Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Red Bull Salzburg win with a probability of 43.94%. A win for Hartberg had a probability of 31.74% and a draw had a probability of 24.28%.
The most likely scoreline for a Red Bull Salzburg win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.49%) and 2-0 (6.89%). The likeliest Hartberg win was 1-2 (7.78%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.91%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 5.5% likelihood.