Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rapid Vienna win with a probability of 38.05%. A win for Red Bull Salzburg had a probability of 36.75% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Rapid Vienna win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.99%) and 2-0 (5.63%). The likeliest Red Bull Salzburg win was 1-2 (8.28%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.51%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 8% likelihood.