Austrian Bundesliga Gameweek 2
Mar 20, 2026 6.30pm
1
1
HT : 1 1
FT Merkur Arena
  • Emanuel Aiwu 39' yellowcard
  • Jon Gorenc Stankovic 45'+5' goal
  • Maurice Malone 70' yellowcard
  • Filip Rózga 70' yellowcard
  • Axel Kayombo 87' yellowcard
  • Luca Weinhandl 87' yellowcard
  • goal Yorbe Vertessen 32'
  • yellowcard Sota Kitano 75'
  • yellowcard Damir Redzic 75'
  • yellowcard Moussa Yeo 83'
  • yellowcard Karim Onisiwo 85'

Sturm Graz vs Red Bull Salzburg - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Sturm Graz

All competitions
Austrian Bundesliga
Last game
Mar 15, 2026 4.00pm
Austria Vienna 2 - 5 Sturm Graz
Goals scored
39
Top scorer
Otar Kiteishvili

Red Bull Salzburg

All competitions
Austrian Bundesliga
Last game
Mar 15, 2026 1.30pm
Salzburg 0 - 1 Rapid Vienna
Goals scored
43
Top scorer
Karim Konaté

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Red Bull Salzburg win with a probability of 39.12%. A win for Sturm Graz had a probability of 35.87% and a draw had a probability of 24.97%.

The most likely scoreline for a Red Bull Salzburg win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.5%) and 0-2 (5.98%). The likeliest Sturm Graz win was 2-1 (8.09%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.56%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.6% likelihood.

Result

Sturm Graz 35.87%
Draw 24.97%
Red Bull Salzburg 39.12% (-0.04)

Both Teams to Score: 

56.64% (-0.04)

Goals

Over 1.5 77.67% (-0.07)
Under 1.5 22.33% (+0.06)
Over 2.5 54.78% (-0.07)
Under 2.5 45.22% (+0.07)
Over 3.5 32.45% (-0.06)
Under 3.5 67.55% (+0.07)
Over 4.5 18.62% (-0.06)
Under 4.5 81.38% (+0.05)

First Half Winner

Sturm Graz 27.5%
Draw 41.07%
Red Bull Salzburg 31.44%

Team To Score First

Sturm Graz 43.38% (-0.01)
No Goal 5.95% (+0.01)
Red Bull Salzburg 50.67%

Corners

Over 8 56.79% (+0.22)
Equal 8 11.89% (+0.01)
Under 8 31.32% (-0.22)
Over 9 44.76% (+0.18)
Equal 9 12.02% (+0.02)
Under 9 43.21% (-0.22)
Over 10.5 33.64% (+0.15)
Under 10.5 66.36% (-0.15)

Sturm Graz Goals

Over 1.5 38.45% (-0.03)
Under 1.5 61.55% (+0.03)
Over 2.5 16.11% (-0.04)
Under 2.5 83.89% (+0.04)
Over 3.5 5.59% (-0.01)
Under 3.5 94.41% (+0.01)

Red Bull Salzburg Goals

Over 0.5 72.76% (-0.05)
Under 0.5 27.24% (+0.05)
Over 1.5 40.81% (-0.06)
Under 1.5 59.19% (+0.06)
Over 2.5 17.62% (-0.04)
Under 2.5 82.38% (+0.04)
Over 3.5 6.18% (-0.03)
Under 3.5 93.82% (+0.02)

Score analysis

Sturm Graz 35.87%
Draw 24.96%
Red Bull Salzburg 39.13%
Sturm Graz
2-1 @ 8.09%
1-0 @ 7.84% (+0.01)
2-0 @ 5.36% (+0.02)
3-1 @ 3.8%
3-2 @ 2.73% (-0.02)
3-0 @ 2.65%
Other @ 5.4% (-0.01)
Total : 35.87%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.56%
0-0 @ 5.95% (+0.01)
2-2 @ 5.92% (-0.01)
3-3 @ 1.34% (-0.02)
Other @ 0.19%
Total : 24.96%
Red Bull Salzburg
1-2 @ 8.56%
0-1 @ 8.5% (+0.01)
0-2 @ 5.98%
1-3 @ 4.1%
0-3 @ 3.03% (-0.02)
2-3 @ 2.97%
Other @ 5.99% (-0.02)
Total : 39.13%

Head to Head

Austrian Bundesliga
Nov 9, 2025 4.00pm
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT
Austrian Bundesliga
Sep 20, 2025 4.00pm
0
2
HT : 0 0
FT
Austrian Bundesliga Gameweek 8
May 9, 2025 6.30pm
4
2
HT : 2 1
FT Merkur Arena
  • Aleksa Terzic 18' goal
  • William Boving 20' goal
  • Gregory Wuthrich 48' goal
  • Tochi Chukwuani 72' goal
  • goal Nene Dorgeles 45'
  • goal Emanuel Aiwu 59' (OG)
  • yellowcard Kouakou Joane Gadou 68'
Austrian Bundesliga Gameweek 3
Apr 13, 2025 1.30pm
1
2
HT : 1 0
FT Red Bull Arena
  • Moussa Kounfolo Yeo 6' yellowcard
  • Adam Daghim 32' goal
  • goal Otar Kiteishvili 48'
  • yellowcard Emanuel Aiwu 54'
  • redcard Gregory Wuthrich 63'
  • goal Otar Kiteishvili 70'
  • yellowcard Malick Junior Yalcouye 71'
Austrian Bundesliga Gameweek 20
Mar 2, 2025 4.00pm
3
1
HT : 0 1
FT Red Bull Arena
  • Yorbe Vertessen 72' goal
  • Nene Dorgeles 84' goal
  • Karim Onisiwo 87' goal
  • goal Jon Gorenc Stankovic 10'
  • yellowcard Dimitri Lavalee 39'
  • yellowcard Emanuel Aiwu 45'
  • yellowcard Otar Kiteishvili 53'
Austrian Bundesliga Gameweek 9
Oct 6, 2024 4.00pm
5
0
HT : 2 0
FT Merkur Arena
  • Malick Junior Yalcouye 15' goal
  • Mika Biereth 30' goal
  • Emanuel Aiwu 41' yellowcard
  • Mika Biereth 51' goal
  • Mika Biereth 62' goal
  • Emanuel Aiwu 76' goal
  • yellowcard Kamil Piatkowski 66'
  • yellowcard Stefan Bajcetic 90'