Austrian Bundesliga Gameweek 7
Sep 20, 2026 4.00pm
Red Bull Arena

Red Bull Salzburg vs Sturm Graz - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Red Bull Salzburg

All competitions
Austrian Bundesliga
Last game
Sep 11, 2026 6.30pm
SV Ried 1 - 1 Salzburg
Goals scored
15
Top scorer
Karim Konaté

Sturm Graz

All competitions
Austrian Bundesliga
Last game
Sep 13, 2026 4.00pm
Sturm Graz 2 - 1 LASK
Goals scored
8
Top scorer
Nelson Weiper

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Red Bull Salzburg win with a probability of 59.55%. A draw has a probability of 21.94% and a win for Sturm Graz has a probability of 18.52%.

The most likely scoreline for a Red Bull Salzburg win is 2-1 with a probability of 10.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-0 (10.05%) and 2-0 (9.32%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (10.21%) , while for a Sturm Graz win it is 1-2 (5.04%).

Result

Red Bull Salzburg 59.55% (+0.34)
Draw 21.94% (-0.06)
Sturm Graz 18.52% (-0.27)

Both Teams to Score: 

57.18% (+0.04)

Goals

Over 1.5 80.13% (+0.09)
Under 1.5 19.87% (-0.09)
Over 2.5 58.14% (+0.11)
Under 2.5 41.86% (-0.11)
Over 3.5 36.1% (+0.18)
Under 3.5 63.9% (-0.17)
Over 4.5 22.48% (+0.13)
Under 4.5 77.52% (-0.14)

First Half Winner

Red Bull Salzburg 43.75% (+0.29)
Draw 37.66% (-0.04)
Sturm Graz 18.59% (-0.25)

Team To Score First

Red Bull Salzburg 65.1% (+0.29)
No Goal 4.98% (-0.01)
Sturm Graz 29.92% (-0.27)

Corners

Over 8 63% (+0.58)
Equal 8 11% (-0.03)
Under 8 26% (-0.54)
Over 9 51.31% (+0.56)
Equal 9 11.69% (+0.02)
Under 9 37% (-0.58)
Over 10.5 39.95% (+0.49)
Under 10.5 60.05% (-0.49)

Red Bull Salzburg Goals

Over 1.5 57.94% (+0.34)
Under 1.5 42.06% (-0.34)
Over 2.5 30.9% (+0.35)
Under 2.5 69.1% (-0.36)
Over 3.5 13.56% (+0.23)
Under 3.5 86.44% (-0.22)

Sturm Graz Goals

Over 0.5 56.46% (-0.25)
Under 0.5 43.54% (+0.25)
Over 1.5 24.43% (-0.27)
Under 1.5 75.57% (+0.26)
Over 2.5 7.48% (-0.19)
Under 2.5 92.52% (+0.19)
Over 3.5 2.03% (-0.12)
Under 3.5 97.97% (+0.11)

Score analysis

Red Bull Salzburg 59.56%
Draw 21.94%
Sturm Graz 18.51%
Red Bull Salzburg
2-1 @ 10.6% (+0.01)
1-0 @ 10.05% (-0.03)
2-0 @ 9.32%
3-1 @ 6.37% (+0.07)
3-0 @ 5.7% (+0.05)
3-2 @ 4.02% (+0.04)
Other @ 13.5% (+0.25)
Total : 59.56%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.21% (-0.01)
2-2 @ 5.44%
0-0 @ 4.98% (-0.01)
3-3 @ 1.25% (-0.03)
Other @ 0.06% (-0.03)
Total : 21.94%
Sturm Graz
1-2 @ 5.04% (-0.10)
0-1 @ 4.85% (-0.05)
0-2 @ 2.45% (-0.01)
1-3 @ 1.82% (-0.02)
2-3 @ 1.68% (-0.03)
Other @ 1.97% (-0.10)
Total : 18.51%

Head to Head

Austrian Bundesliga
May 3, 2026 4.00pm
1
1
HT : 1 0
FT Red Bull Arena
  • Yorbe Vertessen 22' goal
  • Edmund Baidoo 74' yellowcard
  • Karim Konaté 80' yellowcard
  • Moussa Yeo 80' yellowcard
  • Aleksa Terzic 87' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Paul Koller 59'
  • yellowcard Luca Weinhandl 73'
  • yellowcard Otar Kiteishvili 73'
  • yellowcard Niklas Geyrhofer 73'
  • yellowcard Axel Kayombo 88'
  • goal Axel Kayombo 90'+3'
Austrian Bundesliga Gameweek 2
Mar 20, 2026 6.30pm
1
1
HT : 1 1
FT Merkur Arena
  • Emanuel Aiwu 39' yellowcard
  • Jon Gorenc Stankovic 45'+5' goal
  • Maurice Malone 70' yellowcard
  • Filip Rózga 70' yellowcard
  • Axel Kayombo 87' yellowcard
  • Luca Weinhandl 87' yellowcard
  • goal Yorbe Vertessen 32'
  • yellowcard Sota Kitano 75'
  • yellowcard Damir Redzic 75'
  • yellowcard Moussa Yeo 83'
  • yellowcard Karim Onisiwo 85'
Austrian Bundesliga
Nov 9, 2025 4.00pm
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT
Austrian Bundesliga
Sep 20, 2025 4.00pm
0
2
HT : 0 0
FT
Austrian Bundesliga Gameweek 8
May 9, 2025 6.30pm
4
2
HT : 2 1
FT Merkur Arena
  • Aleksa Terzic 18' goal
  • William Boving 20' goal
  • Gregory Wuthrich 48' goal
  • Tochi Chukwuani 72' goal
  • goal Nene Dorgeles 45'
  • goal Emanuel Aiwu 59' (OG)
  • yellowcard Kouakou Joane Gadou 68'
Austrian Bundesliga Gameweek 3
Apr 13, 2025 1.30pm
1
2
HT : 1 0
FT Red Bull Arena
  • Moussa Kounfolo Yeo 6' yellowcard
  • Adam Daghim 32' goal
  • goal Otar Kiteishvili 48'
  • yellowcard Emanuel Aiwu 54'
  • redcard Gregory Wuthrich 63'
  • goal Otar Kiteishvili 70'
  • yellowcard Malick Junior Yalcouye 71'