Austrian Bundesliga Gameweek 1
Aug 1, 2026 4.00pm
Tivoli Stadion Tirol

WSG Swarovski Tirol vs Sturm Graz - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

WSG Swarovski Tirol

All competitions
Austrian Bundesliga
Last game
May 16, 2026 4.00pm
Wolfsberger 2 - 0 Swarovski

Sturm Graz

All competitions
Austrian Bundesliga
Last game
May 17, 2026 1.30pm
Sturm Graz 2 - 0 Rapid Vienna

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Sturm Graz win with a probability of 47.34%. A win for WSG Swarovski Tirol has a probability of 27.14% and a draw has a probability of 25.52%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sturm Graz win is 0-1 with a probability of 10.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-2 (9%) and 0-2 (8.17%). The likeliest WSG Swarovski Tirol win is 1-0 (7.92%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (11.63%).

Result

WSG Swarovski Tirol 27.14% (-0.04)
Draw 25.52% (+0.04)
Sturm Graz 47.34% (-0.01)

Both Teams to Score: 

51.88% (-0.02)

Goals

Over 1.5 74.49% (-0.05)
Under 1.5 25.51% (+0.05)
Over 2.5 50.43% (-0.05)
Under 2.5 49.57% (+0.05)
Over 3.5 29.12% (-0.03)
Under 3.5 70.88% (+0.04)
Over 4.5 16.73% (-0.02)
Under 4.5 83.27% (+0.02)

First Half Winner

WSG Swarovski Tirol 24.54% (-0.02)
Draw 39.11%
Sturm Graz 36.35% (+0.01)

Team To Score First

WSG Swarovski Tirol 38.19% (+0.01)
No Goal 7.34%
Sturm Graz 54.47% (-0.01)

Corners

Over 8 63.66% (-0.07)
Equal 8 10.46% (+0.02)
Under 8 25.89% (+0.07)
Over 9 52.52% (-0.06)
Equal 9 11.14%
Under 9 36.34% (+0.07)
Over 10.5 41.61% (-0.05)
Under 10.5 58.39% (+0.05)

WSG Swarovski Tirol Goals

Over 1.5 28.49% (-0.06)
Under 1.5 71.51% (+0.06)
Over 2.5 9.88% (-0.03)
Under 2.5 90.12% (+0.04)
Over 3.5 2.72% (-0.01)
Under 3.5 97.28% (+0.02)

Sturm Graz Goals

Over 0.5 76.34% (-0.02)
Under 0.5 23.66% (+0.02)
Over 1.5 45.61% (-0.04)
Under 1.5 54.39% (+0.04)
Over 2.5 21.2% (-0.02)
Under 2.5 78.8% (+0.02)
Over 3.5 8.42% (-0.01)
Under 3.5 91.58% (+0.02)

Score analysis

WSG Swarovski Tirol 27.14%
Draw 25.51%
Sturm Graz 47.34%
WSG Swarovski Tirol
1-0 @ 7.92%
2-1 @ 6.34% (-0.01)
2-0 @ 4.27%
3-1 @ 2.52% (-0.01)
3-2 @ 1.97%
3-0 @ 1.59% (-0.02)
Other @ 2.53% (-0.02)
Total : 27.14%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.63% (+0.04)
0-0 @ 7.34%
2-2 @ 5.27% (-0.02)
3-3 @ 1.08%
Other @ 0.19%
Total : 25.51%
Sturm Graz
0-1 @ 10.24%
1-2 @ 9%
0-2 @ 8.17%
1-3 @ 4.6%
0-3 @ 4.37% (-0.01)
2-3 @ 2.73%
Other @ 8.23% (-0.01)
Total : 47.34%

Head to Head

Austrian Bundesliga
Feb 14, 2026 4.00pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT Tivoli Stadion Tirol
  • Thomas Sabitzer 69' yellowcard
  • Lukas Hinterseer 75' yellowcard
  • Jamie Lawrence 78' goal
  • David Gugganig 89' yellowcard
  • Christian Huetz 90' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Jacob Peter Hödl 42'
  • yellowcard Luca Weinhandl 65'
  • yellowcard Belmin Beganovic 65'
  • yellowcard Seedy Jatta 65'
  • yellowcard Arjan Malic 75'
Austrian Bundesliga
Dec 3, 2025 7.30pm
1
3
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Jon Gorenc Stankovic 38' goal
  • Emanuel Aiwu 44' redcard
  • Niklas Geyrhofer 73' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Marco Boras 37'
  • goal Nikolai Frederiksen 53'
  • yellowcard Ademola Ola-Adebomi 53'
  • yellowcard Valentino Muller 56'
  • yellowcard Moritz Wels 65'
  • goal Matthaus Taferner 67'
  • goal Nikolai Frederiksen 75'
Austrian Bundesliga Gameweek 16
Dec 7, 2024 4.00pm
0
3
HT : 0 1
FT Gernot Langes Stadion
  • Cem Ustundag 33' yellowcard
  • Lukas Sulzbacher 51' yellowcard
  • Stefan Skrbo 68' yellowcard
  • Cem Ustundag 72' redcard
  • goal William Boving 15'
  • yellowcard Tochi Chukwuani 40'
  • redcard Tochi Chukwuani 41'
  • yellowcard Jon Gorenc Stankovic 73'
  • yellowcard Daniil Khudyakov 79'
  • goal Seedy Jatta 80'
  • goal Malick Junior Yalcouye 85'
Austrian Bundesliga Gameweek 5
Aug 31, 2024 6.30pm
4
2
HT : 1 2
FT Merkur Arena
  • Otar Kiteishvili 44' goal
  • Leon Grgic 66' goal
  • Leon Grgic 76' goal
  • Tochi Chukwuani 90'+5' goal
  • yellowcard Philipp Semlic 0'
  • goal Mahamadou Diarra 34'
  • goal Quincy Butler 38'
Austrian Bundesliga Gameweek 20
Feb 25, 2024 1.30pm
0
2
HT : 0 2
FT Gernot Langes Stadion
  • goal Mika Biereth 9'
  • goal Jon Gorenc Stankovic 12'
  • redcard Gregory Wuthrich 61'
Austrian Bundesliga Gameweek 9
Oct 1, 2023 1.30pm
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT UPC-Arena
  • Gregory Wuthrich 44' goal
  • Stefan Hierlander 84' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Julius Ertlthaler 57'
  • yellowcard Matthaus Taferner 75'
  • yellowcard Cem Ustundag 81'
  • yellowcard David Gugganig 84'
  • yellowcard Luca Kronberger 87'