Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sturm Graz win with a probability of 46.58%. A draw had a probability of 27.48% and a win for Hartberg had a probability of 25.94%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sturm Graz win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.22%) and 2-0 (8.45%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.96%) , while for a Hartberg win it was 0-1 (8.71%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood.