Austrian Bundesliga Gameweek 21
Mar 1, 2026 4.00pm
Lavanttal Arena

Wolfsberger vs Sturm Graz - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Wolfsberger

All competitions
Austrian Bundesliga
Last game
Feb 21, 2026 4.00pm
Rapid Vienna 2 - 0 Wolfsberger
Goals scored
28
Top scorer
Donis Avdijaj

Sturm Graz

All competitions
Austrian Bundesliga
Last game
Feb 22, 2026 1.30pm
Sturm Graz 1 - 0 BW Linz
Goals scored
29
Top scorer
Jon Gorenc Stankovic

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Wolfsberger win with a probability of 43.14%. A win for Sturm Graz has a probability of 32.25% and a draw has a probability of 24.61%.

The most likely scoreline for a Wolfsberger win is 2-1 with a probability of 8.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-0 (8.37%) and 2-0 (6.53%). The likeliest Sturm Graz win is 1-2 (7.54%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (11.19%).

Result

Wolfsberger 43.14% (-0.04)
Draw 24.61%
Sturm Graz 32.25% (+0.04)

Both Teams to Score: 

59.46%

Goals

Over 1.5 79.3%
Under 1.5 20.7%
Over 2.5 56.93%
Under 2.5 43.07%
Over 3.5 35.05%
Under 3.5 64.95%
Over 4.5 20.39%
Under 4.5 79.61%

First Half Winner

Wolfsberger 36.91%
Draw 39.52%
Sturm Graz 23.57%

Team To Score First

Wolfsberger 52.37%
No Goal 5.58%
Sturm Graz 42.05%

Corners

Over 8 57.96%
Equal 8 11.87%
Under 8 30.17%
Over 9 45.82%
Equal 9 12.13%
Under 9 42.04%
Over 10.5 34.5%
Under 10.5 65.5%

Wolfsberger Goals

Over 1.5 45.38% (-0.03)
Under 1.5 54.62% (+0.03)
Over 2.5 21.26% (-0.02)
Under 2.5 78.74% (+0.02)
Over 3.5 7.97% (-0.02)
Under 3.5 92.03% (+0.02)

Sturm Graz Goals

Over 0.5 68.34% (+0.05)
Under 0.5 31.66% (-0.04)
Over 1.5 36.55% (+0.03)
Under 1.5 63.45% (-0.03)
Over 2.5 15.08% (+0.01)
Under 2.5 84.92% (-0.02)
Over 3.5 5.2% (+0.01)
Under 3.5 94.8% (-0.02)

Score analysis

Wolfsberger 43.14%
Draw 24.61%
Sturm Graz 32.25%
Wolfsberger
2-1 @ 8.76%
1-0 @ 8.37% (-0.02)
2-0 @ 6.53% (-0.01)
3-1 @ 5.09%
3-0 @ 3.48% (-0.02)
3-2 @ 3.21%
Other @ 7.7% (-0.01)
Total : 43.14%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.19%
2-2 @ 6.06%
0-0 @ 5.58%
3-3 @ 1.51%
Other @ 0.27%
Total : 24.61%
Sturm Graz
1-2 @ 7.54% (+0.01)
0-1 @ 6.75% (+0.01)
0-2 @ 4.66% (+0.01)
1-3 @ 3.51%
2-3 @ 2.77%
0-3 @ 2.09%
Other @ 4.93% (+0.01)
Total : 32.25%

Head to Head

Austrian Bundesliga
Oct 26, 2025 1.30pm
1
3
HT : 0 0
FT
Austrian Bundesliga Gameweek 10
May 24, 2025 4.00pm
1
1
HT : 1 0
FT Merkur Arena
  • William Boving 45'+1' goal
  • Leon Grgic 48' yellowcard
  • Gregory Wuthrich 65' yellowcard
  • goal Thierno Ballo 67'
Austrian Bundesliga Gameweek 1
Mar 30, 2025 1.30pm
1
1
HT : 1 0
FT Lavanttal Arena
  • Markus Pink 3' goal
  • Alessandro Schopf 53' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Jon Gorenc Stankovic 55'
  • goal Tomi Horvat 72'
  • yellowcard Max Johnston 78'
  • yellowcard Max Johnston 78'
Austrian Bundesliga Gameweek 18
Feb 15, 2025 4.00pm
3
0
HT : 2 0
FT Lavanttal Arena
  • Dejan Zukic 17' goal
  • Dejan Zukic 23' goal
  • Ervin Omic 58' yellowcard
  • Angelo Gattermayer 74' yellowcard
  • Angelo Gattermayer 81' yellowcard
  • Alessandro Schopf 83' goal
  • yellowcard Otar Kiteishvili 49'
  • yellowcard Adis Jasic 90'+2'
  • yellowcard Arjan Malic 90'+2'
Austrian Bundesliga Gameweek 7
Sep 22, 2024 1.30pm
0
3
HT : 0 1
FT Merkur Arena
  • Emir Karic 41' yellowcard
  • Dimitri Lavalee 77' yellowcard
  • Jusuf Gazibegovic 89' yellowcard
  • goal Thierno Ballo 20'
  • goal David Atanga 72'
  • yellowcard Chibuike Nwaiwu 90'+3'
  • goal Erik Kojzek 90'+5'
Austrian Bundesliga Gameweek 21
Mar 3, 2024 4.00pm
4
0
HT : 0 0
FT Merkur Arena
  • Otar Kiteishvili 2' yellowcard
  • Jon Gorenc Stankovic 27' yellowcard
  • Mika Biereth 66' goal
  • Manprit Sarkaria 70' goal
  • Dimitri Lavalee 85' goal
  • David Affengruber 89' goal
  • yellowcard Sandro Altunashvili 55'
  • yellowcard Bernhard Zimmermann 58'
  • yellowcard Hendrik Bonmann 70'
  • yellowcard Augustine Boakye 83'
  • yellowcard Dominik Baumgartner 90'+3'