Austrian Bundesliga Gameweek 19
Feb 14, 2026 4.00pm
Tivoli Stadion Tirol

WSG Swarovski Tirol vs Sturm Graz - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

WSG Swarovski Tirol

All competitions
Austrian Bundesliga
Last game
Feb 7, 2026 4.00pm
LASK 0 - 0 Swarovski
Goals scored
24
Top scorer
Nikolai Frederiksen

Sturm Graz

All competitions
Austrian Bundesliga
Last game
Feb 8, 2026 4.00pm
Sturm Graz 0 - 0 SV Ried
Goals scored
27
Top scorer
Jon Gorenc Stankovic

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Sturm Graz win with a probability of 42.3%. A win for WSG Swarovski Tirol has a probability of 33.44% and a draw has a probability of 24.26%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sturm Graz win is 1-2 with a probability of 8.99%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 0-1 (7.76%) and 0-2 (6.14%). The likeliest WSG Swarovski Tirol win is 2-1 (7.66%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (11.25%).

Result

WSG Swarovski Tirol 33.44% (+0.04)
Draw 24.26% (-0.03)
Sturm Graz 42.3%

Both Teams to Score: 

60.05% (+0.10)

Goals

Over 1.5 80.22% (+0.07)
Under 1.5 19.78% (-0.08)
Over 2.5 58.31% (+0.15)
Under 2.5 41.66% (-0.14)
Over 3.5 35.7% (+0.18)
Under 3.5 64.3% (-0.18)
Over 4.5 21.16% (+0.15)
Under 4.5 78.84% (-0.15)

First Half Winner

WSG Swarovski Tirol 25.56%
Draw 42.67%
Sturm Graz 31.76%

Team To Score First

WSG Swarovski Tirol 42.39% (+0.04)
No Goal 5.18% (-0.04)
Sturm Graz 52.43%

Corners

Over 8 62.5%
Equal 8 11.08%
Under 8 26.42%
Over 9 50.77%
Equal 9 11.73%
Under 9 37.5%
Over 10.5 39.4%
Under 10.5 60.6%

WSG Swarovski Tirol Goals

Over 1.5 37.49% (+0.11)
Under 1.5 62.51% (-0.11)
Over 2.5 16.18% (+0.09)
Under 2.5 83.82% (-0.10)
Over 3.5 5.41% (+0.05)
Under 3.5 94.59% (-0.05)

Sturm Graz Goals

Over 0.5 75.87% (+0.02)
Under 0.5 24.13% (-0.02)
Over 1.5 45.5% (+0.07)
Under 1.5 54.5% (-0.07)
Over 2.5 21.16% (+0.09)
Under 2.5 78.84% (-0.08)
Over 3.5 8.24% (+0.06)
Under 3.5 91.76% (-0.05)

Score analysis

WSG Swarovski Tirol 33.44%
Draw 24.25%
Sturm Graz 42.3%
WSG Swarovski Tirol
2-1 @ 7.66%
1-0 @ 6.83% (-0.02)
2-0 @ 4.52% (-0.02)
3-1 @ 3.7% (+0.02)
3-2 @ 3.14% (+0.03)
3-0 @ 2.4%
Other @ 5.19% (+0.05)
Total : 33.44%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.25% (-0.03)
2-2 @ 6.07%
0-0 @ 5.18% (-0.04)
3-3 @ 1.53% (+0.02)
Other @ 0.22% (+0.02)
Total : 24.25%
Sturm Graz
1-2 @ 8.99% (-0.02)
0-1 @ 7.76% (-0.04)
0-2 @ 6.14% (-0.03)
1-3 @ 4.77% (+0.01)
0-3 @ 3.56% (-0.01)
2-3 @ 3.06% (+0.03)
Other @ 8.02% (+0.04)
Total : 42.3%

Head to Head

Austrian Bundesliga
Dec 3, 2025 7.30pm
1
3
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Jon Gorenc Stankovic 38' goal
  • Emanuel Aiwu 44' redcard
  • Niklas Geyrhofer 73' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Marco Boras 37'
  • goal Nikolai Frederiksen 53'
  • yellowcard Ademola Ola-Adebomi 53'
  • yellowcard Valentino Muller 56'
  • yellowcard Moritz Wels 65'
  • goal Matthaus Taferner 67'
  • goal Nikolai Frederiksen 75'
Austrian Bundesliga Gameweek 16
Dec 7, 2024 4.00pm
0
3
HT : 0 1
FT Gernot Langes Stadion
  • Cem Ustundag 33' yellowcard
  • Lukas Sulzbacher 51' yellowcard
  • Stefan Skrbo 68' yellowcard
  • Cem Ustundag 72' redcard
  • goal William Boving 15'
  • yellowcard Tochi Chukwuani 40'
  • redcard Tochi Chukwuani 41'
  • yellowcard Jon Gorenc Stankovic 73'
  • yellowcard Daniil Khudyakov 79'
  • goal Seedy Jatta 80'
  • goal Malick Junior Yalcouye 85'
Austrian Bundesliga Gameweek 5
Aug 31, 2024 6.30pm
4
2
HT : 1 2
FT Merkur Arena
  • Otar Kiteishvili 44' goal
  • Leon Grgic 66' goal
  • Leon Grgic 76' goal
  • Tochi Chukwuani 90'+5' goal
  • yellowcard Philipp Semlic 0'
  • goal Mahamadou Diarra 34'
  • goal Quincy Butler 38'
Austrian Bundesliga Gameweek 20
Feb 25, 2024 1.30pm
0
2
HT : 0 2
FT Gernot Langes Stadion
  • goal Mika Biereth 9'
  • goal Jon Gorenc Stankovic 12'
  • redcard Gregory Wuthrich 61'
Austrian Bundesliga Gameweek 9
Oct 1, 2023 1.30pm
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT UPC-Arena
  • Gregory Wuthrich 44' goal
  • Stefan Hierlander 84' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Julius Ertlthaler 57'
  • yellowcard Matthaus Taferner 75'
  • yellowcard Cem Ustundag 81'
  • yellowcard David Gugganig 84'
  • yellowcard Luca Kronberger 87'