Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Aluminij win with a probability of 47.77%. A win for NS Mura had a probability of 28.67% and a draw had a probability of 23.57%.
The most likely scoreline for a Aluminij win was 2-1 with a probability of 10.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.58%) and 2-0 (7.02%). The likeliest NS Mura win was 1-2 (7.26%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.94%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 10.1% likelihood.