Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Red Bull Salzburg win with a probability of 46.71%. A win for Hartberg had a probability of 27.45% and a draw had a probability of 25.84%.
The most likely scoreline for a Red Bull Salzburg win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.16%) and 0-2 (8.12%). The likeliest Hartberg win was 1-0 (8.2%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.04%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood.