Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Red Bull Salzburg win with a probability of 42.13%. A win for Grazer AK had a probability of 32.57% and a draw had a probability of 25.27%.
The most likely scoreline for a Red Bull Salzburg win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.67%) and 0-2 (7.2%). The likeliest Grazer AK win was 1-0 (7.74%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.76%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.8% likelihood.