Austrian Bundesliga Gameweek 4
Aug 22, 2026 6.30pm
Merkur Arena

Sturm Graz vs Austria Lustenau - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Sturm Graz

All competitions
Austrian Bundesliga
Last game
Aug 15, 2026 6.30pm
Sturm Graz 1 - 0 Rheindorf Altach

Austria Lustenau

All competitions
Austrian Bundesliga
Last game
Aug 15, 2026 4.00pm
Austria Lustenau 2 - 1 Wolfsberger

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Sturm Graz win with a probability of 49.73%. A draw has a probability of 25.87% and a win for Austria Lustenau has a probability of 24.37%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sturm Graz win is 1-0 with a probability of 11.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (9.79%) and 2-0 (8.83%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (11.91%) , while for a Austria Lustenau win it is 0-1 (7.33%).

Result

Sturm Graz 49.73% (+0.02)
Draw 25.87% (-0.02)
Austria Lustenau 24.37% (+0.02)

Both Teams to Score: 

51.46% (+0.08)

Goals

Over 1.5 73.25% (+0.05)
Under 1.5 26.75% (-0.06)
Over 2.5 48.82% (+0.07)
Under 2.5 51.18% (-0.03)
Over 3.5 27.18% (+0.09)
Under 3.5 72.82% (-0.07)
Over 4.5 15.63% (+0.08)
Under 4.5 84.37% (-0.07)

First Half Winner

Sturm Graz 31.73% (-0.04)
Draw 47.11% (+0.04)
Austria Lustenau 21.16% (-0.02)

Team To Score First

Sturm Graz 54.74% (+0.04)
No Goal 8.07% (-0.04)
Austria Lustenau 37.19% (+0.01)

Corners

Over 8 62.85% (+0.10)
Equal 8 10.32%
Under 8 26.83% (-0.10)
Over 9 51.92% (+0.11)
Equal 9 10.93%
Under 9 37.15% (-0.10)
Over 10.5 41.24% (+0.10)
Under 10.5 58.76% (-0.10)

Sturm Graz Goals

Over 1.5 45.92% (+0.06)
Under 1.5 54.08% (-0.06)
Over 2.5 20.92% (+0.04)
Under 2.5 79.08% (-0.04)
Over 3.5 7.79% (+0.04)
Under 3.5 92.21% (-0.04)

Austria Lustenau Goals

Over 0.5 59.57% (+0.04)
Under 0.5 40.43% (-0.04)
Over 1.5 25.8% (+0.06)
Under 1.5 74.2% (-0.05)
Over 2.5 8.68% (+0.04)
Under 2.5 91.32% (-0.05)
Over 3.5 2.51% (+0.02)
Under 3.5 97.49% (-0.03)

Score analysis

Sturm Graz 49.72%
Draw 25.87%
Austria Lustenau 24.38%
Sturm Graz
1-0 @ 11.32% (-0.01)
2-1 @ 9.79% (-0.02)
2-0 @ 8.83%
3-1 @ 4.74% (+0.01)
3-0 @ 4.54% (-0.02)
3-2 @ 2.86% (+0.01)
Other @ 7.64% (+0.02)
Total : 49.72%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.91%
0-0 @ 8.07% (-0.04)
2-2 @ 4.75% (+0.01)
Other @ 0.15% (+0.01)
Total : 25.87%
Austria Lustenau
0-1 @ 7.33% (-0.01)
1-2 @ 5.82% (-0.01)
0-2 @ 3.69%
1-3 @ 2.07% (+0.01)
2-3 @ 1.63% (+0.02)
0-3 @ 1.48% (-0.02)
Other @ 2.36% (+0.01)
Total : 24.38%

Head to Head

Austrian Bundesliga Gameweek 15
Nov 25, 2023 4.00pm
2
0
HT : 0 0
FT Merkur Arena
  • Tomi Horvat 48' goal
  • Stefan Hierlander 51' yellowcard
  • Alexander Prass 70' goal
  • yellowcard Baila Diallo 34'
  • redcard Baila Diallo 52'
  • yellowcard Domenik Schierl 71'
  • yellowcard Kennedy Boateng 90'+2'
Austrian Bundesliga Gameweek 4
Aug 19, 2023 4.00pm
0
1
HT : 0 1
FT Planet Pure Stadion
  • Leo Matzler 64' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Jon Gorenc Stankovic 5'
  • goal Gregory Wuthrich 33'
  • yellowcard Alexander Prass 45'+2'
  • yellowcard Otar Kiteishvili 45'+5'