Austrian Bundesliga
Aug 22, 2026 6.30pm
1
1
HT : 0 1
FT Merkur Arena
  • Seedy Jatta 65' goal
  • Nelson Weiper 66' yellowcard
  • Gizo Mamageishvili 90'+2' yellowcard
  • Jon Gorenc Stankovic 90'+2' yellowcard
  • goal Dominik Weixelbraun 10'
  • yellowcard Lord Afrifa 53'
  • yellowcard Fabian Gmeiner 73'
  • yellowcard Haris Ismailcebioglu 90'+5'
  • redcard Domenik Schierl 90'+8'

Sturm Graz vs Austria Lustenau - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Sturm Graz

All competitions
Austrian Bundesliga
Last game
Aug 15, 2026 6.30pm
Sturm Graz 1 - 0 Rheindorf Altach
Goals scored
5
Top scorer
Nelson Weiper

Austria Lustenau

All competitions
Austrian Bundesliga
Last game
Aug 15, 2026 4.00pm
Austria Lustenau 2 - 1 Wolfsberger
Goals scored
5
Top scorer
Dominik Weixelbraun

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sturm Graz win with a probability of 49.81%. A draw had a probability of 25.87% and a win for Austria Lustenau had a probability of 24.35%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sturm Graz win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.83%) and 2-0 (8.85%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.91%) , while for a Austria Lustenau win it was 0-1 (7.33%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.9% likelihood.

Result

Sturm Graz 49.81% ▲ (+0.09)
Draw 25.87%
Austria Lustenau 24.35% ▼ (-0.02)

Both Teams to Score: 

51.47% ▲ (+0.01)

Goals

Over 1.5 73.37% ▲ (+0.13)
Under 1.5 26.63% ▼ (-0.13)
Over 2.5 48.91% ▲ (+0.09)
Under 2.5 51.09% ▼ (-0.09)
Over 3.5 27.22% ▲ (+0.04)
Under 3.5 72.78% ▼ (-0.04)
Over 4.5 15.68% ▲ (+0.05)
Under 4.5 84.32% ▼ (-0.06)

First Half Winner

Sturm Graz 31.72% ▼ (-0.02)
Draw 47.16% ▲ (+0.05)
Austria Lustenau 21.11% ▼ (-0.06)

Team To Score First

Sturm Graz 54.76% ▲ (+0.02)
No Goal 8.06% ▼ (-0.01)
Austria Lustenau 37.18% ▼ (-0.01)

Corners

Over 8 62.46% ▼ (-0.40)
Equal 8 10.34% ▲ (+0.02)
Under 8 27.2% ▲ (+0.38)
Over 9 51.54% ▼ (-0.39)
Equal 9 10.92% ▼ (-0.01)
Under 9 37.54% ▲ (+0.40)
Over 10.5 40.9% ▼ (-0.35)
Under 10.5 59.1% ▲ (+0.35)

Sturm Graz Goals

Over 1.5 46.06% ▲ (+0.15)
Under 1.5 53.94% ▼ (-0.15)
Over 2.5 21.01% ▲ (+0.09)
Under 2.5 78.99% ▼ (-0.10)
Over 3.5 7.83% ▲ (+0.05)
Under 3.5 92.17% ▼ (-0.04)

Austria Lustenau Goals

Over 0.5 59.61% ▲ (+0.04)
Under 0.5 40.39% ▼ (-0.04)
Over 1.5 25.8%
Under 1.5 74.2%
Over 2.5 8.67% ▼ (-0.01)
Under 2.5 91.33% ▲ (+0.02)
Over 3.5 2.5% ▼ (-0.01)
Under 3.5 97.5% ▲ (+0.02)

Score analysis

Sturm Graz 49.82%
Draw 25.88%
Austria Lustenau 24.35%
Sturm Graz
1-0 @ 11.29% ▼ (-0.04)
2-1 @ 9.83% ▲ (+0.05)
2-0 @ 8.85% ▲ (+0.02)
3-1 @ 4.74%
3-0 @ 4.56% ▲ (+0.02)
3-2 @ 2.87% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 7.68% ▲ (+0.05)
Total : 49.82%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.91%
0-0 @ 8.06% ▼ (-0.01)
2-2 @ 4.75%
3-3 @ 1.01%
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 25.88%
Austria Lustenau
0-1 @ 7.33%
1-2 @ 5.83% ▲ (+0.01)
0-2 @ 3.68% ▼ (-0.01)
1-3 @ 2.06% ▼ (-0.01)
2-3 @ 1.62% ▼ (-0.01)
0-3 @ 1.48%
Other @ 2.35% ▼ (-0.01)
Total : 24.35%

Head to Head

Austrian Bundesliga Gameweek 15
Nov 25, 2023 4.00pm
2
0
HT : 0 0
FT Merkur Arena
  • Tomi Horvat 48' goal
  • Stefan Hierlander 51' yellowcard
  • Alexander Prass 70' goal
  • yellowcard Baila Diallo 34'
  • redcard Baila Diallo 52'
  • yellowcard Domenik Schierl 71'
  • yellowcard Kennedy Boateng 90'+2'
Austrian Bundesliga Gameweek 4
Aug 19, 2023 4.00pm
0
1
HT : 0 1
FT Planet Pure Stadion
  • Leo Matzler 64' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Jon Gorenc Stankovic 5'
  • goal Gregory Wuthrich 33'
  • yellowcard Alexander Prass 45'+2'
  • yellowcard Otar Kiteishvili 45'+5'