Premier League Gameweek 38
May 24, 2026 4.00pm
London Stadium

West Ham United vs Leeds United - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

West Ham United

All competitions
Last game
May 17, 2026 5.30pm
Newcastle 3 - 1 West Ham
Goals scored
43
Top scorer
Crysencio Summerville

Leeds United

All competitions
Last game
May 17, 2026 3.00pm
Leeds 1 - 0 Brighton
Goals scored
49
Top scorer
Dominic Calvert-Lewin

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a West Ham United win with a probability of 37.36%. A win for Leeds United has a probability of 34.39% and a draw has a probability of 28.25%.

The most likely scoreline for a West Ham United win is 1-0 with a probability of 11.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (7.56%) and 2-0 (6.56%). The likeliest Leeds United win is 0-1 (9.41%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (11.55%).

Result

West Ham United 37.36% (+0.09)
Draw 28.25% (-0.02)
Leeds United 34.39% (-0.08)

Both Teams to Score: 

48.96%

Goals

Over 1.5 68.79% (-0.02)
Under 1.5 31.21% (+0.02)
Over 2.5 45.46% (-0.01)
Under 2.5 54.54% (+0.01)
Over 3.5 25.41% (+0.04)
Under 3.5 74.61% (-0.04)
Over 4.5 13.44% (+0.04)
Under 4.5 86.56% (-0.04)

First Half Winner

West Ham United 27.03% (+0.02)
Draw 45.15% (-0.01)
Leeds United 27.82%

Team To Score First

West Ham United 41.74% (+0.02)
No Goal 10.31%
Leeds United 47.95% (-0.01)

Corners

Over 8 66.58% (-0.02)
Equal 8 10.09% (-0.02)
Under 8 23.34% (+0.04)
Over 9 55.58% (+0.01)
Equal 9 11% (-0.02)
Under 9 33.42% (+0.02)
Over 10.5 44.57% (+0.04)
Under 10.5 55.43% (-0.04)

West Ham United Goals

Over 1.5 34.45% (+0.08)
Under 1.5 65.55% (-0.08)
Over 2.5 13.17% (+0.06)
Under 2.5 86.83% (-0.05)
Over 3.5 4% (+0.03)
Under 3.5 96% (-0.02)

Leeds United Goals

Over 0.5 65.18% (-0.07)
Under 0.5 34.82% (+0.08)
Over 1.5 33.36% (-0.08)
Under 1.5 66.64% (+0.08)
Over 2.5 13.66% (-0.06)
Under 2.5 86.34% (+0.05)
Over 3.5 4.26% (-0.01)
Under 3.5 95.74% (+0.01)

Score analysis

West Ham United 37.36%
Draw 28.24%
Leeds United 34.39%
West Ham United
1-0 @ 11.48% (+0.01)
2-1 @ 7.56%
2-0 @ 6.56% (+0.02)
3-1 @ 3.3% (+0.03)
3-0 @ 2.67%
3-2 @ 2% (+0.03)
Other @ 3.79% (+0.04)
Total : 37.36%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.55% (-0.01)
0-0 @ 10.31%
2-2 @ 4.97% (-0.02)
3-3 @ 1.2% (-0.02)
Other @ 0.21% (-0.02)
Total : 28.24%
Leeds United
0-1 @ 9.41%
1-2 @ 7.5% (-0.04)
0-2 @ 5.23% (-0.01)
1-3 @ 3.69% (-0.03)
0-3 @ 2.32% (-0.03)
2-3 @ 2.19% (+0.01)
Other @ 4.05%
Total : 34.39%

Head to Head

FA Cup
Apr 5, 2026 4.30pm
2
2
ET London Stadium
  • Pablo  46' yellowcard
  • Tomáš Souček 46' yellowcard
  • Mateus Fernandes 90'+3' goal
  • Axel Disasi 90'+6' goal
  • Oliver Scarles 106' yellowcard
  • Mohamadou Kanté 106' yellowcard
  • Finlay Herrick 120' yellowcard
  • Ezra Mayers 120'+5' yellowcard
  • goal Ao Tanaka 26'
  • yellowcard Brenden Aaronson 38'
  • yellowcard Sebastiaan Bornauw 52'
  • yellowcard Ilia Gruev 69'
  • yellowcard Dominic Calvert-Lewin 69'
  • yellowcard Wilfried Gnonto 69'
  • yellowcard Dominic Calvert-Lewin 75'
  • yellowcard Joël Piroe 106'
Premier League
Oct 24, 2025 8.00pm
2
1
HT : 0 0
FT
Premier League Gameweek 37
May 21, 2023 1.30pm
3
1
HT : 1 1
FT
  • Declan Rice 32' goal
  • Jarrod Bowen 72' goal
  • Manuel Lanzini 90'+4' goal
  • goal Rodrigo 17'
Premier League Gameweek 19
Jan 4, 2023 7.45pm
2
2
HT : 1 1
FT
  • Willy Gnonto 27' goal
  • Rodrigo 70' goal
  • goal Lucas Paqueta 45'+1'
  • goal Gianluca Scamacca 46'
Premier League Gameweek 22
Jan 16, 2022 2.00pm
2
3
HT : 1 2
FT
  • Michail Antonio 24' yellowcard
  • Jarrod Bowen 34' goal
  • Pablo Fornals 52' goal
  • Manuel Lanzini 62' yellowcard
  • Andriy Yarmolenko 77' yellowcard
  • goal Jack Harrison 10'
  • goal Jack Harrison 37'
  • yellowcard Robin Koch 45'
  • goal Jack Harrison 60'
  • yellowcard Daniel James 88'
FA Cup
Jan 9, 2022 2.00pm
2
0
HT : 1 0
FT London Stadium
  • Manuel Lanzini 34' goal
  • Manuel Lanzini 72' yellowcard
  • Jarrod Bowen 90'+3' goal
  • yellowcard Cody Drameh 78'