/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F19%2F06%2Fmanlog.png)
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F19%2F06%2Fleelog.png)
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Joshua Zirkzee
16'
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Brenden Aaronson
29'
Manchester United vs Leeds United - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
The match
Match Preview
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2Fuploads%2F2026%2F08%2Fimago1080603867-6a745cc79b7f1753244482.jpg)
Predicted Lineups
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F24%2F51%2Fmarcus-rashford_1.jpg)
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Leeds United win with a probability of 51.95%. A win for Manchester United has a probability of 24.65% and a draw has a probability of 23.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Leeds United win is 2-1 with a probability of 9.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-0 (8.44%) and 2-0 (7.47%). The likeliest Manchester United win is 1-2 (6.08%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (10.26%).
Result
Manchester United
51.95%
▲
(+17.75)
Draw
23.4%
▼
(-5.86)
Leeds United
24.65%
▼
(-11.96)
Both Teams to Score:
60.41%
▲
(+6.42)
Goals
Over 1.5
81.3%
▲
(+6.89)
Under 1.5
18.7%
▼
(-6.89)
Over 2.5
60.31%
▲
(+10.25)
Under 2.5
39.69%
▼
(-10.25)
Over 3.5
38.45%
▲
(+9.91)
Under 3.5
61.55%
▼
(-9.91)
Over 4.5
23.65%
▲
(+7.88)
Under 4.5
76.35%
▼
(-7.89)
First Half Winner
Manchester United
36.73%
▲
(+9.46)
Draw
40.73%
▼
(-2.47)
Leeds United
22.54%
▼
(-7.00)
Team To Score First
Manchester United
57.28%
▲
(+14.57)
No Goal
4.99%
▼
(-2.91)
Leeds United
37.73%
▼
(-11.66)
Corners
Over 8
65.01%
▲
(+6.74)
Equal 8
10.6%
▼
(-1.23)
Under 8
24.39%
▼
(-5.52)
Over 9
53.6%
▲
(+7.42)
Equal 9
11.41%
▼
(-0.68)
Under 9
34.99%
▼
(-6.73)
Over 10.5
42.34%
▲
(+7.47)
Under 10.5
57.66%
▼
(-7.47)
Manchester United Goals
Over 1.5
54.05%
▲
(+18.22)
Under 1.5
45.95%
▼
(-18.22)
Over 2.5
27.96%
▲
(+14.31)
Under 2.5
72.04%
▼
(-14.31)
Over 3.5
11.53%
▲
(+7.03)
Under 3.5
88.47%
▼
(-7.04)
Leeds United Goals
Over 0.5
63.5%
▼
(-8.13)
Under 0.5
36.5%
▲
(+8.13)
Over 1.5
32.05%
▼
(-6.17)
Under 1.5
67.95%
▲
(+6.17)
Over 2.5
11.89%
▼
(-4.13)
Under 2.5
88.11%
▲
(+4.13)
Over 3.5
3.97%
▼
(-1.87)
Under 3.5
96.03%
▲
(+1.88)
Score analysis
Manchester United
51.95%
Draw
23.4%
Leeds United
24.65%
Manchester United
2-1
@
9.94%
▲
(+1.55)
1-0 @ 8.44% ▼ (-0.51)
2-0 @ 7.47% ▲ (+2.16)
3-1 @ 5.98% ▲ (+2.82)
3-2 @ 4.52% ▲ (+2.39)
3-0 @ 4.38% ▲ (+2.07)
Other @ 11.22% ▲ (+7.27)
Total : 51.95%
1-0 @ 8.44% ▼ (-0.51)
2-0 @ 7.47% ▲ (+2.16)
3-1 @ 5.98% ▲ (+2.82)
3-2 @ 4.52% ▲ (+2.39)
3-0 @ 4.38% ▲ (+2.07)
Other @ 11.22% ▲ (+7.27)
Total : 51.95%
Draw
1-1
@
10.26%
▼
(-2.82)
2-2 @ 6.29% ▲ (+0.10)
0-0 @ 4.99% ▼ (-2.91)
3-3 @ 1.55%
Other @ 0.31% ▼ (-0.24)
Total : 23.4%
2-2 @ 6.29% ▲ (+0.10)
0-0 @ 4.99% ▼ (-2.91)
3-3 @ 1.55%
Other @ 0.31% ▼ (-0.24)
Total : 23.4%
Leeds United
1-2
@
6.08%
▼
(-1.83)
0-1 @ 5.27% ▼ (-3.52)
0-2 @ 3.27% ▼ (-2.70)
1-3 @ 2.53% ▼ (-0.91)
2-3 @ 2.39% ▲ (+0.11)
0-3 @ 1.45% ▼ (-1.45)
Other @ 3.66% ▼ (-1.64)
Total : 24.65%
0-1 @ 5.27% ▼ (-3.52)
0-2 @ 3.27% ▼ (-2.70)
1-3 @ 2.53% ▼ (-0.91)
2-3 @ 2.39% ▲ (+0.11)
0-3 @ 1.45% ▼ (-1.45)
Other @ 3.66% ▼ (-1.64)
Total : 24.65%
Head to Head
Build-up
News
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How to watch
Feature
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Feature
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