Austrian Bundesliga
Aug 30, 2026 4.00pm
3
1
HT : 2 1
FT Allianz Stadion
  • Yusuf Demir 7' goal
  • Marco Tilio 17' goal
  • Romeo Amane 59' yellowcard
  • Petter Nosa Dahl 86' goal
  • Nikolaus Wurmbrand 89' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Jürgen Heil 3'
  • goal Belmin Beganovic 10'
  • yellowcard Jon Gorenc Stankovic 53'
  • yellowcard Luca Weinhandl 65'
  • redcard Albert Vallci 90'

Rapid Vienna vs Sturm Graz - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Rapid Vienna

All competitions
Austrian Bundesliga
Last game
Aug 16, 2026 6.00pm
Rapid Vienna 8 - 0 Grazer
Goals scored
15
Top scorer
Tonni Adamsen

Sturm Graz

All competitions
Austrian Bundesliga
Last game
Aug 22, 2026 6.30pm
Sturm Graz 1 - 1 Austria Lustenau
Goals scored
6
Top scorer
Nelson Weiper

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rapid Vienna win with a probability of 52.73%. A draw had a probability of 24.25% and a win for Sturm Graz had a probability of 22.98%.

The most likely scoreline for a Rapid Vienna win was 2-1 with a probability of 10.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.79%) and 2-0 (8.33%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.41%) , while for a Sturm Graz win it was 1-2 (6.27%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.5% likelihood.

Result

Rapid Vienna 52.73% ▲ (+0.21)
Draw 24.25% ▼ (-0.13)
Sturm Graz 22.98% ▼ (-0.15)

Both Teams to Score: 

55.64% ▲ (+0.12)

Goals

Over 1.5 78.49% ▲ (+0.18)
Under 1.5 21.51% ▼ (-0.18)
Over 2.5 55.53% ▲ (+0.36)
Under 2.5 44.47% ▼ (-0.36)
Over 3.5 32.52% ▲ (+0.15)
Under 3.5 67.48% ▼ (-0.15)
Over 4.5 19.26% ▲ (+0.09)
Under 4.5 80.74% ▼ (-0.10)

First Half Winner

Rapid Vienna 42.68% ▼ (-0.18)
Draw 38.5% ▲ (+0.22)
Sturm Graz 18.82% ▼ (-0.02)

Team To Score First

Rapid Vienna 59.06% ▲ (+0.25)
No Goal 5.81% ▼ (-0.09)
Sturm Graz 35.13% ▼ (-0.16)

Corners

Over 8 59.56% ▲ (+0.71)
Equal 8 10.04% ▼ (-0.82)
Under 8 30.4% ▲ (+0.10)
Over 9 49.16% ▲ (+1.45)
Equal 9 10.4% ▼ (-0.75)
Under 9 40.44% ▼ (-0.71)
Over 10.5 39.18% ▲ (+2.03)
Under 10.5 60.82% ▼ (-2.03)

Rapid Vienna Goals

Over 1.5 51.86% ▲ (+0.27)
Under 1.5 48.14% ▼ (-0.27)
Over 2.5 25.88% ▲ (+0.24)
Under 2.5 74.12% ▼ (-0.24)
Over 3.5 10.31% ▲ (+0.13)
Under 3.5 89.69% ▼ (-0.13)

Sturm Graz Goals

Over 0.5 60.64% ▼ (-0.11)
Under 0.5 39.36% ▲ (+0.11)
Over 1.5 27.71% ▼ (-0.08)
Under 1.5 72.29% ▲ (+0.09)
Over 2.5 9.02%
Under 2.5 90.98%
Over 3.5 2.41% ▼ (-0.03)
Under 3.5 97.59% ▲ (+0.04)

Score analysis

Rapid Vienna 52.72%
Draw 24.25%
Sturm Graz 22.98%
Rapid Vienna
2-1 @ 10.12% ▲ (+0.05)
1-0 @ 9.79% ▼ (-0.10)
2-0 @ 8.33% ▼ (-0.02)
3-1 @ 5.54% ▲ (+0.05)
3-0 @ 5.23% ▲ (+0.10)
3-2 @ 3.56% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 10.15% ▲ (+0.14)
Total : 52.72%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.41% ▼ (-0.03)
0-0 @ 5.81% ▼ (-0.09)
2-2 @ 5.63%
3-3 @ 1.24%
Other @ 0.16% ▼ (-0.02)
Total : 24.25%
Sturm Graz
1-2 @ 6.27% ▲ (+0.01)
0-1 @ 5.86% ▼ (-0.09)
0-2 @ 3.23% ▼ (-0.09)
1-3 @ 2.08% ▼ (-0.03)
2-3 @ 1.9%
0-3 @ 1.39% ▲ (+0.05)
Other @ 2.25% ▼ (-0.03)
Total : 22.98%

Head to Head

Austrian Bundesliga Gameweek 10
May 17, 2026 1.30pm
2
0
HT : 0 0
FT Merkur Arena
  • Axel Kayombo 62' yellowcard
  • Gizo Mamageishvili 62' yellowcard
  • Belmin Beganovic 72' yellowcard
  • Jusuf Gazibegovic 72' yellowcard
  • Stefan Hierländer 84' yellowcard
  • Gizo Mamageishvili 88' goal
  • Stefan Hierländer 90'+1' goal
  • yellowcard Ange Ahoussou 60'
  • yellowcard Lukas Grgic 60'
  • yellowcard Tobias Gulliksen 86'
Austrian Bundesliga Gameweek 3
Apr 5, 2026 4.00pm
0
2
HT : 0 1
FT Allianz Stadion
  • Petter Nosa Dahl 57' yellowcard
  • Marco Tilio 71' yellowcard
  • Yusuf Demir 71' yellowcard
  • Ercan Kara 71' yellowcard
  • 71' yellowcard
  • goal Albert Vallci 13'
  • goal Seedy Jatta 52'
  • yellowcard Arjan Malic 59'
  • yellowcard 71'
  • yellowcard Otar Kiteishvili 73'
  • yellowcard Maurice Malone 73'
  • yellowcard Ryan Fosso 73'
  • yellowcard Stefan Hierländer 81'
Austrian Bundesliga
Nov 2, 2025 4.00pm
2
1
HT : 0 0
FT
Austrian Bundesliga
Aug 10, 2025 4.00pm
1
2
HT : 0 0
FT
Austrian Bundesliga Gameweek 9
May 18, 2025 4.00pm
3
1
HT : 2 0
FT Allianz Stadion
  • Bendeguz Bolla 20' goal
  • Guido Burgstaller 41' goal
  • Bendeguz Bolla 78' goal
  • goal Leon Grgic 66'
Austrian Bundesliga Gameweek 2
Apr 4, 2025 6.30pm
2
0
HT : 1 0
FT Merkur Arena
  • William Boving 18' goal
  • Max Johnston 34' yellowcard
  • Tomi Horvat 51' yellowcard
  • Leon Grgic 90' goal
  • yellowcard Nenad Cvetkovic 63'
  • yellowcard Dion Beljo 68'
  • yellowcard Jakob Maximilian Scholler 84'