Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Red Bull Salzburg win with a probability of 44.87%. A win for Rapid Vienna had a probability of 30.1% and a draw had a probability of 25.03%.
The most likely scoreline for a Red Bull Salzburg win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.37%) and 2-0 (7.18%). The likeliest Rapid Vienna win was 0-1 (7.4%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.68%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 7.4% likelihood.