 37.22% (-0.18)
Under 10.5 62.78% (+0.18)

Atletico Madrid Goals

Over 1.5 51.27% (-0.77)
Under 1.5 48.73% (+0.77)
Over 2.5 24.92% (-0.67)
Under 2.5 75.08% (+0.68)
Over 3.5 9.94% (-0.39)
Under 3.5 90.06% (+0.38)

Girona Goals

Over 0.5 53.85% (+1.14)
Under 0.5 46.15% (-1.14)
Over 1.5 22.64% (+0.61)
Under 1.5 77.36% (-0.61)
Over 2.5 7.36% (+0.15)
Under 2.5 92.64% (-0.15)
Over 3.5 2.02% (+0.02)
Under 3.5 97.98% (-0.01)

Score analysis

Atletico Madrid 56.27%
Draw 24.08%
Girona 19.63%
Atletico Madrid
1-0 @ 12.71% (-0.24)
2-0 @ 10.54% (-0.33)
2-1 @ 9.47% (+0.09)
3-1 @ 5.48% (-0.04)
3-0 @ 5.47% (-0.28)
3-2 @ 2.88% (+0.01)
Other @ 9.72% (-0.36)
Total : 56.27%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.36% (+0.21)
0-0 @ 7.69% (-0.01)
2-2 @ 4.66% (+0.09)
3-3 @ 1.15% (+0.02)
Other @ 0.22% (-0.02)
Total : 24.08%
Girona
0-1 @ 5.9% (+0.27)
1-2 @ 5.1% (+0.19)
0-2 @ 2.64% (+0.19)
1-3 @ 1.83% (+0.05)
2-3 @ 1.68% (+0.05)
Other @ 1.8% (+0.04)
Total : 19.63%

Head to Head

La Liga
Dec 21, 2025 1.00pm
0
3
HT : 0 2
FT
  • Arnau Martinez 57' yellowcard
  • Diego Simeone 57' yellowcard
  • Thomas Lemar 84' yellowcard
  • goal Koke 13'
  • yellowcard Diego Simeone 24'
  • goal Conor Gallagher 38'
  • goal Antoine Griezmann 90'+2'
La Liga Gameweek 38
May 25, 2025 1.00pm
0
4
HT : 0 0
FT Estadi Municipal de Montilivi
  • yellowcard Diego Simeone 45'+1'
  • yellowcard Diego Simeone 45'+1'
  • goal Alexander Sorloth 68'
  • goal Clement Lenglet 87'
  • goal Alexander Sorloth 90'
  • goal Alexander Sorloth 90'+3'
La Liga Gameweek 2
Aug 25, 2024 8.30pm
3
0
HT : 1 0
FT Estadio Civitas Metropolitano
  • Rodrigo De Paul 26' yellowcard
  • Antoine Griezmann 39' goal
  • Marcos Llorente 48' goal
  • Koke 90'+4' goal
  • yellowcard Abel Ruiz 28'
  • yellowcard Paulo Gazzaniga 38'
  • yellowcard Oriol Romeu 55'
La Liga Gameweek 31
Apr 13, 2024 1.00pm
3
1
HT : 2 1
FT Estadio Civitas Metropolitano
  • Saul Niguez 25' yellowcard
  • Diego Simeone 26' yellowcard
  • Antoine Griezmann 34' goal
  • Angel Correa 35' yellowcard
  • Antoine Griezmann 50' goal
  • Angel Correa 45'+6' goal
  • Marcos Llorente 90'+2' yellowcard
  • goal Artem Dovbyk 4'
  • yellowcard Yangel Herrera 32'
  • yellowcard Yan Couto 70'
La Liga Gameweek 19
Jan 3, 2024 8.30pm
4
3
HT : 3 2
FT Estadi Municipal de Montilivi
  • Valery Fernandez 2' goal
  • Savio 26' goal
  • Daley Blind 39' goal
  • Ivan Martin 90'+1' goal
  • goal Alvaro Morata 14'
  • goal Alvaro Morata 44'
  • goal Alvaro Morata 54'
  • yellowcard Mario Hermoso 90'
La Liga Gameweek 25
Mar 13, 2023 8.00pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT Estadi Municipal de Montilivi
  • goal Alvaro Morata 90'+1'