Club Friendlies 1
Aug 2, 2026 9.00pm
Soldier Field

Liverpool vs Leeds United - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Liverpool

All competitions
Club Friendlies 1
Last game
Jul 30, 2026 12.30am
Liverpool 1 - 0 Wrexham

Leeds United

All competitions

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Liverpool win with a probability of 48.2%. A win for Leeds United has a probability of 28.4% and a draw has a probability of 23.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Liverpool win is 2-1 with a probability of 9.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-0 (8.4%) and 2-0 (7.34%). The likeliest Leeds United win is 1-2 (6.98%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (10.83%).

Result

Liverpool 48.2% (-0.80)
Draw 23.5% (+0.40)
Leeds United 28.4% (+0.60)

Both Teams to Score: 

59.9% (-0.71)

Goals

Over 1.5 80.7% (-0.68)
Under 1.5 19.3% (+0.68)
Over 2.5 58.5% (-1.21)
Under 2.5 41.4% (+1.11)
Over 3.5 36.1% (-1.30)
Under 3.5 63.8% (+1.20)
Over 4.5 21.52% (-1.06)
Under 4.5 78.48% (+1.05)

Liverpool Goals

Over 1.5 50.29% (-1.26)
Under 1.5 49.71% (+1.26)
Over 2.5 24.8% (-1.17)
Under 2.5 75.2% (+1.18)
Over 3.5 9.96% (-0.70)
Under 3.5 90.04% (+0.71)

Leeds United Goals

Over 0.5 65.58% (+0.35)
Under 0.5 34.42% (-0.36)
Over 1.5 33.6% (-0.02)
Under 1.5 66.4% (+0.03)
Over 2.5 12.95% (-0.16)
Under 2.5 87.05% (+0.15)
Over 3.5 4.1% (-0.10)
Under 3.5 95.9% (+0.10)

Score analysis

Liverpool 48.22%
Draw 23.51%
Leeds United 28.4%
Liverpool
2-1 @ 9.44% (-0.03)
1-0 @ 8.4% (+0.29)
2-0 @ 7.34% (+0.06)
3-1 @ 5.5% (-0.18)
3-0 @ 4.26% (-0.09)
3-2 @ 3.55% (-0.15)
Other @ 9.73% (-0.68)
Total : 48.22%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.83% (+0.25)
2-2 @ 6.1% (-0.07)
0-0 @ 4.82% (+0.31)
3-3 @ 1.53% (-0.08)
Other @ 0.23% (-0.02)
Total : 23.51%
Leeds United
1-2 @ 6.98% (+0.14)
0-1 @ 6.21% (+0.33)
0-2 @ 4.02% (+0.20)
1-3 @ 2.99%
2-3 @ 2.61% (-0.08)
0-3 @ 1.72% (+0.09)
Other @ 3.87% (-0.07)
Total : 28.4%

Head to Head

Premier League Gameweek 19
Jan 1, 2026 5.30pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT Anfield
  • Cody Gakpo 66' yellowcard
  • Milos Kerkez 66' yellowcard
  • Alexis Mac Allister 66' yellowcard
  • Federico Chiesa 79' yellowcard
  • Rio Ngumoha 84' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Dominic Calvert-Lewin 70'
  • yellowcard Noah Okafor 70'
  • yellowcard Jayden Bogle 83'
  • yellowcard Ao Tanaka 90'+2'
Premier League
Dec 6, 2025 5.30pm
3
3
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Jayden Bogle 20' yellowcard
  • Gabriel Gudmundsson 26' yellowcard
  • Dominic Calvert-Lewin 73' goal
  • Anton Stach 75' goal
  • Pascal Struijk 89' yellowcard
  • Ao Tanaka 90'+6' goal
  • goal Hugo Ekitike 48'
  • yellowcard Conor Bradley 45'+3'
  • goal Hugo Ekitike 50'
  • goal Dominik Szoboszlai 80'
  • yellowcard Virgil van Dijk 81'
  • yellowcard Joe Gomez 90'+1'
Premier League Gameweek 31
Apr 17, 2023 8.00pm
1
6
HT : 0 2
FT
  • Luis Sinisterra 47' goal
  • goal Cody Gakpo 35'
  • goal Mohamed Salah 39'
  • goal Diogo Jota 52'
  • goal Mohamed Salah 64'
  • goal Diogo Jota 73'
  • goal Darwin Nunez 90'
Premier League Gameweek 14
Oct 29, 2022 7.45pm
1
2
HT : 1 1
FT
  • Mohamed Salah 14' goal
  • goal Rodrigo 4'
  • goal Crysencio Summerville 89'
Premier League Gameweek 19
Feb 23, 2022 7.45pm
6
0
HT : 3 0
FT
  • Mohamed Salah 15' goal
  • Joel Matip 30' goal
  • Mohamed Salah 35' goal
  • Sadio Mane 80' goal
  • Sadio Mane 90' goal
  • Virgil van Dijk 90'+3' goal
  • yellowcard Junior Firpo 18'
  • yellowcard Luke Ayling 33'
  • yellowcard Joe Gelhardt 90'+2'
Premier League Gameweek 4
Sep 12, 2021 4.30pm
0
3
HT : 0 1
FT
  • Liam Cooper 12' yellowcard
  • Diego Llorente 31' yellowcard
  • Pascal Struijk 60' redcard
  • yellowcard Fabinho 16'
  • goal Mohamed Salah 20'
  • goal Fabinho 50'
  • goal Sadio Mane 90'+2'