Austrian Bundesliga Gameweek 3
Apr 5, 2026 4.00pm
Allianz Stadion

Rapid Vienna vs Sturm Graz - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Rapid Vienna

All competitions
Austrian Bundesliga
Last game
Mar 22, 2026 4.00pm
Rapid Vienna 4 - 2 LASK
Goals scored
31
Top scorer
Matthias Seidl

Sturm Graz

All competitions
Austrian Bundesliga
Last game
Mar 20, 2026 6.30pm
Sturm Graz 1 - 1 Salzburg
Goals scored
39
Top scorer
Otar Kiteishvili

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Rapid Vienna win with a probability of 44.92%. A win for Sturm Graz has a probability of 29.81% and a draw has a probability of 25.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Rapid Vienna win is 2-1 with a probability of 9.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-0 (9.05%) and 2-0 (7.1%). The likeliest Sturm Graz win is 1-2 (7.3%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (11.7%).

Result

Rapid Vienna 44.92% (-0.11)
Draw 25.3% (+0.04)
Sturm Graz 29.81% (+0.11)

Both Teams to Score: 

57.32% (+0.04)

Goals

Over 1.5 78.28% (+0.05)
Under 1.5 21.72% (-0.06)
Over 2.5 55.16% (+0.04)
Under 2.5 44.84% (-0.04)
Over 3.5 32.84%
Under 3.5 67.16%
Over 4.5 18.75% (-0.02)
Under 4.5 81.25% (+0.02)

First Half Winner

Rapid Vienna 32.84%
Draw 40.64%
Sturm Graz 26.52%

Team To Score First

Rapid Vienna 51.98% (+0.06)
No Goal 5.85% (+0.01)
Sturm Graz 42.17% (-0.08)

Corners

Over 8 59.36% (+0.43)
Equal 8 12% (-0.01)
Under 8 28.64% (-0.42)
Over 9 46.93% (+0.40)
Equal 9 12.43% (+0.04)
Under 9 40.64% (-0.43)
Over 10.5 35.22% (+0.33)
Under 10.5 64.78% (-0.32)

Rapid Vienna Goals

Over 1.5 46.14% (-0.05)
Under 1.5 53.86% (+0.05)
Over 2.5 20.98% (-0.06)
Under 2.5 79.02% (+0.05)
Over 3.5 7.71% (-0.04)
Under 3.5 92.29% (+0.04)

Sturm Graz Goals

Over 0.5 66.72% (+0.15)
Under 0.5 33.28% (-0.15)
Over 1.5 33.94% (+0.11)
Under 1.5 66.06% (-0.11)
Over 2.5 12.91% (+0.06)
Under 2.5 87.09% (-0.05)
Over 3.5 4.12% (+0.03)
Under 3.5 95.88% (-0.03)

Score analysis

Rapid Vienna 44.92%
Draw 25.3%
Sturm Graz 29.81%
Rapid Vienna
2-1 @ 9.36% (+0.01)
1-0 @ 9.05% (-0.03)
2-0 @ 7.1% (-0.04)
3-1 @ 4.87% (-0.01)
3-0 @ 3.8% (-0.02)
3-2 @ 3.23%
Other @ 7.51% (-0.04)
Total : 44.92%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.7% (+0.01)
2-2 @ 6.18% (+0.02)
0-0 @ 5.85% (+0.01)
3-3 @ 1.37%
Other @ 0.2%
Total : 25.3%
Sturm Graz
1-2 @ 7.3% (+0.02)
0-1 @ 6.85% (+0.02)
0-2 @ 4.32% (+0.03)
1-3 @ 3.05% (+0.01)
2-3 @ 2.52%
0-3 @ 1.85% (+0.03)
Other @ 3.92% (+0.03)
Total : 29.81%

Head to Head

Austrian Bundesliga
Nov 2, 2025 4.00pm
2
1
HT : 0 0
FT
Austrian Bundesliga
Aug 10, 2025 4.00pm
1
2
HT : 0 0
FT
Austrian Bundesliga Gameweek 9
May 18, 2025 4.00pm
3
1
HT : 2 0
FT Allianz Stadion
  • Bendeguz Bolla 20' goal
  • Guido Burgstaller 41' goal
  • Bendeguz Bolla 78' goal
  • goal Leon Grgic 66'
Austrian Bundesliga Gameweek 2
Apr 4, 2025 6.30pm
2
0
HT : 1 0
FT Merkur Arena
  • William Boving 18' goal
  • Max Johnston 34' yellowcard
  • Tomi Horvat 51' yellowcard
  • Leon Grgic 90' goal
  • yellowcard Nenad Cvetkovic 63'
  • yellowcard Dion Beljo 68'
  • yellowcard Jakob Maximilian Scholler 84'
Austrian Bundesliga Gameweek 12
Nov 2, 2024 4.00pm
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT Merkur Arena
  • Emanuel Aiwu 79' yellowcard
  • Erencan Yardimci 82' goal
  • Noah Bischof 90'+4' yellowcard
  • Tochi Chukwuani 90'+4' yellowcard
  • redcard Mamadou Sangare 39'
  • goal Dion Beljo 90'
  • yellowcard Tochi Chukwuani 90'+3'
Austrian Bundesliga Gameweek 1
Aug 4, 2024 4.00pm
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT Allianz Stadion
  • Dion Beljo 17' yellowcard
  • Dion Beljo 29' goal
  • Mamadou Sangare 66' yellowcard
  • Guido Burgstaller 90'+3' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Dimitri Lavalee 51'
  • yellowcard Jon Gorenc Stankovic 53'
  • yellowcard Jusuf Gazibegovic 82'