Austrian Bundesliga
Aug 1, 2026 4.00pm
1
1
HT : 1 1
FT Tivoli Stadion Tirol
  • Michael Olakigbe 42' goal
  • Raphael Gschösser 84' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Simon Seidl 15'
  • yellowcard Jacob Peter Hödl 18'
  • yellowcard Emran Soglo 19'
  • yellowcard Ryan Fosso 25'
  • goal Szymon Wlodarczyk 29'

WSG Swarovski Tirol vs Sturm Graz - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

WSG Swarovski Tirol

All competitions
Austrian Bundesliga
Last game
May 16, 2026 4.00pm
Wolfsberger 2 - 0 Swarovski

Sturm Graz

All competitions
Austrian Bundesliga
Last game
May 17, 2026 1.30pm
Sturm Graz 2 - 0 Rapid Vienna

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sturm Graz win with a probability of 47.39%. A win for WSG Swarovski Tirol had a probability of 27.1% and a draw had a probability of 25.51%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sturm Graz win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9%) and 0-2 (8.18%). The likeliest WSG Swarovski Tirol win was 1-0 (7.92%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.63%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.6% likelihood.

Result

WSG Swarovski Tirol 27.1% (-0.04)
Draw 25.51% (-0.01)
Sturm Graz 47.39% (+0.05)

Both Teams to Score: 

51.84% (-0.04)

Goals

Over 1.5 74.45% (-0.04)
Under 1.5 25.55% (+0.04)
Over 2.5 50.38% (-0.05)
Under 2.5 49.62% (+0.05)
Over 3.5 29.08% (-0.05)
Under 3.5 70.92% (+0.05)
Over 4.5 16.7% (-0.04)
Under 4.5 83.3% (+0.04)

First Half Winner

WSG Swarovski Tirol 24.54%
Draw 39.1% (-0.01)
Sturm Graz 36.36% (+0.01)

Team To Score First

WSG Swarovski Tirol 38.12% (-0.08)
No Goal 7.37% (+0.04)
Sturm Graz 54.51% (+0.04)

Corners

Over 8 63.63% (-0.03)
Equal 8 10.46%
Under 8 25.91% (+0.02)
Over 9 52.5% (-0.03)
Equal 9 11.13% (-0.01)
Under 9 36.37% (+0.03)
Over 10.5 41.59% (-0.02)
Under 10.5 58.41% (+0.02)

WSG Swarovski Tirol Goals

Over 1.5 28.43% (-0.06)
Under 1.5 71.57% (+0.06)
Over 2.5 9.85% (-0.04)
Under 2.5 90.15% (+0.04)
Over 3.5 2.7% (-0.03)
Under 3.5 97.3% (+0.02)

Sturm Graz Goals

Over 0.5 76.35% (+0.01)
Under 0.5 23.65% (-0.02)
Over 1.5 45.6% (-0.01)
Under 1.5 54.4% (+0.01)
Over 2.5 21.2%
Under 2.5 78.8%
Over 3.5 8.41% (-0.01)
Under 3.5 91.59% (+0.02)

Score analysis

WSG Swarovski Tirol 27.1%
Draw 25.52%
Sturm Graz 47.39%
WSG Swarovski Tirol
1-0 @ 7.92%
2-1 @ 6.33% (-0.01)
2-0 @ 4.26% (-0.01)
3-1 @ 2.52%
3-2 @ 1.96% (-0.02)
3-0 @ 1.59%
Other @ 2.52% (-0.01)
Total : 27.1%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.63%
0-0 @ 7.37% (+0.04)
2-2 @ 5.26% (-0.01)
3-3 @ 1.08%
Other @ 0.18% (-0.02)
Total : 25.52%
Sturm Graz
0-1 @ 10.27% (+0.03)
1-2 @ 9%
0-2 @ 8.18% (+0.01)
1-3 @ 4.6%
0-3 @ 4.38% (+0.01)
2-3 @ 2.73%
Other @ 8.23%
Total : 47.39%

Head to Head

Austrian Bundesliga
Feb 14, 2026 4.00pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT Tivoli Stadion Tirol
  • Thomas Sabitzer 69' yellowcard
  • Lukas Hinterseer 75' yellowcard
  • Jamie Lawrence 78' goal
  • David Gugganig 89' yellowcard
  • Christian Huetz 90' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Jacob Peter Hödl 42'
  • yellowcard Luca Weinhandl 65'
  • yellowcard Belmin Beganovic 65'
  • yellowcard Seedy Jatta 65'
  • yellowcard Arjan Malic 75'
Austrian Bundesliga
Dec 3, 2025 7.30pm
1
3
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Jon Gorenc Stankovic 38' goal
  • Emanuel Aiwu 44' redcard
  • Niklas Geyrhofer 73' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Marco Boras 37'
  • goal Nikolai Frederiksen 53'
  • yellowcard Ademola Ola-Adebomi 53'
  • yellowcard Valentino Muller 56'
  • yellowcard Moritz Wels 65'
  • goal Matthaus Taferner 67'
  • goal Nikolai Frederiksen 75'
Austrian Bundesliga Gameweek 16
Dec 7, 2024 4.00pm
0
3
HT : 0 1
FT Gernot Langes Stadion
  • Cem Ustundag 33' yellowcard
  • Lukas Sulzbacher 51' yellowcard
  • Stefan Skrbo 68' yellowcard
  • Cem Ustundag 72' redcard
  • goal William Boving 15'
  • yellowcard Tochi Chukwuani 40'
  • redcard Tochi Chukwuani 41'
  • yellowcard Jon Gorenc Stankovic 73'
  • yellowcard Daniil Khudyakov 79'
  • goal Seedy Jatta 80'
  • goal Malick Junior Yalcouye 85'
Austrian Bundesliga Gameweek 5
Aug 31, 2024 6.30pm
4
2
HT : 1 2
FT Merkur Arena
  • Otar Kiteishvili 44' goal
  • Leon Grgic 66' goal
  • Leon Grgic 76' goal
  • Tochi Chukwuani 90'+5' goal
  • yellowcard Philipp Semlic 0'
  • goal Mahamadou Diarra 34'
  • goal Quincy Butler 38'
Austrian Bundesliga Gameweek 20
Feb 25, 2024 1.30pm
0
2
HT : 0 2
FT Gernot Langes Stadion
  • goal Mika Biereth 9'
  • goal Jon Gorenc Stankovic 12'
  • redcard Gregory Wuthrich 61'
Austrian Bundesliga Gameweek 9
Oct 1, 2023 1.30pm
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT UPC-Arena
  • Gregory Wuthrich 44' goal
  • Stefan Hierlander 84' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Julius Ertlthaler 57'
  • yellowcard Matthaus Taferner 75'
  • yellowcard Cem Ustundag 81'
  • yellowcard David Gugganig 84'
  • yellowcard Luca Kronberger 87'