Austrian Bundesliga
Aug 30, 2026 4.00pm
3
1
HT : 2 1
FT Allianz Stadion
  • Yusuf Demir 7' goal
  • Marco Tilio 17' goal
  • Romeo Amane 59' yellowcard
  • Petter Nosa Dahl 86' goal
  • Nikolaus Wurmbrand 89' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Jürgen Heil 3'
  • goal Belmin Beganovic 10'
  • yellowcard Jon Gorenc Stankovic 53'
  • yellowcard Luca Weinhandl 65'
  • redcard Albert Vallci 90'

Rapid Vienna vs Sturm Graz - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Rapid Vienna

All competitions
Austrian Bundesliga
Last game
Aug 16, 2026 6.00pm
Rapid Vienna 8 - 0 Grazer
Goals scored
14
Top scorer
Tonni Adamsen

Sturm Graz

All competitions
Austrian Bundesliga
Last game
Aug 22, 2026 6.30pm
Sturm Graz 1 - 1 Austria Lustenau
Goals scored
6
Top scorer
Nelson Weiper

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Rapid Vienna win with a probability of 52.73%. A draw has a probability of 24.25% and a win for Sturm Graz has a probability of 22.98%.

The most likely scoreline for a Rapid Vienna win is 2-1 with a probability of 10.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-0 (9.79%) and 2-0 (8.33%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (11.41%) , while for a Sturm Graz win it is 1-2 (6.27%).

Result

Rapid Vienna 52.73% (+0.21)
Draw 24.25% (-0.13)
Sturm Graz 22.98% (-0.15)

Both Teams to Score: 

55.64% (+0.12)

Goals

Over 1.5 78.49% (+0.18)
Under 1.5 21.51% (-0.18)
Over 2.5 55.53% (+0.36)
Under 2.5 44.47% (-0.36)
Over 3.5 32.52% (+0.15)
Under 3.5 67.48% (-0.15)
Over 4.5 19.26% (+0.09)
Under 4.5 80.74% (-0.10)

First Half Winner

Rapid Vienna 42.68% (-0.18)
Draw 38.5% (+0.22)
Sturm Graz 18.82% (-0.02)

Team To Score First

Rapid Vienna 59.06% (+0.25)
No Goal 5.81% (-0.09)
Sturm Graz 35.13% (-0.16)

Corners

Over 8 59.56% (+0.71)
Equal 8 10.04% (-0.82)
Under 8 30.4% (+0.10)
Over 9 49.16% (+1.45)
Equal 9 10.4% (-0.75)
Under 9 40.44% (-0.71)
Over 10.5 39.18% (+2.03)
Under 10.5 60.82% (-2.03)

Rapid Vienna Goals

Over 1.5 51.86% (+0.27)
Under 1.5 48.14% (-0.27)
Over 2.5 25.88% (+0.24)
Under 2.5 74.12% (-0.24)
Over 3.5 10.31% (+0.13)
Under 3.5 89.69% (-0.13)

Sturm Graz Goals

Over 0.5 60.64% (-0.11)
Under 0.5 39.36% (+0.11)
Over 1.5 27.71% (-0.08)
Under 1.5 72.29% (+0.09)
Over 2.5 9.02%
Under 2.5 90.98%
Over 3.5 2.41% (-0.03)
Under 3.5 97.59% (+0.04)

Score analysis

Rapid Vienna 52.72%
Draw 24.25%
Sturm Graz 22.98%
Rapid Vienna
2-1 @ 10.12% (+0.05)
1-0 @ 9.79% (-0.10)
2-0 @ 8.33% (-0.02)
3-1 @ 5.54% (+0.05)
3-0 @ 5.23% (+0.10)
3-2 @ 3.56% (-0.01)
Other @ 10.15% (+0.14)
Total : 52.72%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.41% (-0.03)
0-0 @ 5.81% (-0.09)
2-2 @ 5.63%
3-3 @ 1.24%
Other @ 0.16% (-0.02)
Total : 24.25%
Sturm Graz
1-2 @ 6.27% (+0.01)
0-1 @ 5.86% (-0.09)
0-2 @ 3.23% (-0.09)
1-3 @ 2.08% (-0.03)
2-3 @ 1.9%
0-3 @ 1.39% (+0.05)
Other @ 2.25% (-0.03)
Total : 22.98%

Head to Head

Austrian Bundesliga Gameweek 10
May 17, 2026 1.30pm
2
0
HT : 0 0
FT Merkur Arena
  • Axel Kayombo 62' yellowcard
  • Gizo Mamageishvili 62' yellowcard
  • Belmin Beganovic 72' yellowcard
  • Jusuf Gazibegovic 72' yellowcard
  • Stefan Hierländer 84' yellowcard
  • Gizo Mamageishvili 88' goal
  • Stefan Hierländer 90'+1' goal
  • yellowcard Ange Ahoussou 60'
  • yellowcard Lukas Grgic 60'
  • yellowcard Tobias Gulliksen 86'
Austrian Bundesliga Gameweek 3
Apr 5, 2026 4.00pm
0
2
HT : 0 1
FT Allianz Stadion
  • Petter Nosa Dahl 57' yellowcard
  • Marco Tilio 71' yellowcard
  • Yusuf Demir 71' yellowcard
  • Ercan Kara 71' yellowcard
  • 71' yellowcard
  • goal Albert Vallci 13'
  • goal Seedy Jatta 52'
  • yellowcard Arjan Malic 59'
  • yellowcard 71'
  • yellowcard Otar Kiteishvili 73'
  • yellowcard Maurice Malone 73'
  • yellowcard Ryan Fosso 73'
  • yellowcard Stefan Hierländer 81'
Austrian Bundesliga
Nov 2, 2025 4.00pm
2
1
HT : 0 0
FT
Austrian Bundesliga
Aug 10, 2025 4.00pm
1
2
HT : 0 0
FT
Austrian Bundesliga Gameweek 9
May 18, 2025 4.00pm
3
1
HT : 2 0
FT Allianz Stadion
  • Bendeguz Bolla 20' goal
  • Guido Burgstaller 41' goal
  • Bendeguz Bolla 78' goal
  • goal Leon Grgic 66'
Austrian Bundesliga Gameweek 2
Apr 4, 2025 6.30pm
2
0
HT : 1 0
FT Merkur Arena
  • William Boving 18' goal
  • Max Johnston 34' yellowcard
  • Tomi Horvat 51' yellowcard
  • Leon Grgic 90' goal
  • yellowcard Nenad Cvetkovic 63'
  • yellowcard Dion Beljo 68'
  • yellowcard Jakob Maximilian Scholler 84'