Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Maribor win with a probability of 52.74%. A win for NS Mura had a probability of 23.65% and a draw had a probability of 23.56%.
The most likely scoreline for a Maribor win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.66%) and 0-2 (9.26%). The likeliest NS Mura win was 1-0 (6.92%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.8%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 5.9% likelihood.