Europa League Gameweek 2
Oct 15, 2026 5.45pm
Red Bull Arena

Red Bull Salzburg vs AC Milan - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Red Bull Salzburg

All competitions

AC Milan

All competitions
Europa League
Last game
Sep 16, 2026 8.00pm
AC Milan 0 - 2 Benfica

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a AC Milan win with a probability of 38.06%. A win for Red Bull Salzburg has a probability of 37.55% and a draw has a probability of 24.42%.

The most likely scoreline for a AC Milan win is 0-1 with a probability of 8.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-2 (8.14%) and 0-2 (5.92%). The likeliest Red Bull Salzburg win is 1-0 (8.26%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (11.2%).

Result

Red Bull Salzburg 37.55% ▼ (-1.25)
Draw 24.42% ▼ (-0.20)
AC Milan 38.06% ▲ (+1.47)

Both Teams to Score: 

55.06% ▼ (-0.44)

Goals

Over 1.5 76.71% ▼ (-0.23)
Under 1.5 23.29% ▲ (+0.22)
Over 2.5 53.75% ▼ (-0.33)
Under 2.5 46.25% ▲ (+0.33)
Over 3.5 31.86% ▼ (-0.47)
Under 3.5 68.14% ▲ (+0.46)
Over 4.5 18.68% ▼ (-0.33)
Under 4.5 81.32% ▲ (+0.32)

First Half Winner

Red Bull Salzburg 31.17% ▼ (-0.25)
Draw 40.34% ▼ (-0.51)
AC Milan 28.5% ▲ (+0.77)

Team To Score First

Red Bull Salzburg 48.7% ▼ (-1.95)
No Goal 6.17% ▲ (+0.05)
AC Milan 45.13% ▲ (+1.92)

Corners

Over 8 51.18% ▲ (+0.90)
Equal 8 12.09% ▲ (+0.09)
Under 8 36.73% ▼ (-0.99)
Over 9 39.5% ▲ (+0.72)
Equal 9 11.68% ▲ (+0.17)
Under 9 48.82% ▼ (-0.90)
Over 10.5 29.15% ▲ (+0.51)
Under 10.5 70.85% ▼ (-0.52)

Red Bull Salzburg Goals

Over 1.5 39.3% ▼ (-1.31)
Under 1.5 60.7% ▲ (+1.31)
Over 2.5 16.9% ▼ (-0.84)
Under 2.5 83.1% ▲ (+0.83)
Over 3.5 5.96% ▼ (-0.34)
Under 3.5 94.04% ▲ (+0.35)

AC Milan Goals

Over 0.5 71.21% ▲ (+0.71)
Under 0.5 28.79% ▼ (-0.72)
Over 1.5 39.14% ▲ (+0.74)
Under 1.5 60.86% ▼ (-0.74)
Over 2.5 16.64% ▲ (+0.56)
Under 2.5 83.36% ▼ (-0.55)
Over 3.5 5.79% ▲ (+0.17)
Under 3.5 94.21% ▼ (-0.17)

Score analysis

Red Bull Salzburg 37.55%
Draw 24.43%
AC Milan 38.06%
Red Bull Salzburg
1-0 @ 8.26% ▼ (-0.10)
2-1 @ 8.1% ▼ (-0.23)
2-0 @ 5.83% ▼ (-0.18)
3-1 @ 3.87% ▼ (-0.14)
3-2 @ 2.92% ▼ (-0.17)
3-0 @ 2.85% ▼ (-0.11)
Other @ 5.72% ▼ (-0.33)
Total : 37.55%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.2% ▲ (+0.02)
0-0 @ 6.17% ▲ (+0.05)
2-2 @ 5.52% ▼ (-0.16)
3-3 @ 1.3% ▼ (-0.08)
Other @ 0.24% ▼ (-0.03)
Total : 24.43%
AC Milan
0-1 @ 8.9% ▲ (+0.33)
1-2 @ 8.14% ▲ (+0.25)
0-2 @ 5.92% ▲ (+0.26)
1-3 @ 3.79% ▲ (+0.15)
2-3 @ 2.95% ▲ (+0.09)
0-3 @ 2.81% ▲ (+0.23)
Other @ 5.55% ▲ (+0.18)
Total : 38.06%

Head to Head

Champions League
Nov 2, 2022 8.00pm
4
0
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Olivier Giroud 14' goal
  • Rade Krunic 46' goal
  • Olivier Giroud 57' goal
  • Junior Messias 90'+1' goal
Champions League
Sep 6, 2022 8.00pm
1
1
HT : 1 1
FT Red Bull Arena
  • Noah Okafor 28' goal
  • goal Alexis Saelemaekers 40'