Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a LASK Linz win with a probability of 48.71%. A win for Sturm Graz had a probability of 27.45% and a draw had a probability of 23.81%.
The most likely scoreline for a LASK Linz win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.26%) and 2-0 (7.16%). The likeliest Sturm Graz win was 1-2 (7.03%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.88%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.9% likelihood.