Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wolfsberger win with a probability of 43.18%. A win for Sturm Graz had a probability of 32.22% and a draw had a probability of 24.61%.
The most likely scoreline for a Wolfsberger win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.39%) and 2-0 (6.54%). The likeliest Sturm Graz win was 1-2 (7.53%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.19%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 6.1% likelihood.