Club Friendlies 3
Jul 11, 2026 4.00pm
Merkur Arena

Sturm Graz vs Sanfrecce Hiroshima - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Sturm Graz

All competitions
Club Friendlies 3
Last game
Jul 8, 2026 5.00pm
Sturm Graz 4 - 1 Kalsdorf

Sanfrecce Hiroshima

All competitions
Club Friendlies 3
Last game
Jan 18, 2026 1.15am
FC Tokyo 4 - 3 Hiroshima

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Sanfrecce Hiroshima win with a probability of 40.74%. A win for Sturm Graz has a probability of 34.44% and a draw has a probability of 24.82%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sanfrecce Hiroshima win is 1-2 with a probability of 9.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 0-1 (8.16%) and 0-2 (5.97%). The likeliest Sturm Graz win is 2-1 (8.2%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (11.44%).

Result

Sturm Graz 34.44%
Draw 24.82%
Sanfrecce Hiroshima 40.74%

Both Teams to Score: 

58.86%

Goals

Over 1.5 78.98% (+0.02)
Under 1.5 21.02% (-0.02)
Over 2.5 56.58%
Under 2.5 43.42%
Over 3.5 33.23%
Under 3.5 66.77%
Over 4.5 19.02%
Under 4.5 80.98%

First Half Winner

Sturm Graz 25.8% (-0.01)
Draw 39.25%
Sanfrecce Hiroshima 34.94%

Team To Score First

Sturm Graz 39.62%
No Goal 5.52%
Sanfrecce Hiroshima 54.86%

Corners

Over 8 64.51%
Equal 8 10.9%
Under 8 24.58%
Over 9 52.76%
Equal 9 11.75%
Under 9 35.49%
Over 10.5 41.2%
Under 10.5 58.8%

Sturm Graz Goals

Over 1.5 38.32%
Under 1.5 61.68%
Over 2.5 15.56%
Under 2.5 84.44%
Over 3.5 5.21%
Under 3.5 94.79%

Sanfrecce Hiroshima Goals

Over 0.5 74.5% (+0.02)
Under 0.5 25.5% (-0.02)
Over 1.5 43.12%
Under 1.5 56.88%
Over 2.5 19.06%
Under 2.5 80.94%
Over 3.5 6.38%
Under 3.5 93.62%

Score analysis

Sturm Graz 34.44%
Draw 24.82%
Sanfrecce Hiroshima 40.75%
Sturm Graz
2-1 @ 8.2%
1-0 @ 7.35%
2-0 @ 4.98%
3-1 @ 3.58%
3-2 @ 2.67%
3-0 @ 2.58%
Other @ 5.08%
Total : 34.44%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.44% (+0.01)
2-2 @ 6.21%
0-0 @ 5.52%
3-3 @ 1.52%
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 24.82%
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
1-2 @ 9.21%
0-1 @ 8.16%
0-2 @ 5.97%
1-3 @ 4.42%
0-3 @ 3.37%
2-3 @ 3.37%
Other @ 6.25%
Total : 40.75%