Austrian Bundesliga Gameweek 5
Apr 19, 2026 4.00pm
Raiffeisen Arena

LASK Linz vs Sturm Graz - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

LASK Linz

All competitions
Austrian Bundesliga
Last game
Apr 10, 2026 6.30pm
Salzburg 2 - 3 LASK
Goals scored
41
Top scorer
Moses Usor

Sturm Graz

All competitions
Austrian Bundesliga
Last game
Apr 12, 2026 1.30pm
Sturm Graz 0 - 0 Hartberg
Goals scored
41
Top scorer
Otar Kiteishvili

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a LASK Linz win with a probability of 48.71%. A win for Sturm Graz has a probability of 27.42% and a draw has a probability of 23.88%.

The most likely scoreline for a LASK Linz win is 2-1 with a probability of 9.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-0 (8.33%) and 2-0 (7.2%). The likeliest Sturm Graz win is 1-2 (7.03%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (10.92%).

Result

LASK Linz 48.71% (-0.16)
Draw 23.88% (-0.02)
Sturm Graz 27.42% (+0.20)

Both Teams to Score: 

60.3% (+0.81)

Goals

Over 1.5 80.98% (+0.15)
Under 1.5 19.02% (-0.15)
Over 2.5 59% (+0.03)
Under 2.5 41% (-0.03)
Over 3.5 36.64% (+0.40)
Under 3.5 63.36% (-0.40)
Over 4.5 22.08% (+0.44)
Under 4.5 77.92% (-0.44)

First Half Winner

LASK Linz 37.88% (+1.86)
Draw 38.35% (-0.98)
Sturm Graz 23.76% (-0.88)

Team To Score First

LASK Linz 53.99% (-0.83)
No Goal 4.85% (-0.09)
Sturm Graz 41.16% (+0.90)

Corners

Over 8 68.53% (+3.07)
Equal 8 10.62% (+0.07)
Under 8 20.85% (-3.12)
Over 9 56.62% (+2.58)
Equal 9 11.92% (+0.49)
Under 9 31.47% (-3.06)
Over 10.5 44.51% (+1.83)
Under 10.5 55.49% (-1.83)

LASK Linz Goals

Over 1.5 51.1% (+0.15)
Under 1.5 48.9% (-0.15)
Over 2.5 25.6% (+0.22)
Under 2.5 74.4% (-0.21)
Over 3.5 10.3% (+0.25)
Under 3.5 89.7% (-0.24)

Sturm Graz Goals

Over 0.5 65.28% (+0.10)
Under 0.5 34.72% (-0.10)
Over 1.5 33.49% (+0.34)
Under 1.5 66.51% (-0.33)
Over 2.5 12.57% (-0.13)
Under 2.5 87.43% (+0.14)
Over 3.5 3.97% (-0.01)
Under 3.5 96.03% (+0.02)

Score analysis

LASK Linz 48.72%
Draw 23.88%
Sturm Graz 27.42%
LASK Linz
2-1 @ 9.48% (-0.22)
1-0 @ 8.33% (-0.14)
2-0 @ 7.2% (+0.03)
3-1 @ 5.53% (-0.09)
3-0 @ 4.31% (-0.11)
3-2 @ 3.82% (+0.13)
Other @ 10.05% (+0.25)
Total : 48.72%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.92% (-0.05)
2-2 @ 6.22% (+0.09)
0-0 @ 4.85% (-0.09)
3-3 @ 1.64% (+0.03)
Other @ 0.25%
Total : 23.88%
Sturm Graz
1-2 @ 7.03% (+0.15)
0-1 @ 5.86% (+0.12)
0-2 @ 3.85% (+0.11)
1-3 @ 2.81% (-0.01)
2-3 @ 2.6% (+0.06)
0-3 @ 1.55% (-0.19)
Other @ 3.72% (-0.01)
Total : 27.42%

Head to Head

Austrian Bundesliga
Nov 23, 2025 1.30pm
1
3
HT : 0 0
FT
Austrian Bundesliga Gameweek 1
Aug 1, 2025 7.30pm
0
2
HT : 0 0
FT
Austrian Bundesliga Gameweek 22
Mar 16, 2025 4.00pm
4
2
HT : 1 0
FT Merkur Arena
  • Tomi Horvat 31' goal
  • Otar Kiteishvili 50' goal
  • Dimitri Lavalee 67' redcard
  • William Boving 83' goal
  • William Boving 90'+6' goal
  • yellowcard Jerome Boateng 49'
  • yellowcard George Bello 69'
  • goal Modou Keba Cisse 77'
  • goal Robert Zulj 85'
Austrian Bundesliga Gameweek 11
Oct 27, 2024 4.00pm
1
2
HT : 0 1
FT Raiffeisen Arena
  • Marin Ljubicic 31' yellowcard
  • Philipp Ziereis 41' yellowcard
  • Hrvoje Smolcic 58' goal
  • Filip Stojkovic 89' yellowcard
  • goal Otar Kiteishvili 33'
  • yellowcard Mika Biereth 36'
  • yellowcard Seedy Jatta 58'
  • goal Lovro Zvonarek 84'
  • yellowcard Max Johnston 90'+9'
Austrian Bundesliga Gameweek 9
May 12, 2024 4.00pm
2
2
HT : 1 1
FT TGW Arena
  • Florian Flecker 20' goal
  • Marin Ljubicic 76' goal
  • goal Otar Kiteishvili 30'
  • yellowcard Alexander Prass 44'
  • goal Otar Kiteishvili 48'
  • yellowcard Otar Kiteishvili 57'
  • yellowcard Dimitri Lavalee 75'
Austrian Bundesliga Gameweek 3
Apr 7, 2024 1.30pm
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT Merkur Arena
  • Alexander Prass 20' goal
  • David Affengruber 70' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Moses Usor 35'
  • yellowcard Branko Jovicic 86'