Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Red Bull Salzburg win with a probability of 42.92%. A win for Austria Vienna had a probability of 33.9% and a draw had a probability of 23.22%.
The most likely scoreline for a Red Bull Salzburg win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.32%) and 3-1 (5.38%). The likeliest Austria Vienna win was 1-2 (7.79%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.74%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 4.1% likelihood.