Club Friendlies 3
Jul 11, 2026 4.00pm
5
1
HT : 2 0
FT Merkur Arena
  • Jon Gorenc Stankovic 16' goal
  • Jürgen Heil 18' goal
  • Axel Kayombo 90'+10' goal
  • Axel Kayombo 90'+11' goal
  • goal 56'

Sturm Graz vs Sanfrecce Hiroshima - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Sturm Graz

All competitions
Club Friendlies 3
Last game
Jul 8, 2026 5.00pm
Sturm Graz 4 - 1 Kalsdorf

Sanfrecce Hiroshima

All competitions
Club Friendlies 3
Last game
Jan 18, 2026 1.15am
FC Tokyo 4 - 3 Hiroshima

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sanfrecce Hiroshima win with a probability of 40.74%. A win for Sturm Graz had a probability of 34.44% and a draw had a probability of 24.82%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sanfrecce Hiroshima win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.16%) and 0-2 (5.97%). The likeliest Sturm Graz win was 2-1 (8.22%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.43%).

Result

Sturm Graz 34.44%
Draw 24.82%
Sanfrecce Hiroshima 40.74%

Both Teams to Score: 

58.86%

Goals

Over 1.5 78.95% (-0.04)
Under 1.5 21.05% (+0.04)
Over 2.5 56.58%
Under 2.5 43.42%
Over 3.5 33.16% (-0.08)
Under 3.5 66.84% (+0.08)
Over 4.5 18.97% (-0.06)
Under 4.5 81.03% (+0.05)

First Half Winner

Sturm Graz 25.8%
Draw 39.25%
Sanfrecce Hiroshima 34.94%

Team To Score First

Sturm Graz 39.6% (-0.02)
No Goal 5.53% (+0.02)
Sanfrecce Hiroshima 54.87% (+0.01)

Corners

Over 8 64.51%
Equal 8 10.9%
Under 8 24.58%
Over 9 52.76%
Equal 9 11.75%
Under 9 35.49%
Over 10.5 41.2%
Under 10.5 58.8%

Sturm Graz Goals

Over 1.5 38.3% (-0.03)
Under 1.5 61.7% (+0.03)
Over 2.5 15.53% (-0.04)
Under 2.5 84.47% (+0.04)
Over 3.5 5.2% (-0.01)
Under 3.5 94.8% (+0.01)

Sanfrecce Hiroshima Goals

Over 0.5 74.47% (-0.04)
Under 0.5 25.53% (+0.04)
Over 1.5 43.09% (-0.03)
Under 1.5 56.91% (+0.03)
Over 2.5 19.03% (-0.03)
Under 2.5 80.97% (+0.04)
Over 3.5 6.37% (-0.01)
Under 3.5 93.63% (+0.01)

Score analysis

Sturm Graz 34.44%
Draw 24.81%
Sanfrecce Hiroshima 40.74%
Sturm Graz
2-1 @ 8.22% (+0.03)
1-0 @ 7.35%
2-0 @ 4.98%
3-1 @ 3.57% (-0.02)
3-2 @ 2.66% (-0.01)
3-0 @ 2.59% (+0.01)
Other @ 5.07% (-0.01)
Total : 34.44%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.43% (-0.01)
2-2 @ 6.21%
0-0 @ 5.53% (+0.02)
3-3 @ 1.51% (-0.02)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 24.81%
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
1-2 @ 9.22% (+0.01)
0-1 @ 8.16%
0-2 @ 5.97%
1-3 @ 4.41% (-0.01)
0-3 @ 3.38% (+0.01)
2-3 @ 3.36% (-0.02)
Other @ 6.24% (-0.01)
Total : 40.74%