Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sturm Graz win with a probability of 57.02%. A draw had a probability of 23.78% and a win for NS Mura had a probability of 19.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sturm Graz win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (11.01%) and 2-0 (9.53%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.56%) , while for a NS Mura win it was 0-1 (5.79%).