Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sturm Graz win with a probability of 40.81%. A win for LASK Linz had a probability of 32.78% and a draw had a probability of 26.38%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sturm Graz win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.93%) and 2-0 (6.85%). The likeliest LASK Linz win was 0-1 (8.72%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.6%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.6% likelihood.