Austrian Bundesliga Gameweek 18
Feb 8, 2026 4.00pm
Merkur Arena

Sturm Graz vs SV Ried - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Sturm Graz

All competitions
Austrian Bundesliga
Last game
Dec 14, 2025 4.00pm
Austria Vienna 3 - 1 Sturm Graz
Goals scored
27
Top scorer
Jon Gorenc Stankovic

SV Ried

All competitions
Austrian Bundesliga
Last game
Dec 13, 2025 4.00pm
SV Ried 3 - 0 Rheindorf Altach
Goals scored
23
Top scorer
Kingstone Mutandwa

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Sturm Graz win with a probability of 43.83%. A win for SV Ried has a probability of 33.55% and a draw has a probability of 22.59%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sturm Graz win is 2-1 with a probability of 8.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-0 (7.09%) and 2-0 (5.88%). The likeliest SV Ried win is 1-2 (7.47%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (10.03%).

Result

Sturm Graz 43.83% (-0.61)
Draw 22.59% (+0.13)
SV Ried 33.55% (+0.43)

Both Teams to Score: 

63.65% (-0.08)

Goals

Over 1.5 83.12% (-0.12)
Under 1.5 16.88% (+0.12)
Over 2.5 62.86% (-0.15)
Under 2.5 37.14% (+0.15)
Over 3.5 41.47% (-0.21)
Under 3.5 58.53% (+0.21)
Over 4.5 25.89% (-0.10)
Under 4.5 74.11% (+0.10)

First Half Winner

Sturm Graz 31.56% (-0.07)
Draw 39.95% (-0.13)
SV Ried 28.48% (+0.18)

Team To Score First

Sturm Graz 54.56% (+0.20)
No Goal 4.07% (-0.01)
SV Ried 41.37% (-0.18)

Corners

Over 8 51.66% (+0.12)
Equal 8 12.08% (+0.08)
Under 8 36.26% (-0.21)
Over 9 39.93% (+0.05)
Equal 9 11.74% (+0.09)
Under 9 48.34% (-0.12)
Over 10.5 29.47% (-0.04)
Under 10.5 70.53% (+0.04)

Sturm Graz Goals

Over 1.5 48.56% (-0.52)
Under 1.5 51.44% (+0.52)
Over 2.5 24.17% (-0.39)
Under 2.5 75.83% (+0.40)
Over 3.5 9.82% (-0.10)
Under 3.5 90.18% (+0.11)

SV Ried Goals

Over 0.5 70.09% (+0.35)
Under 0.5 29.91% (-0.34)
Over 1.5 40.48% (+0.27)
Under 1.5 59.52% (-0.27)
Over 2.5 18.03% (+0.22)
Under 2.5 81.97% (-0.22)
Over 3.5 7.11% (+0.08)
Under 3.5 92.89% (-0.07)

Score analysis

Sturm Graz 43.84%
Draw 22.59%
SV Ried 33.54%
Sturm Graz
2-1 @ 8.7% (-0.03)
1-0 @ 7.09% (-0.03)
2-0 @ 5.88% (-0.13)
3-1 @ 5.19% (-0.11)
3-2 @ 4.14% (-0.10)
3-0 @ 3.27% (-0.11)
Other @ 9.57% (-0.12)
Total : 43.84%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.03% (+0.10)
2-2 @ 6.49%
0-0 @ 4.07% (-0.01)
3-3 @ 1.75% (+0.03)
Other @ 0.25% (+0.02)
Total : 22.59%
SV Ried
1-2 @ 7.47% (+0.10)
0-1 @ 5.69% (+0.11)
0-2 @ 4.35% (+0.05)
1-3 @ 3.91% (+0.04)
2-3 @ 3.32% (+0.03)
0-3 @ 1.94% (+0.07)
Other @ 6.86% (+0.06)
Total : 33.54%

Head to Head

Austrian Bundesliga
Aug 16, 2025 6.30pm
1
3
HT : 0 0
FT