Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wolfsberger win with a probability of 40.28%. A win for BW Linz had a probability of 33.82% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Wolfsberger win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.77%) and 0-2 (6.51%). The likeliest BW Linz win was 1-0 (8.25%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.83%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.8% likelihood.