La Liga Gameweek 37
May 17, 2026 6.00pm
Estadio de Vallecas

Rayo Vallecano vs Villarreal - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Rayo Vallecano

All competitions
Last game
May 14, 2026 6.00pm
Valencia 1 - 1 Rayo Vallecano
Goals scored
36
Top scorer
Jorge de Frutos

Villarreal

All competitions
Last game
May 13, 2026 6.00pm
Villarreal 2 - 3 Sevilla
Goals scored
64
Top scorer
Georges Mikautadze

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Rayo Vallecano win with a probability of 42.84%. A win for Villarreal has a probability of 29.62% and a draw has a probability of 27.57%.

The most likely scoreline for a Rayo Vallecano win is 1-0 with a probability of 11.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (8.88%) and 2-0 (7.71%). The likeliest Villarreal win is 0-1 (9.08%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (13.05%).

Result

Rayo Vallecano 42.84% (-0.75)
Draw 27.57%
Villarreal 29.62% (+0.79)

Both Teams to Score: 

49.74% (+0.22)

Goals

Over 1.5 70.61% (+0.11)
Under 1.5 29.39% (-0.11)
Over 2.5 45.12% (+0.01)
Under 2.5 54.88% (-0.01)
Over 3.5 23.81% (+0.01)
Under 3.5 76.19% (-0.02)
Over 4.5 12.67% (+0.02)
Under 4.5 87.33% (-0.02)

First Half Winner

Rayo Vallecano 33.08% (-0.04)
Draw 46.04% (+0.18)
Villarreal 20.88% (-0.15)

Team To Score First

Rayo Vallecano 48.84% (-0.22)
No Goal 8.72% (-0.03)
Villarreal 42.44% (+0.25)

Corners

Over 8 64.33% (-0.08)
Equal 8 11.24% (+0.07)
Under 8 24.44% (+0.04)
Over 9 52.2% (-0.13)
Equal 9 12.13% (+0.06)
Under 9 35.67% (+0.08)
Over 10.5 40.3% (-0.18)
Under 10.5 59.7% (+0.18)

Rayo Vallecano Goals

Over 1.5 38.99% (-0.54)
Under 1.5 61.01% (+0.54)
Over 2.5 15.71% (-0.25)
Under 2.5 84.29% (+0.25)
Over 3.5 5.11% (-0.09)
Under 3.5 94.89% (+0.10)

Villarreal Goals

Over 0.5 63.47% (+0.73)
Under 0.5 36.53% (-0.73)
Over 1.5 28.65% (+0.54)
Under 1.5 71.35% (-0.55)
Over 2.5 9.69% (+0.19)
Under 2.5 90.31% (-0.19)
Over 3.5 2.4% (+0.07)
Under 3.5 97.6% (-0.07)

Score analysis

Rayo Vallecano 42.86%
Draw 27.56%
Villarreal 29.62%
Rayo Vallecano
1-0 @ 11.63% (-0.22)
2-1 @ 8.88% (-0.06)
2-0 @ 7.71% (-0.24)
3-1 @ 3.81% (-0.05)
3-0 @ 3.5% (-0.13)
3-2 @ 2.32% (+0.03)
Other @ 5.01% (-0.09)
Total : 42.86%
Draw
1-1 @ 13.05% (+0.11)
0-0 @ 8.72% (-0.03)
2-2 @ 4.72% (-0.04)
Other @ 0.1% (-0.01)
Total : 27.56%
Villarreal
0-1 @ 9.08% (+0.19)
1-2 @ 7.19% (+0.14)
0-2 @ 4.73% (+0.23)
1-3 @ 2.61% (+0.07)
2-3 @ 1.97% (+0.05)
0-3 @ 1.74% (+0.07)
Other @ 2.3% (+0.07)
Total : 29.62%

Head to Head

La Liga
Nov 1, 2025 1.00pm
4
0
HT : 0 0
FT
La Liga Gameweek 25
Feb 22, 2025 3.15pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT Estadio de Vallecas
  • Jorge de Frutos 42' redcard
  • Andrei Ratiu 78' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Thiemo Barry 44'
  • yellowcard Yeremy Pino 55'
  • goal Ayoze Perez 66'
  • yellowcard Diego Conde 90'+1'
  • yellowcard Dani Parejo 90'+5'
La Liga Gameweek 12
Dec 18, 2024 8.30pm
1
1
HT : 1 1
FT Estadio de la Ceramica
  • Yeremy Pino 27' yellowcard
  • Willy Kambwala 32' redcard
  • Ayoze Perez 45'+1' goal
  • Pape Gueye 54' yellowcard
  • Thiago Ojeda 85' yellowcard
  • Logan Costa 90'+5' yellowcard
  • goal Alvaro Garcia 20'
  • yellowcard Florian Lejeune 46'
  • yellowcard Abdul Mumin 45'+5'
  • yellowcard Oscar Trejo 53'
La Liga Gameweek 33
Apr 28, 2024 5.30pm
3
0
HT : 1 0
FT Estadio de la Ceramica
  • Alexander Sorloth 18' goal
  • Yerson Mosquera 69' goal
  • Alexander Sorloth 74' goal
  • Francis Coquelin 77' yellowcard
  • Raul Albiol 90' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Pathe Ciss 78'
La Liga Gameweek 6
Sep 24, 2023 3.15pm
1
1
HT : 1 1
FT Estadio de Vallecas
  • Kike Perez 16' goal
  • Alvaro Garcia 18' yellowcard
  • Sergio Camello 63' yellowcard
  • goal Alexander Sorloth 15'
  • yellowcard Alberto Moreno 62'
  • yellowcard Santi Comesana 73'
  • redcard Alberto Moreno 77'
La Liga Gameweek 37
May 28, 2023 6.00pm
2
1
HT : 0 0
FT Estadio de Vallecas
  • Raul de Tomas 56' goal
  • Isi 63' goal
  • goal Giovani Lo Celso 83'