Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Rayo Vallecano win with a probability of 42.84%. A win for Villarreal has a probability of 29.62% and a draw has a probability of 27.57%.
The most likely scoreline for a Rayo Vallecano win is 1-0 with a probability of 11.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (8.88%) and 2-0 (7.71%). The likeliest Villarreal win is 0-1 (9.08%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (13.05%).