Austrian Bundesliga Gameweek 4
Apr 12, 2026 1.30pm
Merkur Arena

Sturm Graz vs Hartberg - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Sturm Graz

All competitions
Austrian Bundesliga
Last game
Apr 5, 2026 4.00pm
Rapid Vienna 0 - 2 Sturm Graz
Goals scored
41
Top scorer
Otar Kiteishvili

Hartberg

All competitions
Austrian Bundesliga
Last game
Apr 5, 2026 1.30pm
Hartberg 1 - 2 Salzburg
Goals scored
30
Top scorer
Elias Havel

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Sturm Graz win with a probability of 46.65%. A draw has a probability of 27.45% and a win for Hartberg has a probability of 25.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sturm Graz win is 1-0 with a probability of 12.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (9.22%) and 2-0 (8.47%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (12.96%) , while for a Hartberg win it is 0-1 (8.68%).

Result

Sturm Graz 46.65%
Draw 27.45%
Hartberg 25.9%

Both Teams to Score: 

47.8%

Goals

Over 1.5 69.41% (-0.02)
Under 1.5 30.59% (+0.02)
Over 2.5 43.71% (+0.03)
Under 2.5 56.29% (-0.03)
Over 3.5 22.84%
Under 3.5 77.16%
Over 4.5 12.09% (-0.01)
Under 4.5 87.91% (+0.01)

First Half Winner

Sturm Graz 31.82% (-0.02)
Draw 43.41%
Hartberg 24.76% (+0.02)

Team To Score First

Sturm Graz 49.96% (-0.02)
No Goal 9.34%
Hartberg 40.7% (+0.03)

Corners

Over 8 59.03% (+0.33)
Equal 8 11.51% (-0.01)
Under 8 29.46% (-0.31)
Over 9 47.17% (+0.31)
Equal 9 11.85% (+0.01)
Under 9 40.97% (-0.33)
Over 10.5 36% (+0.26)
Under 10.5 64% (-0.27)

Sturm Graz Goals

Over 1.5 40.67% (-0.02)
Under 1.5 59.33% (+0.02)
Over 2.5 17.08% (-0.02)
Under 2.5 82.92% (+0.02)
Over 3.5 5.61%
Under 3.5 94.39%

Hartberg Goals

Over 0.5 60.01% (-0.02)
Under 0.5 39.99% (+0.02)
Over 1.5 24.87%
Under 1.5 75.13%
Over 2.5 7.38%
Under 2.5 92.62%
Over 3.5 1.89% (+0.02)
Under 3.5 98.11% (-0.02)

Score analysis

Sturm Graz 46.65%
Draw 27.46%
Hartberg 25.9%
Sturm Graz
1-0 @ 12.58% (+0.02)
2-1 @ 9.22%
2-0 @ 8.47% (-0.01)
3-1 @ 4.28%
3-0 @ 4.02%
3-2 @ 2.49% (-0.01)
Other @ 5.59%
Total : 46.65%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.96%
0-0 @ 9.34%
2-2 @ 4.46% (+0.01)
Other @ 0.02%
Total : 27.46%
Hartberg
0-1 @ 8.68% (-0.01)
1-2 @ 6.27% (+0.01)
0-2 @ 4.27% (-0.02)
1-3 @ 2.02%
2-3 @ 1.44% (-0.02)
0-3 @ 1.35%
Other @ 1.87% (+0.02)
Total : 25.9%

Head to Head

Austrian Bundesliga
Nov 30, 2025 1.30pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Dominic Vincze 44' yellowcard
  • Jurgen Heil 79' yellowcard
  • Tobias Kainz 79' yellowcard
  • Tom Ritzy Hülsmann 79' yellowcard
  • Lukas Spendlhofer 82' yellowcard
  • 90'+6' yellowcard
  • Elias Havel 90'+6' yellowcard
  • Elias Havel 90'+7' yellowcard
  • 90'+7' yellowcard
  • Manfred Schmid 90'+7' redcard
  • yellowcard Tim Oermann 11'
  • yellowcard <TBD> 27'
  • yellowcard Emanuel Aiwu 27'
  • yellowcard Axel Kayombo 80'
  • goal Otar Kiteishvili 81'
  • yellowcard Arjan Malic 90'+3'
  • yellowcard Axel Kayombo 90'+3'
Austrian Bundesliga
Sep 28, 2025 1.30pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT
Austrian Bundesliga Gameweek 13
Nov 9, 2024 4.00pm
1
2
HT : 0 1
FT PROfertil ARENA
  • Manfred Schmid 38' yellowcard
  • Fabian Wilfinger 44' yellowcard
  • Benjamin Markus 70' yellowcard
  • Furkan Demir 72' yellowcard
  • Donis Avdijaj 85' yellowcard
  • Chris Marco Hoffmann 90'+2' goal
  • goal Tochi Chukwuani 10'
  • yellowcard Dimitri Lavalee 37'
  • yellowcard Tochi Chukwuani 47'
  • goal Erencan Yardimci 57'
  • yellowcard Erencan Yardimci 59'
  • yellowcard Seedy Jatta 68'
Austrian Bundesliga Gameweek 2
Aug 11, 2024 4.00pm
2
0
HT : 1 0
FT Merkur Arena
  • Dimitri Lavalee 34' goal
  • Emanuel Aiwu 78' yellowcard
  • Lovro Zvonarek 83' yellowcard
  • Mika Biereth 86' goal
  • yellowcard Markus Schopp 0'
  • yellowcard Jurgen Heil 74'
  • yellowcard Fabian Wilfinger 90'+4'
Austrian Bundesliga Gameweek 8
May 5, 2024 1.30pm
1
1
HT : 0 1
FT Merkur Arena
  • Jon Gorenc Stankovic 9' redcard
  • Jon Gorenc Stankovic 27' yellowcard
  • Seedy Jatta 57' yellowcard
  • Otar Kiteishvili 58' goal
  • Mika Biereth 62' yellowcard
  • Seedy Jatta 65' yellowcard
  • goal Maximilian Entrup 17'
  • yellowcard Tobias Kainz 33'
  • yellowcard Maximilian Entrup 56'
Austrian Bundesliga Gameweek 4
Apr 14, 2024 1.30pm
1
3
HT : 0 1
FT PROfertil ARENA
  • Dominik Prokop 48' yellowcard
  • Donis Avdijaj 73' goal
  • goal Alexander Prass 9'
  • goal Otar Kiteishvili 63'
  • goal Jon Gorenc Stankovic 90'